Welcome to your daily NBA DFS digest at FakeTeams, gents. Every day I’m here with a handful of pro-tips to roster a winning team just a few hours from now. On top of that, I’ll bring you some news, statistical trends from the past few days, some studs/duds from the last slate of games, and much more!
Hoop Land Times: News and notes from around the Association
- Gotta hate this one. Kelly Oubre Jr. has suffered a torn meniscus in his right knee which might force him to miss the remainder of the season. KOJr was having the best season of his career, had boosted up his numbers all around, and was basically breaking out once for all in Arizona. Sucks, and he’s probably droppable/fadable in every fantasy-related thingy out there.
- On much better news for Philly and the very own JoJo Embiid, he seems to be more or less okay and shouldn’t miss much more than a week or so before starting to get back to full form. What a relief for the Philly Phaithful.
- The Wolves have been fined for resting DLo on the road for their game against the Nuggets—while the player was perfectly fine and fit to play. Has the league forgotten about something happening regarding some player that moved from Canada this past summer, and that now lives in Los Angeles, and that happens to have won the Larry O’B recently, and th—
- Remember when Mark Cuban went nuts a few days ago because of a controversy in a game against Atlanta? Well, Jalen Brunson was part of the rant as he went down injured early and now we know that in fact, Brunson will miss time with a torn labrum in his right shoulder. Probable surgery is also on the horizon. Cuban is right being mad.
- Nothing surprising here: Draymond Green got ejected yesterday. Keep it up, nut-breaker!
Duds and Studs: Last night slate roundup
- The blandest of bland slates yesterday. Tobias Harris was the best player all around the slate with just 58.25 DKFP to his name. He finished with a 34-7-7-1-1 line against the lowly Knicks in 35 minutes, which wasn’t that surprising considering he was the only viable true-weapon of the Sixers (though he had been a bit bouncy as of late).
- Only Julius Randle approached that tally with 52 DKFP himself to the tune of a 30-10-5 line. So, yes, that was pretty much the cream of the crop and at the same time the pretty sad show the NBA gave us yesterday.
- Clear ROI King yesterday in Cory Joseph reaching 30.5 DKFP at just $3.1K. He didn’t even hit double-digit points though (6-2-11-3), which keeps speaking of how bad the night was.
- More good valuable plays from the slate: Moe Harkless (27 DKFP at $3.1K), Alex Len (27.75 at $3.3K), Dwight Howard (34.25 at $4.1K), Rajon Rondo (29 at $3.5K), and Al Horford (42.75 at $5.2K).
- Not many duds yesterday, but we gotta hand our DOTS Award which today goes to... Anthony Davis! Not the fairest of picks, but for his monster $10.3K price I expected more than a paltry 39 DKFP.
- Other bad performers: Marquese Chriss (20.25 DKFP at $5.9K), Draymond Green (9.75 at $5.5K), and Aaron Holiday (11.75 at $4.8K).
- We only had six double-doubles via points and rebounds (Nemanja Bjelica and Dwight missed by one board) and just one dub-dub on points and dimes (Al Horford missed by a single assist, Cory Joseph by four points).
- At least Hassan Whiteside finished with an 18-16 and 4 blocks. What a slate man, what a slate...
What’s cooking? Statistical trends from the past seven days
- Gorgui Dieng has bumped up his value lately and although he’s not playing a lot (22.3 mpg) he’s put up good averages (13-7-0-1-2) in the last three games. Another guy on a similar path has been Shake Milton, who has logged 28.8 mpg while averaging a 16-3-4-1-1 stuffed line in those runs.
- Kendrick Nunn has lost some love lately and he has become more available/less played in season-long leagues and DFS slates. Makes no sense, though, as he’s back at his best level and thus rewarding his bettors with very sweet returns for his price. Nunn has played three games after the break and in really high minutes of playing time (33 mpg) he’s been able to reach a 23-2-6-1 very completely line while shooting 51.9% from the floor on more than 16 field goal attempts per game.
- Silly cheap values: Chris Boucher (7-7-1-0-3 in 16.3 mpg), Garrett Temple (14-5-3-1 in 28.7), and Nicolo Melli (15-5-2-0-1 in 22.3).
- A little more expensive but still with massive ROI: Ricky Rubio (18-6-10-4 in 31.3), Steven Adams (18-12-1-2-1 in 28.5), and Evan Fournier (26-2-3-2 in 32.7).
- Some very expensive players not doing enough to help their owners: Andre Drummond (10-8-1-1-1 in 22.7), Jamal Murray (19-4-6-1-1 in 35), Fred VanVleet (12-4-4-2 in 32), Ja Morant (15-1-4 in 28.3).
