Welcome to your daily NBA DFS digest at FakeTeams, gents. Every day I’m here with a handful of pro-tips to roster a winning team just a few hours from now. On top of that, I’ll bring you some news, statistical trends from the past few days, some studs/duds from the last slate of games, and much more!
Hoop Land Times: News and notes from around the Association
- News confirmed regarding JoJo’s injury. Embiid will miss at least a week though there seems to be no heavy damage on his shoulder. Give it seven days and come back for more news, as there will be a re-evaluation then.
- Today is the day, folks. The final decision on Curry’s comeback game will come later today and we’ll know if he’ll be out there on the court tomorrow after this extended period of time out of hoops. We can only hope.
- Pau Gasol might be back playing next season. I repeat. Pau Gasol might be back playing next season!
- The Knicks are going to go after Melo next summer. The reunion is happening. Or not, because everything the Knicks pursue they end losing. LOL
- Harden thinks Giannis has no skills. He thinks Giannis is just a big guy dunking balls or something while he is having to “learn and play” basketball to be successful in the NBA. Sure, mate. That’s why Giannis is your soon-to-be back-to-back MVP. Eat the L, James.
Duds and Studs: Last night slate roundup
- Lord have mercy for those facing Mad Brad. Bradley Beal went all the way bully-mode against Utah yesterday, played 40 minutes, and reached 70.75 DKFP! Beal dropped 42 points on the Jazz while grabbing 5 boards, dishing 10 dimes out, and stealing a couple of balls. All in all, he shot the rock 33 times (!) and shot 51.5 percent from the floor hitting 6 triples on a massive 36.8% usage rate on offense. Mental game, and clearly the best performance of yesterday’s slate.
- Six other players in the 50-to-60 clip, with none at 60+ DKFP: Giannis (58.25 DKFP; 32-13-6 in just 27 minutes!), Aaron Gordon (56.75; 17-11-12 with 2 blocks), John Collins (55.75; 33-13-2 with a block), Terrence Ross (51.25; 33-5-3-2 with 7 triples), Juan Hernangomez (50.25; 18-13-5-2-1), and Vucevic (27-10-5 with a block).
- If you have read the point above you already know who was the ROI King: Juan Hernangomez. Monster game of 50.25 DKFP at just $4.8K for the new Wolf posting a dub-dub and stuffing the line contributing all across the board.
- Other sweet valuable plays from yesterday: Terrence Ross (51.25 DKFP at $5.4K), George Hill (31.75 at $3.4K), and OG Anunoby (44.75 at $4.9K).
- Now, the DOTS Award goes to... Kawhi Leonard! The 33 DKFP fell way too short of his $9.5K price tag. Other horrific plays: Caris LeVert (26.25 at $8.3K), Jamal Murray (18 at $7.6K), and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (17.25 at $7.5K).
- Although there weren’t a lot of great performances we still saw a good bunch of double-doubles. We had 13 dub-dubs via points and rebounds (Favors missed on it by 5 points, five other players by one board, two more by a point and a rebound), and seven via points and assists (Lonzo fell 5 points short, and Olynyk missed on it by a dime).
- Props to Aaron Gordon for achieving his first career triple-double to the tune of 17 pops, 11 boards and 12 dimes to which he added a couple of blocks. Said it the other day, and I maintain it: losing the dunk contests has made Gordon wonders.
- Kudos go to OG Anunoby too for stealing 6 rocks! Not something you see every single night—only Simmons, VanVleet, Isaac, Elfrid, Ricky, and Dennis Smith Jr. have logged 7 steals this season and none has reached 8—so there’s that for the OG.
What’s cooking? Statistical trends from the past seven days
- Call me repetitive but if you don’t have Coby White in your roster and lineups go get him whatever the cost is. 34-5-2-1 line in his last three games playing 32.7 mpg with a usage north of 30%. The 6 long-rangers per game are mental.
- Brandon Knight has popped in the best-value list lately. His line from last week’s set of games reads 16-2-4-1 in just 22.7 minutes of run. He’s hitting 4 three-pointers per game on a healthy 25% usage rate and shooting 48.1% from the floor on 10.3 fga. Not bad at all.
- Shake Milton keeps growing in Philly mostly due to the lack of warm bodies in town. Shake-Shake is dropping 15.8 ppg in 28.8 mpg and pairing that with a 3-4-1-1 rest-of-line while scoring 3.8 triples per game. Not that it will last ROS, but at this very moment Milton is very very appealing.
