Welcome to your daily NBA DFS digest at FakeTeams, gents. Every day I’m here with a handful of pro-tips to roster a winning team just a few hours from now. On top of that, I’ll bring you some news, statistical trends from the past few days, some studs/duds from the last slate of games, and much more!
Hoop Land Times: News and notes from around the Association
- Trade-Deadline Day Alert!
- And it’s showing, folks. The monster four-team deal completed two days ago preceded three more trades yesterday, so let’s go through them and their fantasy implications.
- The Miami Heat acquired Andre Iguodala from Memphis. Iggy had been out all season after reaching some sort of “agreement” with the Grizz to stay out of lineups and train by himself until a trade was completed or he was cut. Iguodala should get into the Heat rotation as soon as his plane lands in Miami, so go get him if you can find him for free in your leagues. You might have to drop him if he blatantly flops, but the chances of him turning into a valuable player are way high, even more considering he’s joining one of the best teams in the East.
- Danilo Gallinari remains in limbo, but he is expected to go to Miami too. Not a lot of details regarding what Oklahoma will get in return, but pencil Gallo as another winner getting into a great team. Miami turned the tables yesterday.
- The Memphis Grizzlies acquired Justise Winslow from Miami. And I can’t love it more than I already do. Seriously. I didn’t expect Memphis to get anything substantial from any team around the league because they had zero-leverage, but Winslow is a great addition given its versatility and youth. Winslow has been down injured and missed a bunch of games, but he can do it all and I love everything he will bring to the Grizz. Great trade.
- The Atlanta Hawks cut Chandler Parsons, which probably wasn’t even in your radar and won’t be from here till the day we all are gone from this our Lord’s world. Also, Atlanta acquired Dewayne Dedmon. Dedmon isn’t a world-beater, and he won’t win you the league or whatever, but Atlanta wanted and needed some centimeters and they got them in Dedmon and Clint Capela. Dedmon will play out of sheer necessity, but we’ll see how much impact he ends bringing.
- The Sacramento Kings acquired Jabari Parker and Alex Len. Parker can’t settle his ass anywhere, it looks like. Same with Alex. None of them are incredibly great, though I will always remain a Jabari stan so there is that. I will be 100% rooting for him even if he plays for the stinky Kangz now. Sacto is so bad maybe Parker and Len turn into HOFers (on a Kings-level baseline, I mean).
- The Philadelphia 76ers acquired Glenn Robinson III and Alec Burks. It was a matter of when, not if, Alec Burks was going to be traded away. Philly got him in what seems to be a move on the margins more than anything else. Both players have some shooting upside but Philadelphia looks far from being a serious contender at least to my eyes. I know. It sounds crazy. But think about it. These Sixers are struggling much more than they should and not the West, but the East, is stacked. Don’t know if this will move the needle enough for them. As far as fantasy goes, both players get into a better team but in worse positions to eat big time as they were no. 1 options in GS but not anymore in Philly.
- Marcus Morris days (hours, actually) in New York are numbered. Everything points to either the Lakers or the Clippers getting him. Another potential bump-down in impact if it happens, as it would be impossible for him to keep his 32 mpg and per-game averages up in either of those teams.
Duds and Studs: Last night slate roundup
- Another night, another monster performance by Nikola Jokic. Some things just take time to stabilize but once they do, they just do. Jokic finished with 79.25 DKFP to the tune of a 30-21-10-2 triple-double while shooting the rock at a 58.3% clip on 24 fga! Sweet to see.
- Five players with 60+ DKPF, which was very nice. Drummond got 66.75 (31-19-4-3), Trae 64.5 (38-4-11-1), Lowry 62.5 (32-8-10-2), Tatum 62 (33-8-5-3-2), and Porzingis 60 (32-12-2-2-1) in just 29 minutes before breaking his nose!
- Bonus shout-out to Deandre Ayton because he was the only player in the 50s: Ayton got to 55.5 DKFP yesterday by dropping 26 points on Detroit and grabbing 12 boards to go with 4 dimes and 4 blocks.
- Three players returned a lot of value on investment yesterday: Derrick Jones scored himself 47.75 DKFP while priced at $3.9K (25-9-3-2-1 in 31 minutes, with 3 triples, 83.3 fg%), Justin Holiday got 43.75 DKFP at $3.8K (22-5-3-3-1 in 31 minutes, with 6 triples), and Jordan McLaughlin got 33.25 DKFP at $3.3K (15-1-7-3 in 31 minutes).
- My favorite part of the column: duds of the slate. Among them, we find Jimmy Butler (27.25 DKFP at $8.5K; 11-5-7 in 26 minutes), Spencer Dinwiddie (20.25 DKFP at $8K; 8-5-4 in 24 minutes), Jonas Valanciunas (20.5 DKFP at $7.5; 8-10 in 27 minutes), and Jaylen Brown (23.75 DKFP at $7.3K; 18-5 in 38 minutes).
- As many as 12 double-doubles via points and boards (Torrey Craig and Valanciunas both missed on it by two points), four double-doubles via points and assists (Kawhi and Reggie Jackson both missed on it by one dime each), and two triple-doubles (Joker and Domas Sabonis; Lowry missed on it just by two rebounds).
- Ricky Rubio had a very illegal night committing four thefts to lead the slate all by himself. The same goes for Ayton in the blocks (4) cat.
