Welcome to your daily NBA DFS digest at FakeTeams, gents. Every day I’m here with a handful of pro-tips to roster a winning team just a few hours from now, and players to target/fade if you want to win tonight’s slate of games!
Gotta Win The Day: Best/Worst DraftKings plays for tonight’s slate
Picks at the Guard positions
- Love: Anthony Edwards (SG/SF). We already knew Ant is a walking bucket. Only now he’s doubling down on his scoring upside and dropping 25+ PPG in the early season with three games in his log. See, the thing with Edwards is that he’s doing much more than scoring thanks to his 8 RPG and near-4 APG, not to mention 1 SPG and monster playing time topping the 36 MPG per contest. The shooting can’t get much better (42.4% from the floor and 41.9% from three) considering he’s attempting a bonkers 22 FGA and that 10.3 of those shots are coming from beyond the three-point line. Say what!? Milwaukee is loaded on the frontcourt but is going through some pains at the guard slots with Jrue banged up and a soft rotation outside of that.
- Hate: Bradley Beal (SG). There must be a day in the near future in which Brad finally gets things right, right? Whether that’d be today or not, we’ll see, but I’m not trusting this man as much as to pony up the $9.2K he’s tagged with on this very Wednesday. See, Boston is this team that goes to overtime every single night it plays a professional basketball game, which definitely helps everybody in the fantasy realm, but Beal has played only two games this season, has been out while banged up, and all he’s done in 45 total minutes of play is shooting 36% from the floor and 21% on long-range shots. The line sits at 21-3-4-2, which isn’t bad at all, but definitely not good enough for that monster salary—not to mention he’s turning the ball over 4.5 times per
Plays at the Forward positions
- Love: Jayson Tatum (SF/PF). Tatum and Brown, Brown and Tatum. What a pair of ballers, folks. We’re going with Tatum here because of Brown’s trouble with his health and thus broader set of potential outcomes. Jay T has put up a 48 DFKP average through his four games played, is getting to use more than 31% of Boston’s offensive plays, and is averaging a very fantastic 27-8-4 line with almost 2 stocks per game. What’s to hate? Yes: the three-point shots, that’s what. Tatum is dropping just 33% of his bulky 10+ 3PA a night, but that should get back up a bit soon... and the Wiz could very well provide the perfect foe to help Tatum’s numbers. Not an overly expensive play for the upside he carries.
- Hate: Evan Mobley (PF/C). Hating on a rook is worse than your average kid fighting a glass-wearing nerd in the schoolyard. But here we are. As much as I’ve enjoyed Mobley flexing on draft experts early (“Oh, look, he might be good and in fact the best prospect in this draft class!”), things are starting to ramp up too much when it comes to his fantasy price. The line isn’t bad, nor the salary too high at $7K, but the average 14-8-3-1-2 in 33 MPG is just that, an average. In other words, Mobley has had wild performing swings as he’s scored 42 FP, then 28, then 41, then 23 in his four games as a pro. The flier isn’t the craziest one, sure, but the bounciness is a bit high and he only played 26 minutes his last time out a couple of days ago instead of the 33+ he had logged in his first three games of the season prior to that one.
Picks at the Center position
Love: Steven Adams (C). Low-key potential ROI King of the slate. Stevie is putting up numbers three games into the season, though that is nothing surprising considering Memphis looks like a contender these days. Maybe that’s stretching things a bit, alright, but you know where I’m coming from. Adams is playing more than 30 MPG this season and he has not had a problem adapting to the Grizz squad. The average is at a very tasty 13-13-5-1 and the only thing not going Adams’ way is blocked shots. He’s doing everything on a measly 15.5% usage rate, so even the smallest of upticks there would be fantastic. His 1.25 FP/min average is on a top-tier level and although he’s shooting just 9 rocks a game he’s hitting 63% (!!!) of those attempts. Adams has gone from 33 to 39 and lately 43 DKFP, and has finished with either 14+ points or boards in all three games he’s played already never falling below a 57.1 shooting percentage from the floor. All of that for the sweet price of just $5.3K on Wednesday’s slate.
If you have any comment or question about the daily column, tonight’s games, players involved in them, or even season-long fantasy NBA topics, just drop it below or reach out to me on Twitter at @chapulana and I’ll get back to you as soon as I grab a keyboard!