- Silly cheap values: Alex Caruso (5-2-4-1-1 in 13.3 mpg), Austin Rivers (14-2-2-1 in 21.7), Cory Joseph (6-1-5-1 in 20), Brad Wanamaker (8-3-3-1 in 21.3)
- A little more expensive but still with massive ROI: Aaron Gordon (23-10-7-1-2 in 40-7), CJ McCollum (32-5-10-0-1 in 39.3), Bradley Beal (45!-4-6-2 in 39.3), Donovan Mitchell (34-6-4 in 34.3)
- Some very expensive players not doing enough to help their owners: Paul George (14-3-3-1 in 24.7), Chris Paul (16-5-8-1 in 29.8), Pascal Siakam 22-6-3-1-1 in 35.7)
- Cheap points (min. 3 games played in the past seven days): Jerami Grant (20.3 ppg in 25.7 mpg), Brandon Knight (16 in 22.7), Shake Milton (15.8 in 28.8)
- Cheap threes: Brandon Knight (4 3pm in 22.7), Ben McLemore (3.7 in 22), Justin Holiday (3 in 24)
- Cheap boards: Ivica Zubac (9 in 20.5), Alex Len (7.5 in 17), Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (7 in 21.7)
- Cheap dimes: Cory Joseph (5 in 20), JJ Barea (4 in 15), Tony Snell (3.7 in 28.3)
- Cheap steals: Rajon Rondo (2.7 in 19.3), Dennis Smith Jr. (2.3 in 18.3), Shabazz Napier (2.3 in 25)
- Cheap blocks: Maxi Kleber (2.3 in 25.3), Nerlens Noel (1.8 in 16.5), Daniel Gafford (1.7 in 20)
- Cheap shooting: Shake Milton (60.3 fg% on 9.3 fga), James Johnson (59.4% on 10.3), Eric Paschall (56% on 10.3)
Gotta Win The Day: Best/Worst DraftKings plays for tonight’s slate
- Love: (PG/SG) Devin Booker, PHO ($8100, vs GSW): There is something in my brain that always links Book to Beal. I don’t know what it is. I guess it might be the fact that both are stuck in losing teams while scoring points in bunches that ultimately go for nothing. Anyways. How many days in a row have we been praising Mad Brad exploits now? Three? Six? Forty-eight? I have lost the count but I can tell you Beal has scored a gazillion points in the last week (180 in four games, that is). Booker is wired the same way as Brad, only that D-Book was an All-Star player a week ago and since coming back from the break he has “only” dropped 114 combined points in five games and not reached even 30 pops in any of those games. It’s time to right the wrongs, and the Warriors look like the perfect team to make it happen. It’s been three weeks since Book broke the 30-point mark and dropped 33 on Houston. Book is playing almost 40 minutes per game, has reached 40+ DKFP in five of his last six games, is averaging a 24-4-8 line in that six-game span and is playing mental these days—with the addition by subtraction of Oubre being out now. Killer play not overly expensive.
- Hate: (PG/SG) Caris LeVert, BKN ($8200, at MIA): With Kyrie out for the season and obviously out of the lineup it’s all about Spicy D and Caris LV in Brooklyn. The problem with LeVert today is that he’s been putting up some great numbers—mostly due to extended runs, though, as his minutes have jumped from 20 before February to more than 35 this month—and that has bumped up his price in crazy ways. I’m not saying he doesn’t bring any upside with him (he had a silly 62-DKFP game just three days ago) but the price is an absolute risk to take on given what we know Caris from. CLV is barealy a 1-DKFP per-minute guy, mind you. Even on long playing time you shouldn’t be expecting more than around 35 DKFP in the very brightest of days, and Miami is one of the stinkiest teams to get fantasy points from (22nd-best in DKFP given to the opposition). The points are around the 20s, and CLV is a do-it-all man without any clear cat highlighting over the others. A bunch of everything, but not a lot of anything, you know the drill. If something goes wrong, plans go trash.
- Love: (PG) Ricky Rubio, PHO ($7300, vs GSW): I’m not trying to fool you by telling you that back in December I couldn’t believe my eyes when watching Ricky ball around the Association. I mean. Rubio has never been a bad player, but he has never been a superb player either. But from the start of the season to the end of the 2019 year Rubio was averaging 37 DKFP, playing like a top-30 performer in the whole league, and keeping up a 14-5-9-1 line while scoring more than a three-pointer per game. The jump in his performance level was notable. Then he fell a bit during January but since the start of February he’s been gearing up to his early-season levels again. Maybe he just needed a little break? Could be the case, because since coming back from the ASW he’s averaging 48 DKFP in five games, a line 17-6-11-4—yes, 4 freaking steals per game that is—and he’s scored either one or two triples in every one of those five games. Rubio has finished 29th, 8th, 3rd, 18th, and 11th in the five last slates he’s been part of. Crazy great numbers for someone going at under $7.5K.
- Hate: (SG/SF) Evan Fournier, ORL ($6500, vs SAS): Without ever becoming a surefire play in DFS slates during the season, the truth is that Evan had a good run back in the baby-days of the year when he was more than rosterable. Not so much these days, though. Aaron Gordon is eating all of the tasty fantasy goodies and Fournier is not even close to some of his early production levels. He’s under 30 DKFP on average in February while still playing more than 30 minutes per game. He keeps starting, he keeps logging more than a 25% usage rate on offense, but the numbers are just not there. Sure, the points are coming in double-digits without problems (and he’s been able to keep up the bulky three-pointers hitting 3.1 per game this month) but the rest of the stats are very low at just 2.4 rebounds and 2.3 dimes. He’s improved his shooting in the last couple of games, also dropped to just 8 fga in his last game against the Wolves yesterday. Not liking French Fournier a lot.
If you have any comment or question about the daily column, tonight’s games, players involved in them, or even season-long fantasy NBA topics, just drop it below or reach out to me on Twitter at @chapulana and I’ll get back to you as soon as I grab a keyboard!