clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Fantasy Hockey: Deep Dive Into Goalie Starts and Wins

Connor Hellebuyck is elite, but who else stands out?

NHL: New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes James Guillory-USA TODAY Sports

When you dig into starting pitching stats—particularly innings pitched and closers—you see a larger number of pitchers occurring each year. The question begs, is a similar trend occurring in the NHL? Well, we are here to look into that.

Let’s start this by looking into games started by various goalies

Total counts of games started at goalie:
2018-2019: 93 goalies started at least one game
2019-2020 (shortened season due to Covid): 87 different goalies started a game
2020-2021: 98 different goalies started a game

Digging into each year, here are the concentration percentages

2018-2019

  1. 17 goalies (18% of total goalies) started at least 60% of their teams games; 9 (12% of total goalies) started 70%
  2. 70% started: Devan Dubnyk, Carey Price, Connor Hellebuyck, Martin Jones, Marc-Andre Fleury, Sergei Bobrovsky, Frederik Andersen and Jacob Markstrom
  3. Devan Dubnyk, MIN, highest at 80.49%

2019-2020

  1. 14 (16%) started at least 60%; 7 (8%)started 70%
  2. 70% started: Carey Price, Connor Hellebuyck, Andrei Vasilevskiy, Frederik Andersen, John Gibson and Sergei Bobrovsky
  3. Carey Price, MTL, highest at 81.69%

2020-2021

  1. 15 (15%) started at least 60%; 4 (4%) started 70%
  2. 70% started: Connor Hellebuyck, Jacob Markstrom, Andrei Vasilevskiy and Jordan Binnington
  3. Connor Hellebuyck, WPG, highest at 80.36%

Summary:

  • While total goalies with starts moved up from 92-98 over three years, the percentage that started 70% of games dropped in half from 8% down to 4%.
  • Only Connor Hellebuyck started 70% all three years. Only Sergei Bobrovsky, Andrei Vasilevskiy, and Frederik Andersen did it in two of three years.

We’ve seen starts, now let’s look into Wins

By now most of us know which teams you can isolate for wins, but which goalies have accounted for a majority of their team’s wins consistently over the years?

2018-2019

  1. 17 (18% of total goalies) goalies won at least 60% of their teams wins; 11 (12%) won 70%
  2. 70% winners: Devan Dubnyk, Marc-Andre Fleury, Jacob Markstrom, Carey Price, Sergei Bobrovsky, Martin Jones, Frederik Andersen, John Gibson, Connor Helleuyck, Jimmy Howard, Mikko Koskinen
  3. Devan Dubnyk, MIN, highest at 83.78%

2019-2020

  1. 13 (15%) goalies won at least 60%; 7 (8%) won 70%
  2. 70% winners: Jonathan Bernier, Carey Price, Connor Hellebuyck, Andrei Vasilevskiy, Frederik Andersen, Mackenzie Blackwood and Jordan Binnington
  3. Jonathan Bernier, Det, highest at 88.24% - Detroit was not very good this year.

2020-2021

  1. 15 (15%) goalies won at least 60%; 7 (7%) won 70%
  2. 70% winners: Andrei Vasilevskiy, Jacob Markstrom, Connor Hellebuyck, Philipp Grubauer, Mackenzie Blackwood, Martin Jones and Kevin Lankinen
  3. Andrei Vasilevskiy, TB, highest at 86.11%

Goalie Wins Summary:

  • 88 goalies had a win in 2018-2019, 96 goalies had a win last year; meanwhile goalies with 70% of their teams wins dipped from 12% to 7% over that time.
  • Only Connor Hellebuyck won 70% each of the last three years; Jacob Markstrom, Andrei Vasilevskiy, Mackenzie Blackwood, Martin Jones and Frederik Andersen did it two of three years.

In a nutshell:

  • Looking for games started: Connor Hellebuyck, Sergei Bobrovsky, Andrei Vasilevskiy and Frederik Andersen have historically started a lot of games.
  • Looking for games won: Connor Hellebuyck, Jacob Markstrom, Andrei Vasilevskiy, Mackenzie Blackwood, Martin Jones and Frederik Andersen were part of a high concentration of their teams wins.

