Welcome to your daily NBA DFS digest at FakeTeams, gents. Every day I’m here with a handful of pro-tips to roster a winning team just a few hours from now. On top of that, I’ll bring you some news, statsitcal trends from the past few days, some studs/duds from the last slate of games, and much more!
Hoop Land Times: News and notes from around the Association
- Changes coming to the Three-Point Contest this upcoming All-Star Weekend! The NBA is adding a long(er)-range couple of shots, making it 32 instead of 30 overall. There will be 70 seconds to complete the round instead of 60. Not that the contest needed any changes, but whatever...
- The Knicks have fired now former-president Steve Mills. In New York’s brass heads there is the idea that they will somehow end landing Masai Ujiri. That is cool and all, only New York’s brass heads seem to function in a fictional parallel universe that never ends mimicking what happens there in the universe we actually live in. Too bad for Knickerbocker fans.
- FOUR-TEAM MEGA TRADE ALERT!!! And here is the fantasy impact of the moves (draft picks not included).
- Minnesota acquires Denver’s Jarred Vanderbilt, Malik Beasley, Juan Hernangomez, and Atlanta’s Evan Turner. The Wolves are desperate to do whatever is needed to get D’Angelo Russell. They’re moving every living body around to make the ultimate D’Lo offer. Nobody except Malik Beasley should be of a lot of interest here, and these Wolves have sucked a lot this season so don’t get too high on anything Wolves-related.
- Denver acquires Minnesota guard Shabazz Napier, forward Keita Bates-Diop, forward Noah Vonleh and injured guard Gerald Green. The Nuggs will keep trying to improve during the next day and change before the deadline. Most people expect them to make a run at Andre Iguodala. Napier could turn into something interesting if Denver ends moving someone as Gary Harris to get Iguodala or any other player.
- Atlanta acquires Houston centers Nene Hilario and Clint Capela. Nene is an afterthought and Capela maintains his value in Atlanta, as he’s a big man with dub-dub prowess that will stay there. He lands in another team with a clear go-to guy in place already but his impact in defense will keep him on the court for long runs. Good for him.
- Houston acquires Robert Covington, and also receives Jordan Bell from Minnesota. Bell is nothing otherworldly but Houston now has between zero and negative-number centers, so he might find minutes here and there. Not worth a lot though. Covington is supposedly the ultimate piece Houston thinks it needed to make the final jump, so he’ll eat big time next to Westbrook and Harden. We’ll see how they share the ball and the opportunities, but obviously he’s come to Houston to become the third and final piece of the project at least as the Rockets understand it. Perhaps the biggest impact of the move is related to P.J. Tucker’s minutes, as he will become the main-man at the five and play the small-center role. Not that he does a lot even playing a ton of minutes, so he stays the same in fantasy terms.
Duds and Studs: Last night slate roundup
- The Beard must have known moves were coming. James Harden celebrated the addition of RoCo by dropping 40 pops on the Hornets to which he added 9 boards 12 assists, 3 steals, and a block. All in all, 79.25 DKFP in a pretty great night for him. Too bad he missed on the trip-dub just by that silly rebound. Damn.
- Super top-heavy slate yesterday with three other players inside the 60s but none in the 50s. Those with more than 60 DKFP: Nikola Jokic (69.75 DKFP, 29-13-9-2-3), Giannis Antetokounmpo (67.75, 34-17-6-1-1), and LeBron James (62.25, 36-7-9-1).
- You read that right: Giannis went freaking off and grabbed 17 rebounds even playing against Mount Zion for the first time in their careers. Stuffed line for the Greek Freak with at least a token in every cat.
- The Kuz returned the best value of the slate with a 10.13 ROI, as Kuzma reached 40.5 DKFP yesterday while priced at just $4K posting an 18-12-4 line while shooting 63.6 percent and hitting a couple of threes.
- A bunch of other great values: Wesley Matthews (27 DKPF at $3K, 17-2-2-0-1 in 28 minutes), P.J. Tucker (38 DKFP at $4.4K, 13-10-3-3 in 40 minutes), and Juan Hernangomez (25 DKFP at $3.1K, 7-11-0-1-2 in 28 minutes).
- As far as duds go, we had a handful of notables yesterday: Anthony Davis (26 DKFP at $9.3K, 18-5-1-1 in 29 minutes), Hassan Whiteside (16 DKFP at $8.5K, 8-5 in 23 minutes), Jrue Holiday (23 DKFP at $6.9K, 7-3-5-2-1 in 29 minutes), and LaMarcus Aldridge (14 DKFP at $6.2K, 7-3-1-1 in 30 minutes).
- Seven double-doubles via points-boards (both Juan and Caleb Swanigan missed it by three points each; DeMar DeRozan and Danuel House missed it by one rebound each), and a couple via points-dimes (Harden and Devonte’ Graham; LeBron and Damian Lillard missed it by one assist each).
