Reminder: Always double check the lineup card before rosters lock to make sure that a player you've chosen to roster is playing that day, and check the weather to make sure your players won't get rained out of their game.
Reds vs. Jerome Williams
Jerome Williams is one of the least effective pitchers in a regular rotation role in baseball. His 5.33 FIP is 4th worst and 5.68 ERA is 7th worst. The game takes place in the extremely hitter friendly Great American Ballpark. Joey Votto, Jay Bruce, and Todd Frazier need to be in your lineup in the early slate.
A.J. Pollock vs Brett Anderson, $4,500
In 108 PA vs LHP dating back to the start of 2014, Pollock has a crazy high 173 wRC+ with a .276 ISO and 6 stolen bases. Anderson has about an average FIP vs RHB at 3.74.
Jose Altuve ($3,600) vs Jose Quintana
Altuve's 182 wRC+ vs LHP dating back to the start of 2014 is 3rd best in baseball (min. 200 PA), and his stolen base potential makes him even more valuable than his wRC+ would indicate in fantasy.
Dodgers LHB vs Jeremy Hellickson
Hellickson's 5.84 FIP vs LHB is 10th worst in baseball, and his 6.75 ERA is 5th worst. Yasmani Grandal ($2,900) and Andre Ethier ($3,000) both have fantastic career+2015 numbers vs RHP and come at affordable prices.
Mookie Betts, Mike Napoli vs Wei Yin Chen (4.32 career FIP vs RHB) in Camden Yards
I'm betting big on Mookie Betts ($2,800) hitting LHP at a high level the rest of the way. Betts' % of ABs ending with a hard hit ball vs LHP is 8th (!) best in baseball at 21.4%, but he only has a 82 wRC+ vs them. I suspect this is largely bad luck with BABIP driven; Betts' BABIP vs LHP is just .229. With his speed and hard contact, it seems likely that number should be significantly higher. One problem for fantasy is that he's been moved down to the bottom of the lineup lately, but we'll see if that holds. I'm confident in Betts performing against LHP the rest of the way.
Mike Napoli ($3,200)'s 152 wRC+ in 205 PA is 12th best vs LHP dating back to the start of 2014.
Hanley Ramirez has been a tempting option vs LHP all year, but his production has fallen off a lot since he ran his shoulder into the Fenway Park wall in LF. He also left last night's game after fouling a ball of his leg. I'm not comfortable relying on him just yet, I don't think he's quite right physically.
I would be wary of starting Matt Harvey for now. Since his "dead arm" period began before the Pittsburgh start, opposing hitters have been hitting Harvey's fastball a lot harder than usual.
Matt Harvey's opp. exit velocity against his fastball is 90.6 mph on the year. But since the "dead arm" Pitt game, it's 93.4 mph— Timothy Finnegan (@TimFinn521) June 9, 2015
I'm not quite sure why this is, because his fastball velocity is the same. I am guessing it has something to do with his spin rate declining on his pitches, making his fastball easier to identify, although that is just a theory that I can't prove without full access to statcast.
Here's a split of Harvey's starts pre and post "dead arm" talk:
First 8 starts: 1.98 ERA, 2.63 FIP
Since: 3 starts, 6.16 ERA, 4.65 FIP
I need to see hitters take their usual bad swings vs Harvey's fastball before I pay big bucks for him.
Trevor Bauer ($8,600) is the guy I will most likely roll with today. Seattle is striking out at a 23.6% rate vs RHP (3rd highest), they've been a bottom third offense vs RHP (89 wRC+), and they might be without Nelson Cruz, who left yesterday's game with back spasms.
Follow me on Twitter at @TimFinn521, I usually tweet out more good options as lineups are released.