Goalie Start Percentages

Tm Player 2018-2019 % of team games started 2019-2020 % of team games started 2020 - 2021 % of team games started Grand Total
Tm Player 2018-2019 % of team games started 2019-2020 % of team games started 2020 - 2021 % of team games started Grand Total
MIN Devan Dubnyk 80.49% 40.58% 0.00% 45.41%
MTL Carey Price 78.05% 81.69% 44.64% 70.33%
WPG Connor Hellebuyck 75.61% 78.87% 80.36% 77.99%
SJS Martin Jones 75.61% 56.52% 60.71% 65.22%
VEG Marc-Andre Fleury 74.39% 67.61% 64.29% 69.38%
CBJ Sergei Bobrovsky 74.39% 0.00% 0.00% 29.33%
TOR Frederik Andersen 73.17% 74.29% 41.07% 64.90%
VAN Jacob Markstrom 73.17% 62.32% 0.00% 49.76%
WSH Braden Holtby 70.73% 68.12% 0.00% 50.72%
ANA John Gibson 69.51% 71.83% 62.50% 68.42%
NSH Pekka Rinne 67.07% 50.72% 37.50% 53.62%
ARI Darcy Kuemper 67.07% 41.43% 48.21% 53.37%
TBL Andrei Vasilevskiy 64.63% 74.29% 75.00% 70.67%
DET Jimmy Howard 63.41% 38.03% 0.00% 37.80%
NYR Henrik Lundqvist 63.41% 37.14% 0.00% 37.50%
EDM Mikko Koskinen 62.20% 47.14% 44.64% 52.40%
PIT Matt Murray 60.98% 55.07% 0.00% 42.51%
COL Semyon Varlamov 59.76% 0.00% 0.00% 23.67%
BUF Carter Hutton 58.54% 43.48% 21.43% 43.48%
OTT Craig Anderson 57.32% 43.66% 0.00% 37.32%
LAK Jonathan Quick 56.10% 60.00% 39.29% 52.88%
DAL Ben Bishop 54.88% 62.32% 0.00% 42.51%
BOS Tuukka Rask 54.88% 58.57% 42.86% 52.88%
STL Jake Allen 54.88% 29.58% 0.00% 31.58%
NYI Robin Lehner 52.44% 0.00% 0.00% 20.98%
CGY David Rittich 51.22% 68.57% 21.43% 49.04%
CAR Petr Mrazek 48.78% 55.88% 21.43% 43.69%
CGY Mike Smith 48.78% 0.00% 0.00% 19.23%
FLA Roberto Luongo 48.78% 0.00% 0.00% 19.42%
CHI Corey Crawford 47.56% 55.71% 0.00% 37.50%
NYI Thomas Greiss 47.56% 41.79% 0.00% 32.68%
NJD Keith Kinkaid 46.34% 0.00% 0.00% 18.36%
BOS Jaroslav Halak 45.12% 41.43% 30.36% 39.90%
DAL Anton Khudobin 45.12% 37.68% 57.14% 45.89%
BUF Linus Ullmark 41.46% 49.28% 35.71% 42.51%
COL Philipp Grubauer 40.24% 52.17% 69.64% 52.17%
CAR Curtis McElhinney 40.24% 0.00% 0.00% 16.02%
STL Jordan Binnington 36.59% 70.42% 73.21% 57.89%
PHI Carter Hart 36.59% 57.97% 44.64% 45.89%
DET Jonathan Bernier 36.59% 57.75% 41.07% 44.98%
NYR Alexandar Georgiev 36.59% 45.71% 32.14% 38.46%
PIT Casey DeSmith 36.59% 0.00% 30.36% 22.71%
CHI Cam Ward 35.37% 0.00% 0.00% 13.94%
EDM Cam Talbot 35.37% 0.00% 0.00% 13.94%
FLA James Reimer 35.37% 0.00% 0.00% 14.08%
NSH Juuse Saros 32.93% 49.28% 62.50% 46.38%
TBL Louis Domingue 31.71% 0.00% 0.00% 12.50%
LAK Jack Campbell 30.49% 28.57% 0.00% 21.63%
TOT Anders Nilsson 29.31% 0.00% 0.00% 12.69%
WSH Pheonix Copley 29.27% 0.00% 0.00% 11.59%
PHI Brian Elliott 28.05% 39.13% 46.43% 36.71%
NJD Cory Schneider 28.05% 15.94% 0.00% 16.43%
TOT Cam Talbot 27.59% 0.00% 0.00% 11.94%
OTT Anders Nilsson 26.83% 26.76% 0.00% 19.62%
NJD Mackenzie Blackwood 25.61% 62.32% 62.50% 47.83%
CBJ Joonas Korpisalo 25.61% 50.00% 55.36% 41.83%
SJS Aaron Dell 24.39% 43.48% 0.00% 24.15%
VEG Malcolm Subban 24.39% 26.76% 0.00% 18.66%
WPG Laurent Brossoit 23.17% 21.13% 19.64% 21.53%
