Welcome to your daily NBA DFS digest at FakeTeams, gents. Every day I’m here with a handful of pro-tips to roster a winning team just a few hours from now. On top of that, I’ll bring you some news, statistical trends from the past few days, some studs/duds from the last slate of games, and much more!
Hoop Land Times: News and notes from around the Association
- Just after starting his first game against the Pacers, Malik Monk has been suspended by the NBA after violating the anti-drug program... Stinks, because we’re all rooting for Monk here. Sadly, you can fade and drop him in all-things fantasy for the time being.
- Only three players in NBA history have done what Coby White has accomplished lately, which is to record three consecutive 30-point games off the pine. Ricky Pierce did it twice, and JR Smith once. Shouts to Coby!
- The Heat seem to be interested in DeMarcus Cousins as a potential signing this upcoming free agency, and knowing the Heat they’ll definitely find a way to snatch him from the Lake Show—assuming Hollywood wants him back.
- Speaking of the Lakers, it’s all set up for a meeting between the franchise brass and Dion Waiters next Monday. We’re getting closer, folks.
- Oh boy. Oh boy oh boy. Simmons went down a few days ago and yesterday Philly lost Embiid to a shoulder injury. Obviously, he got removed in no time and remained out of the game, which was the right thing to do considering the Sixers’ current situation. You can feel Philly’s legs trembling from here. And Cleveland won the game. LOL.
Duds and Studs: Last night slate roundup
- Pretty incredible slate with four players over 60 DKFP. Luka led the pack with 64 fantasy points after dropping a trip-dub on the Spurs. He reached a bonkers 26-10-14-1 line in 37 minutes, and he even committed seven turnovers and five personal fouls. Bananas. Trae got 62.5 (37-2-11-1-1 in 38), Russ reached 62.25 (33-9-8-4 in 34), and Caris LeVert was a pleasant surprise with 62 DKFP (28-12-1-2-3 in 34).
- And nine more guys in the 50-to-60 DKFP clip! Kristaps, Aaron Gordon, Kawhi, Tatum, DLo, Ayton, DeRozan, Beal, and Donovan Mitchell. Quite a bunch, that is.
- Can’t name a single ROI King after yesterday slate. The award has to be shared between Austin Rivers (36.5 DKFP at $3.3K; 23-4-3-1 in 25 minutes) and Mo Bamba (38.5 at $3.5K; 15-10 with 4 blocks in 16 minutes). Great nights for a couple of nice producers off the bench.
- Two more great value-returners coming out of nowhere: Bismack Biyombo got to 33.75 DKFP (12-5-4-1-4 in 27 min.) at just $3.1K and Marco Belinelli reached 31 DKFP (14-8-1-1-1 in 21) at only $3.1K. Sweet 30s for those risking it with these two yesterday.
- And the DOTS Award goes to... Joel Embiid! I know, he got injured, but that is nothing affecting the DOTS. JoJo entered the slate tagged with the second-highest price ($10.5K) and in fewer than eight minutes he could only get his bettors 4.5 DKFP.
- Other pretty bad performers without injury trouble attached to their names: Paul George (24.25 at $8K), Elfrid Payton (21 at $7.4K), and Gordon Hayward (20.75 at $7.4K).
- Impossible night for dub-dubbers. We saw 14 double-doubles via points and rebounds (with four players missing on it by just one board and Gobert by a rebound and a point), and another three via points and assists (four players missed on it by a dime and Elfrid Payton by a dime and four points).
- Kudos to Luka for putting up the lone trip-dub of the night with a great 26-10-14, and semi-kudos to Russ (33-9-8-4) and DeRozan (27-8-9) for getting superthisclose to it.
What’s cooking? Statistical trends from the past seven days
- Go grab Coby White. Like, now. 28.3 ppg, 4 rpg, 2.5 apg, 0.8 apg, 0.5 bpg, 4.5 3pm, 18 fga, 50.1 fg%, 32 minutes per game, 29.7% usage rate. Nothing else matters.
- Chris Boucher is helping Toronto with some neat production at a laughable price/availability. Bouch is putting up a 7-7-1-0-3 line in his last three games playing just 16 minutes. Mitchell Robinson keeps playing nothing close to what he should for the Knicks, and his numbers prove so: 10-11-1-1-4 shooting 77% from the floor in a stupid and stinking low 23.7 minutes...
