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Hot Ice: Players who are hot and cold in fantasy baseball (4/8/21)

We are looking at recent weeks and years to better understand what’s going on in fantasy baseball.

Pittsburgh Pirates v Cincinnati Reds Photo by Kirk Irwin/Getty Images

Welcome to Hot Ice, a column to help break down who in fantasy baseball has been hot and cold in the past week. The purpose of this article is to look at the “2’s”:

  • Which players are hot and cold over the last TWO weeks (in this case it’s one week)
  • Players who were historically hot over the last two years. (The fun part of this is while you may research which players were hot in April vs. June, what I did was take a culmination of each player’s game individually and then put a count on each one. So what you will see here is how each player fared between their 6th and 26th games over the last two years. I then RANKED these players against their peers, so what you will see are the highest-ranked players across those games over the last two years. Who might have struggled or been average through the first week of games, and then really got a fire going after that? Obviously there are a lot of variables when looking at this data—rookies, injuries, COVID-related absences, and being scratched—so I noted any player who ONLY HAD ONE YEAR’S worth of data due to one of those situations. Some names on this list are obvious, while others might surprise you.

I understand that isn’t an ‘end all be all,’ but I'm hoping you can use this data in context with other bits of information to make an informed decision with your lineup. For now it’s just batters, but if the appetite is there I will add in pitchers as well.

Last Two Weeks (well in this instance, it’s just one week)

Here are top five hitters across hits, runs, RBI, SBG, and homers. You can sort the table below to see the top players at each category.

Who’s Hot — Top 5 Hitters (Across H, R, RBI, SBG & HR)

Batters Team Position GP Hits R HR RBI SB AVG
Batters Team Position GP Hits R HR RBI SB AVG
Yermín Mercedes CWS Util 5 13 4 1 6 0 0.565
Ketel Marte Ari 2B,SS, OF 5 12 5 2 5 0 0.522
Cedric Mullins BAL OF 5 11 4 0 0 1 0.524
J.D. Martinez Bos OF 5 10 4 2 9 0 0.476
Alex Bregman Hou 3B,SS 5 9 4 2 6 0 0.429
Jose Altuve Hou 2B,SS, OF 6 8 9 0 2 0 0.320
Nick Senzel Cin OF 5 3 7 0 0 0 0.273
Nick Castellanos Cin OF 5 9 7 3 6 0 0.474
Adam Eaton CWS OF 5 5 7 1 3 1 0.250
Shohei Ohtani LAA Util 6 6 6 2 3 2 0.300
Nate Lowe Tex 1B 5 8 4 3 14 0 0.381
Tyler Naguin Cin OF 5 5 4 3 12 0 0.357
Whit Merrifield KC 2B,OF 4 8 5 3 9 0 0.500
Jose Abreu CWS 1B 6 5 4 2 9 0 0.208
Byron Buxton Min OF 4 4 3 3 4 1 0.400
Evan Longoria SF 3B 5 5 3 3 5 0 0.278
Kyle Tucker Hou OF 6 5 4 3 9 0 0.192
Nelson Cruz Min Util 5 7 4 3 7 0 0.538
Michael Taubman NYY OF 2 0 0 0 0 2 0.000
Miguel Rojas Mia SS 5 5 3 0 2 2 0.278
Dylan Moore Sea 2B,3B,SS,OF 5 3 2 0 4 2 0.200
Chris Owings Col 2B,3B,SS,OF 5 4 4 0 1 2 0.364
Ramon Laureano Oak OF 3 5 2 0 2 2 0.455
Nick Solak Tex 2B,3B,OF 5 4 4 0 1 2 0.222
Mookie Betts LAD OF 5 8 6 1 1 2 0.348
Jazz Chisholm Mia 2B,SS 4 3 2 0 1 2 0.231
Javier Baez ChC SS 5 3 2 10 3 2 0.167
Marcus Semien Tor 2B,SS 5 4 2 2 4 2 0.182

Who’s Cold — Top 25 preseason hitters outside the top 250 with more than one game played

  • Christian Yelich, OF: Batting .222 with 1 RBI through 5 games played.
  • Trevor Story, SS: Through 5 games he has 1 RBI with a .227 BA.
  • Jose Ramirez, 3B: Through 5 games he has no RBIs and just 1 run scored.
  • Freddie Freeman, 1B: Through 4 games he’s batting .077. Freeman is historically strong going forward.
  • Francisco Lindor, SS: Through 2 games, he is batting .125.
  • Bryce Harper, OF: Through 5 games, he’s batting .200 with 1 RBI. He’s historically strong going forward.
  • Cody Bellinger, 1B: Through 4 games, he is batting .211. He’s historically strong going forward.

Last Two Years

The below table ranks the top batters against their peers over the last two years in RBI, Runs, and HR, across games 6-26 played. (1 would be the best Rank).

Top Batters — Last 2 years, games 6-26

Row Labels Total Sum of Rank RBI Total Sum of Rank Run Total Sum of Rank HR Total Sum of Average Notes
Row Labels Total Sum of Rank RBI Total Sum of Rank Run Total Sum of Rank HR Total Sum of Average Notes
Freddie Freeman 8 11 38 19
Mike Trout 26 26 11 21
Trey Mancini 26 20 24 23 One Year Blank
José Abreu 5 71 40 39
Juan Soto 39 33 55 42
Pete Alonso 35 85 10 43
Ronald Acuña Jr. 93 10 27 43
Luis Robert 58 48 41 49 One Year Blank
Bryce Harper 57 44 49 50
Cody Bellinger 74 55 37 55
Rafael Devers 21 60 85 55
Mookie Betts 91 7 68 55
George Springer 79 65 31 58
Manny Machado 61 81 52 65
Nelson Cruz 61 119 16 65
Eugenio Suárez 45 134 19 66
Xander Bogaerts 85 44 78 69
Eddie Rosario 27 112 69 69
Marcell Ozuna 49 100 64 71
Trevor Story 132 24 65 74
Max Muncy 110 58 56 75
Kole Calhoun 105 83 45 78
Yasiel Puig 59 93 82 78 One Year Blank
Salvador Perez 50 145 41 79 One Year Blank
Anthony Rendon 60 87 103 83