With NFL Week 16 — Championship Week — is upon us, here are my quarterback fantasy football rankings.
Jalen Hurts is a high-end QB1 this week, just one spot out of the position’s top five.
Pete Carroll’s play-calling has kneecapped Russell Wilson’s fantasy upside.
Marcus Mariota’s rushing floor is available for those in desperate need of a fill-in QB this week. UPDATE: Derek Carr looks ready to play but should not be anywhere near a starting lineup in season-long leagues.
Cam Newton cannot be trusted.
Week 16’s Tiered Quarterback Rankings
|1||Patrick Mahomes||KC||ATL||Atlanta is the most fantasy-friendly defense for opposing signal caller to face*.|
|2||Aaron Rodgers||GB||TEN||Great match-up and the Pack is trying to keep their one-game lead on the rest of the NFC.|
|3||Kyler Murray||ARI||SF||SF is Top 5 in rushing yards allowed per game to opposing quarterbacks*.|
|4||Justin Herbert||LAC||DEN||A win over Denver elevates them out of the AFC West's last place spot.|
|5||Josh Allen||BUF||NE||New England does a good job of slowing the Bills' offense but this team is on fire and John Brown may be returning. Pats' CB Stephon Gilmore is out for the year.|
|6||Jalen Hurts||PHI||at DAL||Even at 4-9-1, Philly still has a chance to win the NFC East. This is a must-win game and it's a great match-up.|
|7||Lamar Jackson||BAL||NYG||Tough match-up but his rushing floor has returned.|
|8||Deshaun Watson||HOU||CIN||Outstanding match-up. Watson should be able to get the job done. The Texans, at 4-10, don't have anything to play for though. Watson could be pulled late in the game.|
|9||Ryan Tannehill||TEN||at GB||This game will either be competitive or the Titans will be playing catch-up. Both outcomes bode well for Tannehill's prospects.|
|10||Baker Mayfield||CLE||at NYJ||The Browns can steal the No. 2 playoff seed from the Steelers if they crush the lowly Jets this week and beat the Steelers next week and Cleveland's offense has been on fire as of late.|
|11||Tom Brady||TB||at DET||Assuming Stafford plays, there's a small shot at a shootout. Great match-up, defensively, for Brady.|
|12||Drew Brees||NO||MIN||Great bounce-back spot here.|
|13||Teddy Bridgewater||CAR||at WAS||Tough match-up but this offense can hang with anyone.|
|14||Kirk Cousins||MIN||at NO||Cousins will be forced to throw in this one.|
|15||Russell Wilson||SEA||LAR||Toggling through the appropriate drop-down menus on SharpFootball.com's Situational Run:Pass Ratios page, one can see that Seattle's 1st-half, early-down passing rate plummeted to just 46% last week. It's no accident that Pete Carroll received his contract extension in early November before the team suddenly turned to it's atrocious run-first ways. Russell Wilson cannot be trusted in the fantasy football championship game. Brutal match-up.|
|16||Andy Dalton||DAL||PHI||Low-key shootout potential here. If Ezekiel Elliot sits, Dalton's passing game volume should increase.|
|17||Philip Rivers||IND||at PIT||Injuries have compromised Pittsburgh's top notch defense. Rivers can be trusted to retain his high-floor fantasy value.|
|18||Matthew Stafford||DET||TB||Tough match-up but Detroit will have to throw here.|
|19||Mitchell Trubisky||CHI||at JAX||True to form, Trubisky has been up-and-down in recent weeks, despite a slew of stellar match-ups. The erratic passer cannot be trusted in Championship Week, even in a great match-up. He's a good contrarian DFS option though.|
|20||Ben Roethlisberger||PIT||IND||Roethlisberger's arm is shot and this is a very tough match-up.|
|21||Derek Carr||LV||MIA||Nursing a groin injury, Carr will be largely immobile and Miami has one of the most dominant secondaries in the league.|
|22||Matt Ryan||ATL||at KC||Tough match-up and Julio Jones' status is entirely up in the air.|
|23||Tua Tagovailoa||MIA||at LV||Very high floor -- could produce a 20-point fantasy game here in a good match-up.|
|24||Jared Goff||LAR||at SEA||Decent match-up but there's a good chance that this game devolves into a defense-oriented, ground'n'pound game.|
|25||C.J. Beathard||SF||at ARI||The potential return of George Kittle could make things interesting.|
|26||Cam Newton||NE||BUF||Too up and down to trust.|
|27||Daniel Jones||NYG||at BAL||Far too boom/bust for Week 16.|
|28||Mike Glennon||JAX||CHI||Brutal match-up.|
|29||Ryan Finley||CIN||at HOU||DFS only.|
|30||Dwayne Haskins||WAS||CAR||Good match-up, bad decision-maker.|
|31||Drew Lock||DEN||at LAC||Lock will be forced to throw here but he's impossible to trust.|
|32||Sam Darnold||NYJ||CLE||Do not trust a Jet in Week 16.|