Earlier today we gave you our guys to avoid. Now it’s time for some good old culmination. After an entire week of mulling it over, we humbly give you our men to target at the keystone.
Ozzie Albies, Braves (Heath Capps)
I outlined a case for Albies in our avoids article. He’s the main reason I want no part of Jose Altuve. He’s an awesome power/speed combo batting in between Ronald Acuña Jr. and Freddie Freeman. He’s an aggressive swinger, but he’s been top five in Z-Swing% in the last two seasons. He hits tons of line drives (13th in the MLB last year) so I think we can trust the batting average. He’s got an awesome skill set to be sitting in the two-hole for Atlanta, in what actually looks like a top-heavy lineup for a team that expects to contend. He should be a fantasy monster in 2020.
Ketel Marte, Diamondbacks (Garrett Atkins)
The breakout was legit, y’all. Marte was amazing in 2019 with 32 home runs, 92 RBIs, 97 runs, and 10 steals. He was seventh in the MLB with a .981 OPS. He was ninth in baseball with a .405 wOBA. His expected stats include an xBA of .299, an xSLG of .521, and an xwOBA of .370. If Marte “falls” to those ratios, he is still an elite hitter. He hit even better in the second half by the way. All signs point to Marte being a force in fantasy again in 2020 and I’m willing to spend a top 30 pick to get him.
Keston Hiura, Brewers (Jonathan Butler)
Hiura struggled early last year, but finished out strong as he put up 19 long balls in 84 games. The average may drop this next year, as it was supported by a .402 BABIP in 2019. However, Hiura can support a higher end BABIP because of his decent sprint speed and high end line drive rate of 28.4%. Hiura has the ability to put up 30 home runs and 10 stolen bases with a .280 average, all while hitting in the cleanup spot for Milwaukee. I love the value at pick 42.
Gavin Lux, Dodgers (Zack Waxman)
Gavin Lux’s NFBC ADP is 159. This never made sense to me and it will be corrected in short order. It was always my assumption that whatever moves the Dodgers would make this offseason, it would clear the path for Lux. It is clear now. Lux is only going 10 picks ahead of Garrett Hampson, who is another player without a full season in the majors under his belt. This is only slightly higher than Hampson went in 2019. Despite the speed tax you pay in these drafts, Hampson still has less pedigree than Lux and far more competition for playing time. Lux has double-digit stolen bases the last three seasons, with a 27-steal season in 2017. I am not sure that people give this point enough consideration. Over the past two seasons in the minor leagues, Lux has a .410 OBP, averaging 29 homers and 16 steals over a 160 game pace. Yet Luis Robert is going almost 100 picks ahead of him...
Garrett Hampson, Rockies (Mark Abell)
As a late (ish) flier who really dazzled in the second half of 2019, the risk is worth it. He will steals bases and shows flashes of a good bat. I’ve seen him in the late 100s, even. Anything past pick 130, I am jumping on.
And that’s all we wrote for second base! Come back around for shortstops next week. It’s sure to be a much more exciting endeavor.