Welcome to your daily NBA DFS digest at FakeTeams, gents. Every day I’m here with a handful of pro-tips to roster a winning team just a few hours from now. On top of that, I’ll bring you some news, statistical trends from the past few days, some studs/duds from the last slate of games, and much more!
Hoop Land Times: News and notes from around the Association
- Sad day. We’re past the trade deadline, so no more deals between franchises. Sucks, but our own Pete Rogers has you covered here with his tasty takes.
- Some new bits of information we got to know yesterday that missed the column, and new takes from the latest deals follow.
- The Memphis Grizzlies acquired Dion Waiters. I might be alone in this literal island, but you better believe I’m getting Waiters in 100% of my fantasy leagues and playing him nightly in DFS. At the end of the day the very own DW said it and he’s goddamn right: “I know I’m better than a lot of these guys in the motherf---ing league”.
- The Miami Heat acquired Jae Crowder and Solomon Hill. Crowder had started every single game for the Grizz averaging 29 minutes, but those runs were getting shorter by the day and they will be outright cut down in Miami with him taking on a much subtler role. Solomon was a reserve in Memphis and will keep being one in Miami. Nothing to like in him, as he’s underperformed everywhere.
- The Golden State Warriors acquired Andrew Wiggins. God bless San Fran. God bless the Warriors. God bless the idea of putting together Golden State’s dynastic runs from the past few years and the presence of Wiggins on the team, all ending in a chip for the Maple One. Don’t call me a fool for dreaming. One man has weaknesses. In fantasy words: buy/play/draft/get/pick Wiggins. He will eat. Big time.
- The Minnesota Timberwolves acquired D’Angelo Russell, Omari Spellman, and Jacob Evans. Long wait finally over, I guess. These Wolves sucked, suck, and will keep sucking. Flip Wiggins’ name for D’Lo’s and the production should be pretty close. Not a lot has changed. Considering it’s only him and KAT, the two will get their hands full of goodies. Good fantasy play. Also, Spellman and Evans remain the same as they went from a mediocre team to a mediocre team times two.
- The Los Angeles Clippers acquired Marcus Morris. I censor Marcus Morris after his recent comments. I hope the Clippers win the chip but they run out of gold and diamonds exactly when only Morris’ ring is left to make. F*** Marcus Morris.
- The Cleveland Cavaliers acquired Andre Drummond. I would have loved to see a one-for-one where Tristan Thompson moved to Detroit, as both players are expirings next summer, but no luck. Drummond will keep putting up massive numbers though he will have to share the court with Kevin Love and TT, so we’ll see how that goes with all those biggies around.
- The Detroit Pistons acquired John Henson and Brandon Knight. Henson is between bad and worse, and Knight has played 16 games this season and not once since Jan. 14. Now go do the math.
Duds and Studs: Last night slate roundup
- Shout-out to Giannis for stopping Philly to the tune of 36 points, 20 (!) rebounds, 6 assists, and a steal. The Greek finished the night as the only guy in the 70s with a total 72.5 DKFP tally in 35 minutes of play.
- Only one more baller breaking for 60+, Anthony Davis. The Brow went for it against Houston by dropping 32 pops on them while stuffing the rest of the cats with a 13-3-3-3 line shooting 66.7% from the floor on 21 attempts. 66.25 DKFP to his name yesterday.
- Three more with 50+ DKFP: Hassan (57.75; 17-23-1-14), Russ (57; 41-8-5-1), and LeBron (54.75; 18-9-15-2).
- MASSIVE game by Trey Lyles returning a value of 13.44 after finishing with 43 DKFP while priced at just $3.2K. He had a very nice 23-10 with 2 steals and 4 triples in 34 minutes, hitting 81.8 percent of his shots from the floor.
- Two more unsuspected value-players with good ROIs: Ryan Arcidiacono (29 DKFP at $3.1K; 13-4-4-2 in 25 minutes) and Coby White (35 DKFP at $3.8; 14-6-9 in 31 minutes) both cooked for the Bulls.
- Elfrid Payton turned into Elfrigging Payton and dropped a 15-5-9-7 line, scored a triple, shot 53.8% from the floor, played almost 33 minutes, and finished with 47 DKFP. Son. That’s something.
- The DOTS (Dud Of The Slate) award goes to... James Harden! Our very friendly mate finished with a nice 14-7-7-2 line that was actually pretty horrific given JH’s sky-high $12.4K price. He shot 30% from the floor, scored just one triple, finished just 20.2 percent of the team’s possessions and all of that he did while playing a freaking high 35 minutes. 36.25 DKFP. Damn.
- More ridiculously dumb performances: Jrue Holiday’s 24.25 DKFP at $7.1K, P.J. Tucker’s 21.5 at $6.2K, and Zach LaVine’s 33.25 at $8.4K.
- Six points-boards dub-dubs, and two points-dimes double-doubles. No triple-doubles yesterday, though Ben Simmons missed on it by one dime while LeBron lacked just a single rebound. Yikes.