ANA Ryan Miller 20.73% 26.76% 25.00% 23.92%
MTL Antti Niemi 20.73% 0.00% 0.00% 8.13%
TOR Garret Sparks 20.73% 0.00% 0.00% 8.17%
MIN Alex Stalock 19.51% 52.17% 0.00% 25.12%
CHI Collin Delia 17.07% 0.00% 8.93% 9.13%
ARI Antti Raanta 14.63% 45.71% 19.64% 26.44%
VAN Anders Nilsson 14.63% 0.00% 0.00% 5.80%
ARI Adin Hill 13.41% 12.86% 30.36% 17.79%
FLA Sam Montembeault 12.20% 13.24% 0.00% 9.22%
LAK Calvin Petersen 12.20% 11.43% 57.14% 24.04%
PHI Anthony Stolarz 12.20% 0.00% 0.00% 4.83%
TOT Calvin Pickard 10.34% 0.00% 0.00% 4.48%
TOT Anthony Stolarz 10.34% 0.00% 0.00% 4.48%
VAN Thatcher Demko 9.76% 36.23% 62.50% 32.85%
CAR Scott Darling 9.76% 0.00% 0.00% 3.88%
PHI Calvin Pickard 9.76% 0.00% 0.00% 3.86%
TOT Chad Johnson 9.48% 0.00% 0.00% 4.10%
STL Chad Johnson 8.54% 0.00% 0.00% 3.35%
OTT Mike McKenna 7.32% 0.00% 0.00% 2.87%
PHI Michal Neuvirth 7.32% 0.00% 0.00% 2.90%
TOT Michael Hutchinson 6.90% 11.32% 0.00% 7.46%
TOR Michael Hutchinson 6.10% 15.71% 14.29% 11.54%
TOT Mike McKenna 6.03% 0.00% 0.00% 2.61%
OTT Marcus Hogberg 4.88% 29.58% 17.86% 16.75%
ANA Chad Johnson 4.88% 0.00% 0.00% 1.91%
ANA Kevin Boyle 4.88% 0.00% 0.00% 1.91%
ARI Calvin Pickard 4.88% 0.00% 0.00% 1.92%
FLA Michael Hutchinson 3.66% 0.00% 0.00% 1.46%
PHI Cam Talbot 3.66% 0.00% 0.00% 1.45%
TBL Eddie Pasquale 3.66% 0.00% 0.00% 1.44%
PIT Tristan Jarry 2.44% 44.93% 67.86% 34.30%
EDM Anthony Stolarz 2.44% 0.00% 0.00% 0.96%
OTT Mike Condon 2.44% 0.00% 0.00% 0.96%
MTL Charlie Lindgren 1.22% 8.45% 0.00% 3.35%
CAR Alex Nedeljkovic 1.22% 4.41% 41.07% 13.11%
PHI Alex Lyon 1.22% 2.90% 8.93% 3.86%
OTT Joey Daccord 1.22% 0.00% 10.71% 3.35%
LAK Peter Budaj 1.22% 0.00% 0.00% 0.48%
PHI Mike McKenna 1.22% 0.00% 0.00% 0.48%
VAN Richard Bachman 1.22% 0.00% 0.00% 0.48%
VAN Michael Dipietro 1.22% 0.00% 0.00% 0.48%
VEG Maxime Lagace 1.22% 0.00% 0.00% 0.48%
WPG Eric Comrie 1.22% 0.00% 0.00% 0.48%
FLA Sergei Bobrovsky 0.00% 70.59% 53.57% 37.86%
NYI Semyon Varlamov 0.00% 58.21% 62.50% 36.10%
EDM Mike Smith 0.00% 52.86% 53.57% 32.21%
CBJ Elvis Merzlikins 0.00% 44.29% 41.07% 25.96%
CHI Robin Lehner 0.00% 44.29% 0.00% 14.90%
COL Pavel Francouz 0.00% 43.48% 0.00% 14.49%
CAR James Reimer 0.00% 35.29% 37.50% 21.84%
TOT Robin Lehner 0.00% 32.08% 0.00% 12.69%
WSH Ilya Samsonov 0.00% 31.88% 32.14% 19.32%
CGY Cam Talbot 0.00% 31.43% 0.00% 10.58%
TBL Curtis McElhinney 0.00% 25.71% 21.43% 14.42%
TOT Jack Campbell 0.00% 24.53% 0.00% 9.70%
NJD Louis Domingue 0.00% 20.29% 0.00% 6.76%
TOT Malcolm Subban 0.00% 17.92% 0.00% 7.09%
NYR Igor Shesterkin 0.00% 17.14% 55.36% 20.67%
FLA Chris Driedger 0.00% 16.18% 41.07% 16.50%
TOT Louis Domingue 0.00% 14.15% 0.00% 5.60%
TOR Jack Campbell 0.00% 8.57% 39.29% 13.46%
MIN Kaapo Kahkonen 0.00% 7.25% 41.07% 13.53%
BUF Jonas Johansson 0.00% 7.25% 10.71% 5.31%
MTL Keith Kinkaid 0.00% 7.04% 0.00% 2.39%
CBJ Matiss Kivlenieks 0.00% 5.71% 3.57% 2.88%
CAR Anton Forsberg 0.00% 4.41% 0.00% 1.46%
VEG Robin Lehner 0.00% 4.23% 33.93% 10.53%
MTL Cayden Primeau 0.00% 2.82% 7.14% 2.87%