What’s cooking? Statistical trends from the past seven days
- It’s official. Miles Bridges have played four games in the past seven days and he’s rewarding his bettors with the highest ROI of those with four games played in the span. Bridges is playing 36 minutes (!) and averaging 21 ppg, 8.8 rpg, 1.8 apg, a steal, and a block per game. Serious production there for 31 DKFP nightly.
- Malik Beasley just got traded while being also one of the most efficient players out there. Only 23 DKFP but consider he’s playing 24 minutes per. The line reads 12-3-3-1 in his last four games and we’ll see if he keeps it up in his new environment.
- Other cheap/available players out there putting up interesting numbers lately (min. three games played in the past seven days): Juan Hernangomez (7-7-1-0-1 in 24 minutes), Brad Wanamaker (10-2-3-2 in 22 minutes), Tyus Jones (12-1-4-1 in 20 minutes), Cory Joseph (8-3-4-1 in 22 minutes).
- Derrick Rose is losing all of his appeal... In his last three is averaging 15-2-3 shooting under 50% and not even hitting 70% of his free throws. Will he actually get moved? Lakers? Clippers? Anyone?
- Devin Booker is on a bit of a slump averaging 23-5-5 in his last three while playing 34 minutes and finishing 30% of the Suns possessions. Nothing to like a lot considering his still-high price.
Gotta Win The Day: Best/Worst DraftKings plays for tonight’s slate
- Love: (PG) Trae Young, ATL ($10100, at MIN): I’m sorry for picking Trae, who is the second-most expensive player today (behind KAT wtf), but playing against the Wolves these days means an automatic win and it’s been four games in a row with Ice Trae falling short of 40 points so the explosion is coming. Young could only play 26 minutes against Dallas before leaving injured but he already came back two days ago to face Boston full-time playing more than 35 minutes and dropping 34 on the C’s. That bodes well for a complete heat-up tonight. Not a lot that I can tell you about young Young, though. He’s been playing like a top-15 player on the season and top-10 since we flipped the calendar to 2020. His average DKFP per game are all the way up at 51 and his per-minute production is sitting at 1.46 DKFP currently. That’s just nuts. The averages of 29-5-9-1 are unheard of and although he’s turning the ball over almost five times per game that is not impacting his efficiency at all. Incredible numbers for my favorite All-Star starter (hi haters!).
- Hate: (PF) Kevin Love, CLE ($8000, at OKC): Do you remember what happened two days ago? Somehow Love found a way to finish the night as the no. 1 player on Monday’s slate with 63 DKFP to his name. He had a 33-13-6 game against... the Knicks. Shaking my head... That game was by far Love’s best of the season and therefore the bump in the price numbers to an unreasonable $8K. Love hadn’t reached 33 points in any other game. Love had reached 13 rebounds in just 10 other games prior to the last one (he’s played 44 total games). And he had only other five games with 6+ assists. Love’s chances of putting on a similar performance are basically down to none. At this price you’ll be much better off playing whoever else you want at the position and leaving Love out of your lineup. Not even the Cavaliers want him, just imagine. LOL.
- Love: (SG/SF) Andrew Wiggins, MIN ($7400, vs ATL): Minny won’t win, because the Wolves have just forgotten what that means, but Wiggins should eat against a pretty horrific defensive team as Atlanta is. Wiggins will be showcasing himself just in case he can convince Golden State to actually bite on Minnesota’s whatever offer for D’Lo so he can move to San Fran. Expect a booming night from Drew, if only on shooting volume, and even more with RoCo and Napier out of town already. Wiggins has had a couple of meh games in February but nothing says he shouldn’t get back to his average 43 DKFP per game with which he closed the last two weeks of January soon—as soon as tonight, that is. The real Maple is the one dropping 25+ points a night with a 6&6 in boards and dimes to go with those pops, and that is the baseline I’m expecting from him tonight. Cupcake matchup to take advantage of.
- Hate: (PG) Jaylen Brown, BOS ($7300, vs ORL): Something is going on with Jay these days... Not saying he’s become a bum, but he’s far from his best version. Back in the early-to-mid days of the season, JB was a machine averaging almost 40 DKFP from the start of the campaign to the end of the year while now he’s at around 33 per game. In the five games he’s played since Jan. 26 he’s putting up a 23-5-2-1 line which is nice but nothing out of his reach. He’s gotten to more than 38 DKFP just once in that span, against Philly, and that’s all. Again, not a bad player and Orlando doesn’t come as the hardest of matchups out there, but the price and the upside don’t align very well.
If you have any comment or question about the daily column, tonight’s games, players involved in them, or even season-long fantasy NBA topics, just drop it below or reach out to me on Twitter at @chapulana and I’ll get back to you as soon as I grab a keyboard!