Race: Toyota Owners 400
Date: April 18th at 3:00pm
Venue: Richmond Raceway
2020 Winner: Martin Truex Jr. (3:00:16)
Richmond International Raceway — At 0.75 miles this asphalt track is among the older on the circuit (1946). It runs on the shorter side (much like Bristol) meaning there will be trading paint and anyone can emerge but it’s in an odd space, it’s not half a mile like Martinsville but it’s not a full mile like Dover and Phoenix giving it a special speed to brake dynamic that is uniquely Richmond. It is interesting amongst the many oval shaped courses as this one is more of a “D”. Its banks run 14 degrees at the highest with an 8 degree tilt on the front and 2 degrees on the back.
Kyle Busch (fourth selection this year) — Busch has been nothing short of brilliant at Richmond over the last seven years. He has a handful of wins here over the last three years and has totaled nine top six finishes here in the last seven years. After a rough start, he’s corrected himself with top 10 finishes in two of the last three races.
Joey Logano (second selection this year) — Logano has nothing but top 15 finishes here over the last eight years. He has a few wins and a lot of top fives. He has top 15 finishes each of the last five races.
High Risk/High Reward
Tyler Reddick (third selection this year) — As a rookie, Reddick finished 11th here last year. He finished 7th and 8th at shorter races Martinsville and Bristol over the last two races and appears to have the pedigree and vehicle to succeed in this environment.
Daniel Suarez (second selection this year) — Suarez finished among the top 17 four of the last five races at Richmond. He’s been progressing well this season going from 26th at Las Vegas to 21st at Phoenix, then 17th at Atlanta and 4th at Bristol. We can’t ascertain much from Martinsville as he started at 11th and wrecked 380 laps in but his car looked solid through the start of the race.
The Dark Horse
Aric Almirola (second selection this year) — Across Almirola’s last seven races at Richmond, he was in the top 10 four times and in the top 20 six times. Aric only has one finish inside the top 15 this year so He will need to harness the power or Richmond here.
Fun Fact: Last year was the first year this race was not held since 1958.
Favorite: Avg Finish 15th (38th Percent)
High Risk/High Reward: Avg Finish 20th (52nd Percent)
Dark Horse: Avg Finish 16th (40th Percent)