Fantasy baseball season is in full swing, and the pun was obviously intended. Earlier today we dropped our staff targets at the loaded shortstop position. And now it’s time for our avoids. Because you want to be a responsible fake baseball owner and avoid the potholes, don’t you?
Fernando Tatis Jr., San Diego Padres (Mark Abell)
I already highlighted him in my bold predictions, but the issue with such a strong position is that there aren’t many players I’m against. Fernando in a nutshell is injury prone, had a .410 BABIP (regression city here we come) and strikes out almost 30% of the time. Also, opposing teams now have a year of tape on him and will know how to best challenge him in what could be a sophomore slump.
Adalberto Mondesi, Kansas City Royals (Jonathan Butler and Zack Waxman)
Mondesi comes at a very high price this year at pick 39 and I am not a fan of it. The speed that Mondesi provides is wonderful, however, I prefer players that are better all around when picking in the top 50. With speed being his only asset, I consider Mondesi too much of a risk because if he injures his legs during the season, you will see that stolen base production drop. The fact that Mondesi could end up being a .250 hitter with less than double-digit power has me worried and not willing to get in at the top 40 price. - Jonathan-
Adalberto Mondesi is a player I will have zero shares of this year in redraft leagues. The speed tax is too pricey for a player that is coming off of a significant injury and has a batting average that could be very bad. In OBP formats, he’s kryptonite. I never want to put all my eggs into one basket with stolen bases. The players that are going around his ADP are far superior in four other categories. For instance, over my dead body are you going to convince me to select Mondesi over Ozzie Albies. When someone else passes on Albies for Mondesi in Round 3, I say thank you for the donation. If you want to make it comparable to shortstop, I’ll take Bichette in rounds 4 or 5. Both Albies and Bichette will help you enough in stolen bases that what they make up for in the other four categories should be more than enough. -Zack-
Carlos Correa, Houston Astros (Heath Capps)
I have mutliple concerns here. Namely, Correa’s injury-riddled past. That same past that dictates that he more than likely will not be a threat on the basepaths in 2020. He himself hasn’t run much in recent years, and the Astros are not a team that has run much as a unit, ranking middle of the pack the last couple of years. Of course, there’s the whole cheating scandal thing to process. Was it just 2017? Was it also 2018 and 2019? 2017, for what it’s worth, was the only year we’d say Correa was “plus-plus” in the batting average department. Remove that year—which we actually have legitimate evidence for doing—and you’re basically expecting a .270 or so hitter. Who probably won’t run. More power than Tim Anderson? Sure! But as for overall skill set, I’d rather have Anderson at his ADP. I like the way he plays, I like his speed, and I like that he just plain has less baggage at that juncture of the draft. 20/20 threats don’t grow on trees, and Anderson is one of the cheapest ones to predict in 2020. So for multiple reasons, count me out on Correa.
Amed Rosario, New York Mets (Garrett Atkins)
It’s not that I hate Amed Rosario, I just hate his price tag. I honestly don’t understand it either. His career numbers per 162 games are just 13 home runs, 61 RBIs, 76 runs, and, wait for it...just 23 steals. I say just 23 because I feel like many people expect him to be a 30+ steal guy. He’s not that, y’all. He’s average batting average and decent speed. That’s not a pick inside the top 150. He also has poor plate discipline, with a walk rate under 5% for his career. I’d much rather have guys like Corey Seager, Jorge Polanco, and even Dansby Swanson over Rosario.
And that’s it for shortstops this week! Of course, there may or may not be an in-depth dive on Carlos Correa this weekend...also, Third Base Week begins on Monday!