What’s cooking? Statistical trends from the past seven days
- Kyle Kuzma has thrived in his last three games during the past week. Call it showcasing (trade deadline coming, remember), call it what you want, but his value has gotten up as of late and there is no question about that. Kuzma is averaging 15.7 ppg, 9.7 rpg, and 1.7 apg in the last week playing 25 minutes off the bench.
- Josh Hart, also playing off the bench, is returning quite some value for his average price of $4.1K. Hart is keeping up a line around 12-9-2-1-1 lately even on a paltry 14.3% usage rate.
- Nikola Jokic broke the four-game barrier and played his fifth in the last seven days yesterday, only dude to do so. Even with that, he’s averaging the most DKFP in the league during the past week at 66. LOL. Insane 28-12-10-2-1 line even on such a long span and playing 35 minutes per game.
- Miles Bridges’ average price (and availability in season-long leagues) during the past four games is way out of place given his outcomes and you should take advantage of it before it is too late: the line reads 21-9-2-1-1, he’s shooting 45% from the floor on 17 fga, and his usage is up to 23.3%. Oh, the price is at $5.3K in that span while every player averaging his 40 DKFP is priced at an average of $7.5K!
- Devin Booker and Spencer Dinwiddie are doing a little bit of nothing these days. Both of them are averaging under 40 DKFP (36 and 30 respectively) with lines of 23-5-5 and 17-3-5 each. Nothing to like here considering they are averaging price tags of $8.6K and $7.7K respectively, way to high for that “middling” production.
- Looking for cheap rebounds? Ivica Zubac (9 rpg in his last four playing 21 minutes per) and DeAndre Jordan (8.8 rpg in his last four playing 20 minutes per) are grabbing them.
- Looking for cheap assists? Bruce Brown (5.5 apg, 31.5 mpg), Caris LeVert (5.5 apg, 24.5 mpg), and Reggie Jackson (5.3, 30.5 mpg) are dishing them out.
- Looking for cheap stocks? Brad Wannamaker is stealing 2 rocks a game, and Jerami Grant is averaging 1.3 spg and 2.8 bpg. Maxi Kleber can steal a ball for a living, but he’s blocking 2 shots per.
Gotta Win The Day: Best/Worst DraftKings plays for tonight’s slate
- Love: (SF/PF) Brandon Ingram, NO ($7600, at CHI): He’s heating up! BoomShakaLaka! Bones is back, folks. It definitely was a bad stretch that going from Jan. 22 to Jan. 26 a couple of weeks ago but the waters have calmed down and Ingram is breaking fools’ ankles again. Last four games: 43 DKFP per with an average line of 26-7-4-1 while shooting 55.5 percent from the floor on a more than healthy diet of attempts (17 fga). The usage is back to the high-20s (27.3% average in his last three), the minutes have gone up, and BI has basically been a top-5 player in his last two games since Sunday and top-15 going back to last Tuesday. This is the Brand I love to wear.
- Hate: (PF/C) Julius Randle, NYK ($8300, vs ORL): Randle is not a bad man, but is he a badman? Not so sure. The price says yes, the numbers say meh. The Randlewus keeps bouncing between getting and not his nightly dub-dubs, and that is why he’s currently falling short of it on the season (18.9 ppg, 9.5 rpg). He can get there as easily (just had a couple of 16-14 and 16-18 games in his last three) as he can flop and have everything go terribly wrong (two games with 5 and 8 boards in his last four). I’m not asking you my Jule to give me 60 DKFP every day, but high that tag hanging from your forehead I’d say you gotta bump up the 40 DKFP per you’ve been getting the past few days. Just so the ROI is palatable, I mean.
- Love: (PG/SG) CJ McCollum, POR ($6700, vs SAS): Considering how freaking great Dame was during the past few games, it made sense to find Mac on the low side of things. I mean, there aren’t more than like 120 pops to share among teammates every night, and with Lillard cooking 60 himself it was hard for the rest to eat large amounts. Dame is no longer pursuing history after having a bad day against the Nuggs, so it’s time for CeeJay to claim the throne at least for a few games now. Don’t get it wrong, though. Even in those bombastic games by Lillard, CJ averaged around 20 points and more than 3 dimes and 3 boards to go with some spare steals and blocks here and there. For someone flying under the radar given his price and a couple of “bad” games, he’s quite a play today with massive ROI upside.
- Hate: (PG) Eric Bledsoe, MIL ($6800, vs PHI): At the end of the day there is only one Eric-B., and he’s pals with Rakim. Too bad for Bledsoe. Three games and running in which he hasn’t reached even 35 DKFP after that booming 60-DKFP performance. That’s why you ride the hot stretch, not the hot game, folks. Bled’s price won’t bleed you if you want to risk playing him, but Philly is as ugly a matchup as you can get and Eric is averaging some 14-5-6 lines that don’t feel too good all things considered, plus two of them came against Phoenix and the Pels... Go find yourself someone on a way easier matchup, seriously. The Sixers are pissed off and bringing reinforcements, so I’m not trusting this.
If you have any comment or question about the daily column, tonight’s games, players involved in them, or even season-long fantasy NBA topics, just drop it below or reach out to me on Twitter at @chapulana and I’ll get back to you as soon as I grab a keyboard!