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2016 Consensus Top 100 Starting Pitcher Rankings: 51-100

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We continue our Consensus Ranking series with a look at the remainder of our Consensus Top 100 starting pitchers for the 2016 season.

Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Brian Creagh opened Starting Pitcher week here at Fake Teams with the landscape of the position for fantasy purposes yesterday. Today we bring you the second half of our consensus fantasy starting pitcher rankings for 2016. We used a points system for each of the 100 starting pitchers ranked by each of the Fake Teams writers who participated in the consensus rankings series.

The writers who participated in this series are:

Ray Guilfoyle
Jason Hunt
Rob Parker
Daniel Kelley
Jack Cecil
Timothy Finnegan
Heath Capps

We feel that providing you our consensus position rankings, you get an average ranking from the Fake Teams writers, rather than one writers' opinion, which inherently includes some biases.

Each of the position rankings will be split into two parts. Rankings and player profiles for starting pitchers ranked 1-50 in were published yesterday, and rankings and player profiles for starting pitchers ranked 51-100 are here today.

Digging deeper into the position, run scoring actually went back up last year after a dramatic drop off between 2009 and 2014. In 2009, 22,419 runs were scored, 5,042 HR were hit, and pitchers had an average ERA of 4.32. In 2014, total runs scored fell to 19,761, a drop of 2,658 runs. Total home runs dropped by 856, to 4,186, and average ERA fell to 3.74. In 2009, 11 starting pitchers had an ERA under 3, while in 2014, 22 starting pitchers had an ERA under 3.

In 2015, MLB average ERA for starting pitchers shot up to 4.10, from 3.82 in 2014. Fielding Independent Pitching for starters went up to 4.03, from 3.81 in 2014, and home runs per 9 innings also went up, from 0.91 to 1.06. Strikeout rate and walk rate held steady between 2014 and 2015, at roughly 19.5% and 7.1% each.

There has been some rumbling about adding the DH to the National League in the new CBA discussions, which will begin after the 2016 season ends. That would give a further bump in run scoring, but until it actually happens, it's probably not worth discussing for fantasy purposes. League average ERA for starting pitchers between the AL and NL generally varies from about 0.10 to 0.20 year to year.



51. James Shields

Shields was a popular pick to pitch very well last year moving from the AL to what has been historically one of the NL's most pitcher friendly parks. He had an unexpectedly below average season, though, primarily on the back of a 17% home run to fly ball rate. Lefties crushed him to an .890 OPS, mostly off 2 HR per 9 IP and a 22% HR/FB%. PetCo also played much more hitter friendly, possibly because construction in downtown San Diego changed ballpark wind patterns.

52. Justin Verlander
53. Gio Gonzalez

Gonzalez's 1.42 WHIP was inflated largely because of a massive .341 BABIP against, nearly 50 points higher than it had been in previous seasons. Gonzalez had a .293 BABIP on ground balls, significantly above the MLB average of .250 on ground balls. He generated an average exit velocity on ground balls of about 85.7 mph, which is above average for ground balls. Sounds to me like he was bitten by some baseball randomness on those grounders; he wasn't exactly giving up screaming rockets through the infield. I would be shocked if he doesn't have significant improvements in 2016 on BIP if he maintains the same skill set.

54. Jamie Garcia
55. Collin McHugh

McHugh was a poster boy for spin rate, as the Astros signed him primarily because of a high spin rate on his curve. The Astros then tweaked his repertoire based on analytics, which helped mold him into an above average big league starter.

56. Kyle Hendricks
57. Jason Hammel

Hammel has somewhat quietly been excellent over his last 350 IP. He's generated both an above average ERA (3.61) and K% (23%), and like the other Cubs pitchers, gets the luxury of an explosive offense that should give him a lot of run support. The one knock is that he's been homer prone, allowing 1.19 HR/9 over that span.

58. Clay Buchholz
59. Luis Severino

Severino's mid 90s fastball and vicious slider combo are filthy, and it's easy to see why Brian Cashman refused to include him in any deadline or offseason trades.

60. Joe Ross

I'm a big Joe Ross fan. I was the high guy on him in our rankings, and I think he can become a huge fantasy asset this year based on his ADP. His fastball is mid 90s and flashes bowling ball sink, and his slider is filthy. He will need to get production vs LHB under control before taking the next step, but I believe in his skills. I expect the Nationals offense to rebound in 2016 with better years from Anthony Rendon and a midseason boost from Trea Turner, which will be helpful with win totals.

61. Julio Teheran
62. Aaron Nola

Nola is an impressive young arm in the Phillies rotation. I especially like his curveball, and he generated about an MLB average strikeout rate as a 22 year old. There is a lot of room for growth, and I think he has a realistic shot to produce to an above average ERA this year. The Phillies rancid roster will severely limit his win total, though.

63. Eduardo Rodriguez

The Red Sox are high on Rodriguez and some think he can develop into a front of the rotation starter. My expectations were tempered when he dislocated his kneecap early in spring. Discomfort or a non trust of his knee could lead to problems on the mound, particularly with command and/or mechanics.

64. Andrew Cashner
65. Kenya Maeda
66. Mike Leake
67. Anthony DeSclafani
68. Mike Fiers
69. Andrew Heaney
70. Rick Porcello
71. Ian Kennedy

Kennedy moves from the worst defensive team to the best defensive team. He was prone to getting hit hard last year, but the Royals defense can help record some extra outs on BIP.

72. Jimmy Nelson
73. Kevin Gausman
74. Anibal Sanchez
75. Nathan Eovaldi
76. Edinson Volquez
77. Jerad Eickhoff
78. Kyle Gibson
79. Marco Estrada
80. Alex Wood
81. Rich Hill

Hill is one of my favorite sleepers for this year. I wrote about him back when he first signed with the A's (see here), and what jumped out at me was his fastball/curve combo. Hitters took AWFUL swings at his fastball despite modest velocity, and it looked like there was some serious deception being used, possibly in his high spin rates on his fastball and curve. Hill isn't going to be a strong bet for a big IP total, but I expect him to pitch well for however long he lasts.

82. Matt Moore
83. Hector Santiago
84. Alex Cobb

Cobb had TJ surgery in May of last year, and using the 14 month timetable, Cobb will be on track to return sometime around July if he has no setbacks.

85. Derek Holland
86. Daniel Norris
87. Trevor Bauer
88. Nate Karns
89. Erasmo Ramirez
90. Wade Miley

Miley finally gets to pitch his home games in a more forgiving environment after being traded to Seattle.

91. Martin Perez
92. Rubby de la Rosa

de la Rosa is hard on righties, but got destroyed by lefties last year. He is also prone to giving up homers. de la Rosa is worth a spot start against a righty heavy lineup, preferably on the road away from Chase Field.

93. James Paxton

Paxton flashes filthy stuff but can't stay healthy.

94. Tyler Lyons
95. Josh Tomlin
96. Yovani Gallardo
97. Chris Heston

Heston likely enters 2016 on the outside of the rotation after the signings of Johnny Cueto and Jeff Samardzjia, but an injury to Matt Cain or Jake Peavy can get him a slot.

98. Wily Peralta
99. Joe Kelly
100. Matt Shoemaker