Week 13 means we are about two thirds of the way through this season! There are a lot of exciting matchups ahead and many playoff spots in fantasy football are still up for grabs!
1.) Matthew Stafford finishes outside the top 15 at quarterback.
Justification: He’s facing JACKSONVILLE, what am I thinking?!? Well for starters, Jacksonville is top 10 vs. quarterbacks. A large part of this is likely teams getting ahead and running the ball, but the Jags are actually good at blitzing/pressuring QBs (top 5). Matthew Stafford is decent under pressure with 27 TDs and 301 yds per game, but he has nine INTs. I think the Rams look to transition to the run game as quick as they can this week.
2.) DeAndre Hopkins is a top 7 wide receiver.
Justification: He’s sitting in the 20’s in many rankings and I think the return of him with Kyler Murray is going to yield a favorable situation vs. Chicago, who have been generous versus opposing wide receivers. The injuries are a reason for concern, but we’ve seen Kyler and DeAndre continue to blend into a strong duo and this is a great week to see the return.
3.) Foster Moreau (19% rostered) is a top 7 tight end.
Justification: Quite simply, Derek Carr likes using his tight ends. Las Vegas trails ONLY Kansas City and Baltimore (see Travis Kelce and Mark Andrews) in TE1 targets this season. With Darren Waller out, Foster steps in. The last time he stepped in for Waller he had over 50 receiving yards and a receiving TD (Week 7). It’s well worth the chance that we see a repeat performance vs. Washington, who are below average against opposing tight ends.
4.) Eli Mitchell is a top 7 running back.
Justification: His injury seems to be a thing of the past. Eli has produced a combined 224 yards and one rushing score across the last two weeks. The 49ers have one of the better offensive lines in the league behind Trent Williams and company. The Seahawks have one of the worst, which is part of why they are allowing the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing running backs.
5.) NYG vs. MIA has an over/under of 40.5, give me the under at 37.
Justification: The Giants are starting Mike Glennon with Daniel Jones ruled out. Even with Jones at the helm, this team has scored 15 points or fewer in each of their last two games. Miami’s offense is picking up, with over 20 points in each of their last three games driven by the emergence of Tua Tagovailoa. The Giants secondary is solid, though. They have limited Patrick Mahomes, Derek Carr, Tom Brady, and Jalen Hurts (four of the better QBs in the league) to a collective four scores, seven picks, and an average of 250 yards per game over the last four weeks.