Welcome to your daily NBA DFS digest at FakeTeams, gents. Every day I’m here with a handful of pro-tips to roster a winning team just a few hours from now. And on top of that, I’ll bring you some statistical trends from the past week of games!
Gotta Win The Day: Best/Worst DraftKings plays for tonight’s slate
- Love: Rudy Gobert (C). As long as the algorithm keeps overlooking Rudy, I’m all about putting The Croissant in my lineups. It is what it is, folks, a steal. This is the first game back for the Jazz, and although Gob missed on dub-dubbing in his last two before the break, that has only helped us finding him available for cheap today. And I mean, what are the odds Gobert streaks three games without putting up a double-double, something he has not done all season long? The Rockets have zero (not joking) big men capable of putting Gob in trouble, so he will eat even if he plays some 25 minutes tonight. Rudy’s been averaging 15 PPG and 13 RPG in the two weeks before the break, which you gotta love, and he’s swatting almost 3 rocks per. Insane.
- Hate: Victor Oladipo (SG). The Rocks are disintegrating before our eyes. Just yesterday PJ Tucker went bitching about his role with the team, and it now seems that Houston is finally letting him off the team daily operations until the franchise moves him via trade or buys him out. Another fool on the market... joining Dipo? Vic is definitely not sticking with Houston, like it or not. He would bolt away from the H this summer, so you know what is going to happen in the next couple of weeks. Anyway, sticking to what matters here, Dipo has been a little bit bouncy as a Rocket. Sure, he came back yesterday with a 42-FP game, and had a 59-performance just before the break against Brooklyn, but prior to that, he had logged three games in which he couldn’t top 36 FP... Oladipo’s production is too random to put him in lineups daily, and tonight’s affair with Utah doesn’t ooze excitement, to say the least.
- Love: Jimmy Butler (SF). There is a revenge game today in this Bulls vs. Heat matchup that will pit Jimmer against his first-ever pro club. That’s cool and all, but it’s not that Butler needs any more motivation these days. I mean, this guy was snubbed from the AS, and even if he had been picked, he would have skipped it because of Bam Adebayo’s own snub. Simply put, Jimmy lives in a perennial Revenge Tour that will span from the break to the end of the year, if not slipping into next season or whatever. Butler led yesterday’s slate cooking up 62 PF. He has dropped four 50-FP performances in a row, and his line in those four reads 29-7-10-2. Sometimes I think most folks don’t value Jimmer enough...
- Hate: Zach LaVine (PF). Back-to-back games and back-to-back hates. Hell yes. We rock and rolling here. Told you to fade Zachary yesterday, and Zachary agreed with me dropping a 33-FP dud. ZLV is great, don’t get it wrong, and he’s putting up a historic season not seen that often in the history of the league. That being said, he’s been on the low since Feb. 22 with four of six games falling below 40 DKFP and that’s something we all hate and want to avoid. The ROI values he’s giving his truthers have been ultra low, his rebounding prowess has disappeared of late, and the only thing saving his game is basically an unsustainably-high shooting percentage. Pass.
- Love: Jordan Clarkson (PG/SG). Sneaky, sneaky, sneaky play of the day. Clark needs no boost to drop his customary 20 pops any given day, but peep at this matchup and envision greatness. The Jazz are going against the Rockets in a game in which, if things go as expected and Utah leads by 35 after the first quarter, Clarkson might log a season-high minutes mark at the end of the day. In just 26 minutes off the bench, this fool has become the crystal-clear 6MOY already, and ain’t nobody taking that award from him. Sorry, haters. The line is at 18-4-2-1 on the year, the price is sweet as ripe mangoes, and the ROI is sky-high. Feast on this thing.
What’s cooking? Statistical trends from Week 10-11 (Feb. 22 to Mar. 7)
- We’re back to the good old times of Giannis dominating the L, folks. In a week in which everything went down in the fantasy basketball realm, Giannis Antotekounmpo was the only player with 3+ games played to average more than 59 FP, finishing with 65 DKFP per game in his three matches this past week.
- The numbers were crazy at an average 37-11-6-1-2 line and he even added 1.7 3PG, went to the line almost 10 times per game, and hit 60% of his 24 FGA per game nightly to go with a 75% rate from the charity stripe. Nobody came even remotely close to Giannis’ 1.84 FP/min even though the Greek logged 36 MPG. Jokic was second at 1.66, with Jimmer ranking third at 1.57.
- Not only was Giannis’ average the best among all players, but he reached that mark on a very steady basis with a minimal deviation of 7 DKFP per game. His scores read 66, 58, and 71. Jokic’s deviation was even better (fewer than 3 FP per game), but Butler’s 14 was quite high (he went as low as 37 FP and as high as 62).
- Bradley Beal came back to his scoring ways, ranking second in PPG with 35 per game only behind Giannis (37) and above Devin Booker (33). No other player reached 30, though Zion finished at a close 29.7 PPG.
- No player was able to close the week averaging a trip-dub, with Westbrook (22-11-9), Draymond (9-8-11), Sabonis (20-9-7), Jimmy (25-7-9), Jokic (28-9-8), and Harden (26-9-9) being the closest to it.
- Silly cheap values: Markieff, Krokmaz, Wade, Isaiah Stewart, Thybulle, Scott, Nowell, Windler, Saben Lee, Teague, Saric
- A little more expensive but still with massive ROI: PJ Washington, Bruce Brown, Monk, Branes, Rose, Dennis Smith Jr., DiVincenzo, Kemba, Steven Adams, Nunn, Bledsoe
- Some very expensive players not doing enough: Ben Simmons, LaVine, Tatum, Paul George, Jaylen, Wall, Rozier, Morant, Valanciunas, Oubre.
- Cheap points (min. 3 games played in the past seven days): Saben Lee, Tyus Jones, Windler, Korkmaz, Nowell, Shamet, Teague, Paschall, Reid, Saric, Winslow, Cam Johnson, Forbes, Niang
- Cheap threes: Windler, Shamet, Niang, Korkmaz, Iggy, Tony Snell
- Cheap boards: Isaiah Stewart, Marjanovic, Wade, Gibson, Sterling Brown, Markieff, Saric, Dwight, Iggy, PJ Tucker, Tillman, Windler
- Cheap dimes: Saben Lee, Chasson Randle, Tyus Jones, Teague, James Johnson, Bembry, THT, Rondo, Wanamaker
- Cheap steals: Ntilikina, Okeke, Aminu, Windler, Claxton, Aaron Holiday, Isaiah Stewart.
- Cheap blocks: Patton, McGee, Reid, Len, Claxton, Thybulle, Dwight, Stewart, THT
- Cheap FG% (min. 8 FGA): Saben Lee, Paschall, Reid, Cam Johnson, Shamet, THT, Winslow, Nowell, Korkmaz
If you have any comment or question about the daily column, tonight’s games, players involved in them, or even season-long fantasy NBA topics, just drop it below or reach out to me on Twitter at @chapulana and I’ll get back to you as soon as I grab a keyboard!