Are you trying to predict how the first 10 games of the 2021 MLB season will play out? Me too!
I have quite a few injured players on my fantasy baseball team to start the season, and need to maximize my “fillers” until they are healthy. One way I’ve looked into do this was finding out how ball park factors accounted into the upcoming schedule.
Another way is to pull how teams did “X number of games” into the last two seasons in terms of home runs and total runs. This doesn’t give any kind of nod to a specific player and assuredly teams change with coaches and players moving—but it can help give you a starting point of which teams to look for players. Also, as you will note, some have been built to excel out of the gate and others…have not.
Here are my biggest takeaways:
The Good
Between either a favorable schedule or historic strong offensive starts, I would recommend:
The Bad
On the other side, there are historically rough offensive starts from these programs:
Here is the full data for all MLB teams over the last two years. Enjoy!
MLB First 10 Games Last Two Years
Team (best 30, worst 1) | 2019 HR Rank | 2020 HR Rank | Average HR Rank | 2019 Runs Rank | 2020 Runs Rank | Average Run Rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team (best 30, worst 1) | 2019 HR Rank | 2020 HR Rank | Average HR Rank | 2019 Runs Rank | 2020 Runs Rank | Average Run Rank |
ARI | 26 | 13 | 20 | 26 | 26 | 26 |
ATL | 13 | 15 | 14 | 22 | 25 | 25 |
BAL | 10 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 19 | 19 |
BOS | 10 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
CHC | 25 | 27 | 26 | 23 | 23 | 23 |
CHW | 13 | 18 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 15 |
CIN | 17 | 23 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
CLE | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
COL | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 |
DET | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
HOU | 13 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 8 |
KCR | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 16 | 16 |
LAA | 8 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
LAD | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 |
MIA | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 10 |
MIL | 26 | 22 | 24 | 15 | 12 | 12 |
MIN | 18 | 25 | 22 | 11 | 16 | 16 |
NYM | 20 | 15 | 18 | 24 | 23 | 23 |
NYY | 28 | 29 | 29 | 15 | 20 | 20 |
OAK | 20 | 21 | 21 | 26 | 28 | 28 |
PHI | 23 | 28 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 27 |
PIT | 5 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 |
SDP | 13 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 13 |
SEA | 29 | 26 | 28 | 30 | 29 | 29 |
SFG | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 |
STL | 22 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 3 | 3 |
TBR | 5 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 18 |
TEX | 18 | 9 | 14 | 28 | 22 | 22 |
TOR | 8 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 6 |
WSN | 23 | 24 | 24 | 17 | 14 | 14 |