- Cheap points (min. 3 games played in the past seven days): Daniel Theis (16.8 ppg in 26.5 mpg), Jordan Poole (16 in 31.7), Eric Pashall (16 in 30.7)
- Cheap threes: Duncan Robinson (4.3 in 31.7), Ben McLemore (3.7 in 22), PJ Washington (3 in 32.7)
- Cheap boards: Jarrett Allen (10 in 22.7), Mitchell Robinson (10 in 25.5), Derrick Favors (8.7 in 24)
- Cheap dimes: Ish Smith (5.8 in 26), Cory Joseph (5.3 in 21.7), Al Horford (5.3 in 30.3)
- Cheap steals: Monte Morris (2.3 in 25.7), Mikal Bridges (2.3 in 30), Kent Bazemore (2 in 26)
- Cheap blocks: Mitchell Robinson (3.8 in 25.5), James Johnson (2 in 23.5), OG Anunoby (1.7 in 31.3)
- Cheap shooting: Harry Giles (59.7 fg% on 10.0 fga), Eric Paschall (56.0% on 10.3), Bobby Portis (51.2% on 10)
Gotta Win The Day: Best/Worst DraftKings plays for tonight’s slate
- Love: (SF/PF) Brandon Ingram, NO ($7500, vs CLE): Just three days ago Ingram came back to Hollywood to face the Lake Show and he also came back to his unconscious best level. Bones finished the day at 50.75 DKFP and a 34-7-4-2 stuffed line. He scored three triples, shot 60% from the floor on a very heavy 20 attempts, hit six of eight freebies and his fantasy tally was cut short only because of his—more outlier than anything—seven turnovers. Zion has pushed New Orleans up and with the Grizzlies losing games in bunches these days I am convinced the Pels will make the playoffs when all is said and done. These Cavs suck big time and Ingram is poised to have another monster game tonight. Remember, he’s been slowly but surely increasing his minutes since being injured before the break, and Ingram has gone from 27 to 33 to 36 in the last three, so the restriction seems to be done for good by now. Nothing stopping BI from getting a bunch of DKFP at home.
- Hate: (PG) Jamal Murray, DEN ($7600, at LAC): It’s incredible how the Nuggets cruise past virtually everybody with a team that has Jokic as a clear go-to guy but not really a second-banana or true legit no. 2 above-average player. Murray can be that guy-and he actually is on a virtual nightly basis—but he’s far from a lock to be considered a surefire player these days. Since coming back from the ASW break Murray’s only reached more than 36 DKFP once and all he could do was getting to 38.75 three days ago against the Pistons. The points are not a problem for Jam, who is always on the 20+, but the rest of the cats have suffered lately being on the low for both boards (4 per in his last three) and dimes (6 per) compared to he had done in the full January-February span. Not that it should worry anyone, but the minutes have gone down in the last three from 37 to 35 to 33 in the last three and the same has happened with the usage rate on offense (from 27% to 22% to 21%). The Clips are just one more reason to fade him tonight given their stocked group of guards.
- Love: (C) Kristaps Porzingis, DAL ($8400, at MIA): Back in the winter days when Luka went down injured Kristaps happened to play his best basketball as a Mav. Luka is not injured now, but he might miss tonight’s game just as a precaution as he seems to be a little banged up. Whether Doncic plays or not, KP has improved a lot lately going back to the start of February. Just this past month Porz has averaged 50 DKFP (!) per game playing like a top-15 player in the slates he’s been part of. That has translated to a monster 26-10-2-1-2 average line. KP is hasn’t finished a game without hitting a triple since Dec. 12 and is averaging 3.1 3pm per going back to Jan. 31. He has logged six dub-dubs in that nine-game span, and another two games in which he fell just one board short of it. Adding wood to the fire, he’s blocked 11 shots in his last four games combined. Crazy efficient player, given he’s played under 30 minutes in his last two but still reached 57 fantasy points in one of those!
- Hate: (C) Rudy Gobert, UTA ($7800, vs WAS): It is hard for a biggie to not hit in more than a couple of games in a row, but there is Rudy... Le Croissant is wet and bland. It’s been three games in a row for him falling short of reaching 30 DKFP, which is incredible considering he’s played an average of 35 minutes on those games. Gob has scored 12, 13, and 9 in those three, and not grabbed more than 9 boards in any of them. That sucks, seriously, because this type of player is the one you rely on to boost your nightly score no matter what happens with the rest of your lineup. Not anymore with Gobert, who is waving a heavier goodbye to the DPOY by the day. Washington lacks centimeters, but that’s precisely where Rudy suffers the most it seems as he had a couple of stinkers against the Pocket Rockets a week ago and Boston just a couple of nights back.
If you have any comment or question about the daily column, tonight’s games, players involved in them, or even season-long fantasy NBA topics, just drop it below or reach out to me on Twitter at @chapulana and I’ll get back to you as soon as I grab a keyboard!