Reminder: Always double check the lineup card before rosters lock to make sure that a player you've chosen to roster is playing that day, and check the weather to make sure your players won't get rained out of their game.
P is strong tomorrow with Felix Hernandez, Clayton Kershaw (although pitching in Coors Field), Gerrit Cole, Jacob deGrom and Michael Pineda all throwing. It's a no brainer for a fantasy owner to recommend starting a King Felix or Kershaw, so I'll give my thoughts on a few second/third tier priced guys:
Jacob deGrom vs. SD Padres, $9,900
The Padres are without Wil Myers, and their offensive ranks vs RHP on the year are bottom third in baseball:
wRC+: 89 (22nd)
ISO: .136 (20th)
K%: 21.5% (7th highest)
deGrom presents big strikeout upside: his average fastball velocity has risen significantly as the year has gone on, up from 94 mph in his first start to 96 mph in his last start, and it's helped fuel a huge increase in strikeouts (38.5% K% in his last two starts, up from 21.3% in starts prior). PetCo is playing less pitcher friendly this year, potentially because of different wind currents with new construction, but it's still a strong park for pitchers. deGrom might present the biggest strikeout upside for tomorrow's slate against the Padres offense.
Gerrit Cole vs. SF Giants, $10,100
The pros for this matchup: 1. Cole's pitching opposition is Ryan Vogelsong, and while Vogelsong does historically pitch significantly better in the pitcher friendly AT&T park than he does on the road, Cole still has a sizable edge in matchup for the "W". 2. AT&T Park is one of the most pitcher friendly parks in the game. 3. Cole's 2.53 FIP is 6th best in baseball, his 2.11 ERA is 10th best, and his 27.5% K% is 10th best. He's emerging as one of the best pitchers in baseball.
The cons: the matchup against the Giants hitters isn't so great. They have the third highest wRC+ vs RHP at 110 and fifth lowest K% vs RHP at 17.5%, and a lot of that was without Hunter Pence, who returned from injury 2 weeks ago.
Andrew Cashner vs. NY Mets, $8,300
Cashner faces a vile Mets lineup that ranks the following vs RHP:
wRC+: 83 (27th)
ISO: .114 (28th)
K%: 19.9% (14th highest)
The main pause about starting Cashner is his opposition is Jacob deGrom, which will make it difficult for the Padres to give him run support.
Of the three, I lean towards: 1. deGrom, 2. Cole, 3. Cashner for tomorrow's matchups.
Dodgers vs Kyle Kendrick in Coors Field
The Dodgers haven't been hitting much lately, but they're still ranked #1 vs RHP in a landslide by wRC+ (127), ISO (.206), and HR (57). Yasmani Grandal ($2,700) has a career 131 wRC+ vs RHP with an outstanding 162 wRC+/.228 ISO this year in 112 PA, and is priced very low at $2,700, the 16th catcher. Andre Ethier ($2,600) has similar numbers as Grandal vs RHP (165 wRC+/.248 ISO this year + 140 wRC+/.203 ISO career). Justin Turner ($2,600) is another strong option if he's in the lineup; he has a 169 wRC+ in 306 PA vs RHP as a Dodger. They face one of the least effective pitchers in baseball in the best run scoring environment in baseball, and their price tags are extremely low.
1B- Freddie Freeman vs. Archie Bradley, $3,200
Freeman gets a huge park upgrade going to Chase Field, which is located at the second highest altitude in baseball behind only Coors Field. Freeman destroys below average RHP: his 154 wRC+ in 1083 PA vs RHP since the start of 2013 ranks 5th best in baseball.
Follow me on Twitter at @TimFinn521, I usually tweet out more good options as lineups are released.