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WGC-Mexico Championship: Expert Picks

Tyrrell Hatton plays well at World Golf Championships

Getty Images/Pete Rogers Illustrations

Tournament Information

WGC-Mexico Championship
Date: February 20th – 23rd
Course: Club de Golf Chapultepec
Purse: $10.5MM ($1.7MM to winner)
FedEx points: 550 to winner
OWGR points: 70
2019 Winner: Dustin Johnson (-21)


Club de Golf Chapultepec. Built over the course of a few years by Willie Smith and Alex Smith it officially opened in 1928. The course is 7,267 feet long with a mixture of different holes and trees lining most fairways. This course is on high elevation (7,800 feet above sea level) to put this in reference, California averages 2,900 feet above sea level and Florida averages 100 feet above sea level, this is more than twice that height. It has a par 5 converted to long 4 due to the elevation as well as some dog legs and hole one even has two separate greens. This tournament will favor the shots gained candidates especially greens in regulation as they stretch the distance

World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship - Round One Photo by Stan Badz/PGA TOUR

My Starting 4

Justin Thomas (2nd selection this year) — Over the last two years, Justin has one of the best WGC track records averaging a 7th place finish.

Tyrrell Hatton (1st selection this year) — Tyrrell, much like Justin, has a good WGC record over the last two years averaging 9th in these tournaments. Tyrrell has an elite Tee to Green and Around the green shots gained both sitting in the top 35 on the tour.

Tommy Fleetwood (1st selection this year) — With Tommy you can step back even further, going back three years, Tommy has averaged a 17th place finish consistently sitting 15th-17th each year. Narrowing it down, his last 10 WGC finishes: 53, 4, 4, 19, 7, 14, 14, 20, 28, 2. The one that WASN’T in the top 30 was the WGC – HSBC Champions that occurs in Sheshan International GC, China.

Webb Simpson (1st selection this year) — He averaged a 14th place finish at WGC last season. He has finished in the top 10 in his last five consecutive tournaments.

My Bench 2

Marc Leishman (1st selection this year) — Marc finished 19th at WGC events last year. Currently, this year he is averaging 15th through three tournaments in 2020. My main point of nervousness was how he fared here the last two years: 62nd and 37th. In 2018 it was a horrible Sunday after a strong Thursday – Saturday, last year it was a horrible Thursday and Friday followed by a great weekend. Hopefully he can pull his recent play together to put in four strong days.

Jordan Spieth (1st selection this year) — I understand he’s finding his game again after his putting hit a downward spiral and I also understand he has exactly two finish in the top 40 in his last seven tournaments but he has a good track record here (12th in 2019, 14th in 2018, and 12th in 2017).

Fun Fact: Rory McIlroy who was in contention the final day of the Genesis Open last week has won three out of the four WGC events. If he wins here, he will join Dustin Johnson as the only player to do have won all four WGC events.

2020 Stats:
Starting 4: Avg finish 47th (33rd percentile)
Bench 2: Avg finish 58th (40th percentile)