What’s cooking? Statistical trends from the past seven days
- Guys who moved placed and have provided massive value during the past seven days (min. 3 games played), thus putting themselves in a “watch-list position”: Malik Beasley (14-3-2-1 in 24 minutes), Juan Hernangomez (7-7-1-0-1 in 19 minutes), and John Henson (7-6-2-1-1 in 21 minutes).
- The Wolves are not winning, and KAT is trying, but he’s falling way short of expectations. The KAT ain’t in the bag, folks. Towns is averaging 25-11-3-1-1 (massive, sure) while priced at $10.6K these days. Given the value, the return of 50 DKFP in his last three games, although it sounds insane, isn’t that great. And now D’Lo is coming and Wiggins going, so we’ll see what happens. Stay off at least for a few games if you don’t want to be upset.
- Other high-price, low-production guys: Joel Embiid (39 DKFP at $9.3K), Devin Booker (36 at 8.7), and Ja Morant (24 at 6.8).
- Massive minutes at low prices (and you know, with opportunity come the goodies): Kevin Huerter (38 mpg), Miles Bridges (36.3), Mikal Bridges (35.3), Monte Morris (32.8), Trevor Ariza (32.0), and Derrick Jones (31.7).
- Cheap points: Josh Okogie (16 ppg in 29.3 mpg), Terence Davis (15.7 in 21.7), and Caris LeVert (15.3 in 24.5).
- Cheap boards: Kyle Kuzma (8.8 in 23.5), Josh Hart (8.8 in 27.8), and DeAndre Jordan (8.8 in 19.8).
- Cheap dimes: Dennis Smith Jr. (6 in 20.7), Bruce Brown (5.5 in 31.5), and Jeff Teague (5.3 in 28.3).
- Cheap steals: Brad Wanamaker (2.7 in 26). Cheap blocks: Brook Lopez (4 in 28.8).
Gotta Win The Day: Best/Worst DraftKings plays for tonight’s slate
- Love: (PG/SG) Devin Booker, PHO ($7900, vs HOU): Ultimate get-right game for Book after a series of meh performances. Booker is pissed off after watching D’Lo getting moved from San Fran to Minny to join forces with Banana Boat 2.0 member KAT. Book, in case you have not realized, is still a Sun. He’s indeed the Sun that lights my heart, too, thus the love. You know what Dev can do, and what he’s done already to Houston this season: he faced the Rockets back in December a couple of times and finished with 50 DKFP and 37.5. He’s got that 50-burger in him and it’s not that he can’t show it at any moment. Houston calls for opposition-explosions with its mediocre D and pure focus on outscoring rivals, so there is that. Top-25 player on the season. Walking bucket. Let the Book cook.
- Hate: (PF/C) Jaren Jackson Jr., MEM ($6100, at PHI): It makes sense to find JJJ’s price plummet considering his last few games. Triple-J is a 31-DKFP player on the season and he’s averaged 29 in his last 10 matches, but he’s only reached 31 fantasy points in 4 of those games... Hadn’t he got to a massive couple of 44- and 38-DKFP outcomes against Detroit and Dallas he wouldn’t be that high these days. The points have gone all the way down to 13.3 ppg in his last four, and the same goes for the boards (3.8 in that span), and the shooting (down to 37.5 fg% in that span compared to 47.6% on the season). Philly has someone named Embiid in the paint, so I don’t feel too comfortable playing Jaren today even if he can stretch the floor with his long-range shooting prowess. The Sixers, after all, are the worst matchup of the whole league allowing the fewest DKFP per game to the opposition this season.
- Love: (PG/SF) Ben Simmons, PHI ($8000, vs MEM): Affordable Ben is akin lovely Ben. Not the cheapest player in the slate, I know, but Memphis isn’t a bad matchup at all and Simmons has been on the low while carry a much higher true-talent that what he’s lately shown. We’re talking about a guy averaging 36 minutes and a delicious 17-8-8-2-1 line in 50 freaking games. The shooting is great at 58.7% from the floor because he doesn’t even try from three. But hey, everything he does on the court more than makes up for that, so we cool. It’s been two weeks on a 44.4 DKFP per game average with a 29-9-7-2 line besting most of his season-long averages, and he’s shot over 57 percent in 11 of his last 12 games. Always on the verge of dub/trip-dubbing when/if he doesn’t get there.
- Hate: (C) Rudy Gobert, UTA ($7700, vs POR): Tough pick to go with here, but you gotta do what you gotta do. As a biggie, Gobert will always give you numbers and fantasy goodies. That is out of the question. The Blazers have Whiteside and not much more presence inside, but Hassan should be enough to limit Gobert’s upside at least a bit. Gobert himself hasn’t been so good as of late. The Croissant is averaging 37.5 DKFP in his last five games spanning two weeks, and although the dub-dubs keep coming non-stop (13 in his last 14), the numbers have been a little lower than on the season. The line now reads 14-14 compared to his year-long near-16-15 and the shooting has fallen down to around 60% compared to 69% prior to Jan. 25. Again: good, not great, not bad either.
If you have any comment or question about the daily column, tonight’s games, players involved in them, or even season-long fantasy NBA topics, just drop it below or reach out to me on Twitter at @chapulana and I’ll get back to you as soon as I grab a keyboard!