It was another mixed week for my must starts with two solid top-15 running back performances from Jamaal Williams (16.9 points, RB12) and Ronald Jones (16.2 points, RB14) and a solid outing from Michael Gallup (11.3 points, WR32), who spectacularly somersaulted into the end zone for a touchdown for the Cowboys. Tyrell Williams gave a solid but unspectacular 7.8 points as he didn’t pick up the touchdown I forecasted but poor Diontae Johnson saw just 2 targets for the Steelers as Mason Rudolph ignored his receivers and threw 20 passes to Jaylen Samuels and Vance McDonald. Urgh.
Onto this week and with a whopping 6 teams on bye, I’ve dug deep to bring my must starts to help you win that vital Week 10 match up.
It’s taken until Week 10 but the first Dolphin has hit the must start list. In Parker’s case its a little by default as the season-ending knee injury to Preston Williams and the suspension for Mark Walton have made a further 10+ targets available in the offense. Parker is coming off a run of four straight games with at least 11.5 PPR points and the Colts present a pretty average pass defense so I’m confident the volume and production is there to give a solid WR2/Flex option this week.
Tannehill has averaged 20.5 fantasy points in his 3 starts since taking over from Marcus Mariota, making him a Top-10 fantasy QB over the last 3 weeks. This week he faces a Chiefs team with a returning Patrick Mahomes so it’s likely to fall on Tannehill to keep up with the Chiefs expansive offense. The Chiefs give Tannehill a solid floor to work from this, allowing 18.8 points per game to QBs in 2019. Plus don’t underestimate Tannehill is playing for his NFL future. Give the former wider receiver a chance this week and thank me later.
Back to the well on this one after Williams performed so well for me last week. I expect Williams to again provide the perfect foil to Aaron Jones who I also expect a big week from. The Panthers are ranked 30th against the run and they average 5 receptions a game to running backs, which is perfect for Williams as he hauled in all 6 of his targets last week for 39 yards and a touchdown. I expect the same this week for Williams.
I am forecasting a big game ahead for Brown who returned after a 3 game absence last week and though his number weren’t striking (4 targets, 3 catches for 48 yards), he goes from facing the league’s best pass defense in the Patriots to the 29th in the Bengals. Lamar Jackson is proving he can pass as well as run and having his top receiver a further week removed fro injury gives me confidence Hollywood is going off this week.
This one may be a stretch based on some of Darnold’s recent performances, but in a week where we have 6 teams on a bye, you have to dig a little deeper, especially in 2 QB/Superflex leagues. Match-up wise, the Giants have allowed 19.9 points per games to opposing quarterbacks and Darnold has completed over 70% of his passes the last 2 weeks. If he can have a clean game and keep the turnovers to a minimum, Darnold could be that gem that shines for you in Week 10.
Bonus Start – Ravens D/ST @ Bengals – 63.6% owned
Against a rookie QB making his first start you have to fancy the Ravens will cook up a plan to confuse Ryan Findley. The Ravens defense is also on the rise in recent weeks and with their top 3 offense looking hard to stop, it’s likely to fall on Findley to attempt to keep up. The Ravens have been a top-7 unit against the run in 2019 so I expect them to carry this on against the historically poor Bengals rushing attack. If they are out there on waivers this week, snap up the Ravens defense and enjoy the fireworks.