DET Eric Comrie 0.00% 2.82% 0.00% 0.96%
COL Michael Hutchinson 0.00% 1.45% 0.00% 0.48%
COL Adam Werner 0.00% 1.45% 0.00% 0.48%
COL Antoine Bibeau 0.00% 1.45% 0.00% 0.48%
NJD Gilles Senn 0.00% 1.45% 0.00% 0.48%
VAN Louis Domingue 0.00% 1.45% 0.00% 0.48%
TOR Kasimir Kaskisuo 0.00% 1.43% 0.00% 0.48%
ANA Anthony Stolarz 0.00% 1.41% 12.50% 3.83%
DET Calvin Pickard 0.00% 1.41% 7.14% 2.39%
VEG Oscar Dansk 0.00% 1.41% 1.79% 0.96%
CGY Jacob Markstrom 0.00% 0.00% 76.79% 20.67%
CHI Kevin Lankinen 0.00% 0.00% 66.07% 17.79%
WSH Vitek Vanecek 0.00% 0.00% 64.29% 17.39%
MIN Cam Talbot 0.00% 0.00% 58.93% 15.94%
DET Thomas Greiss 0.00% 0.00% 51.79% 13.88%
MTL Jake Allen 0.00% 0.00% 48.21% 12.92%
OTT Matt Murray 0.00% 0.00% 44.64% 11.96%
DAL Jake Oettinger 0.00% 0.00% 42.86% 11.59%
TOT Devan Dubnyk 0.00% 0.00% 39.13% 6.72%
NYI Ilya Sorokin 0.00% 0.00% 37.50% 10.24%
VAN Braden Holtby 0.00% 0.00% 37.50% 10.14%
TOT David Rittich 0.00% 0.00% 32.61% 5.60%
TOT Jonas Johansson 0.00% 0.00% 28.26% 4.85%
NJD Scott Wedgewood 0.00% 0.00% 26.79% 7.25%
STL Ville Husso 0.00% 0.00% 26.79% 7.18%
CHI Malcolm Subban 0.00% 0.00% 25.00% 6.73%
SJS Devan Dubnyk 0.00% 0.00% 23.21% 6.28%
BOS Jeremy Swayman 0.00% 0.00% 17.86% 4.81%
BUF Dustin Tokarski 0.00% 0.00% 17.86% 4.83%
OTT Anton Forsberg 0.00% 0.00% 14.29% 3.83%
COL Jonas Johansson 0.00% 0.00% 12.50% 3.38%
NYR Keith Kinkaid 0.00% 0.00% 12.50% 3.37%
OTT Filip Gustavsson 0.00% 0.00% 12.50% 3.35%
SJS Josef Korenar 0.00% 0.00% 12.50% 3.38%
BOS Daniel Vladar 0.00% 0.00% 8.93% 2.40%
COL Devan Dubnyk 0.00% 0.00% 8.93% 2.42%
COL Hunter Miska 0.00% 0.00% 8.93% 2.42%
NJD Aaron Dell 0.00% 0.00% 8.93% 2.42%
BUF Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen 0.00% 0.00% 7.14% 1.93%
BUF Michael Houser 0.00% 0.00% 7.14% 1.93%
FLA Spencer Knight 0.00% 0.00% 5.36% 1.46%
TOR David Rittich 0.00% 0.00% 5.36% 1.44%
LAK Troy Grosenick 0.00% 0.00% 3.57% 0.96%
SJS Alexei Melnichuk 0.00% 0.00% 3.57% 0.97%
TBL Christopher Gibson 0.00% 0.00% 3.57% 0.96%
WSH Craig Anderson 0.00% 0.00% 3.57% 0.97%
ARI Ivan Prosvetov 0.00% 0.00% 1.79% 0.48%
CGY Louis Domingue 0.00% 0.00% 1.79% 0.48%
EDM Stuart Skinner 0.00% 0.00% 1.79% 0.48%
NJD Eric Comrie 0.00% 0.00% 1.79% 0.48%
PIT Maxime Lagace 0.00% 0.00% 1.79% 0.48%
ARI Hunter Miska 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
CAR David Ayres 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
CBJ Veini Vehvilainen 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
CGY Artyom Zagidulin 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
DAL Landon Bow 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
DET Kaden Fulcher 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
NSH Kasimir Kaskisuo 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
NYI Christopher Gibson 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
VEG Logan Thompson 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
VEG Garret Sparks 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%