- Silly cheap values: Kelan Martin (12-4-3 in 19.3 mpg), Josh Jackson (13-5-2-1-1 in 21.8), Austin Rivers (13-2-2-1 in 22.3).
- A little more expensive but still with massive ROI: CJ McCollum (32-6-11-0-1 in 39), Kendrick Nunn (21-2-5-1 in 30.5), Evan Fournier (26-2-3-2 in 322.7), Caris LeVert (24-5-6-3 in 34).
- Some very expensive players not doing enough to help their owners: Andre Drummond (10-8-1-1-1 in 22.7), Andrew Wiggins (15-5-2-1-1 in 30.7), Rudy Gobert (13-9-2-1-2 in 35), Julius Randle (14-9-3-1-1 in 27), Spencer Dinwiddie (19-5-7 in 33).
- Cheap points (min. 3 games played in the past seven days): Kent Bazemore (16.7 ppg in 27.7 mpg), Bobby Portis (16 in 24.3), Jerami Grant (15.7 in 22.7).
- Cheap threes: Ben McLemore (3.5 3pm in 21.5 mpg), Langston Galloway (2.7 in 23.7), Justin Holiday (2.7 in 24.7).
- Cheap boards: Ivica Zubac (10 rpg in 20 mpg), Harry Giles (8 in 26.3), Cristiano Felicio (6.5 in 25).
- Cheap dimes: JJ Barea (5 in 16.3), Shabazz Napier (5 in 23.5), Dennis Smith Jr. (4.7 in 21.3).
- Cheap steals: Rajon Rondo (2 in 16.3), Ky Bowman (2 in 28), Luguentz Dort (2 in 23.3).
- Cheap blocks: Chris Boucher (3 in 16.3), Mo Bamba (3 in 13.7), John Henson (1.3 in 19).
- Cheap shooting: Daniel Theis (65.3 fg% on 9.8 fga), Bobby Portis (55.7% on 10.7), Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (49.3% on 9.3)
Gotta Win The Day: Best/Worst DraftKings plays for tonight’s slate
- Love: (PF/C) Al Horford, PHI ($5200, vs NYK): I hate this play but I guess you have to go with it at least today. Horford isn’t anything otherworldly, mind you, but for this price and given the current Sixers situation you know he’s going to eat minutes and be out there trying for as long as his legs last. The Knicks aren’t the worst of matchups either sitting just in the middle of the order when it comes to fantasy points allowed to the opposition. If Horford actually returns some 35+ DKFP tonight he’d already be given some good ROI back but honestly, he should thrive in a lineup without Embiid nor Simmons in it. No excuses for him not to have a booming game today or else he’d be done for good in my mind and most Philly fans’ too. He’s posting averages of 12-7-4-1-1 on the year and in the last couple of games starting and playing 30+ minutes he finished with 26 and 30 DKFP. Not the greatest of indications, for sure, but he’ll be out there all alone and he should take advantage of it with an expected mega-bump in usage.
- Hate: (PF/C) Julius Randle, NYK ($7800, at PHI): At the other end of the court we would watch The Randlewus, who is stinking big time lately at least for the price he’s carrying. He comes at almost $8K tonight yet he’s on a three-game streak after the break in which he’s just averaged 32 DKFP per game scoring under 20 points and grabbing no more than 12 rebounds in each of those. The shooting has been quite bad in that span with 12 fga dropping on a paltry 36 percent of times. Randle is turning the ball over with gusto (21 combined in his last six games) and although the usage is really high at over 27% in his last five games he’s struggling to reach 20 points and double-digit boards. With Embiid out he might find a crack through Philly’s paint tonight, but again, it’s all about the price/upside when it comes to hating JR tonight. I don’t expect a great ROI for him, that’s basically it.
- Love: (C) Steven Adams, OKC ($6800, vs SAC): You know the Kiwi is quite a volatile player, but he’s been proving fools wrong lately with a bunch of packed performances against all sorts of rivals. It’s been five games in a row (two before the break, three after it) in which Stevie has reached at least 35 DKFP, and in his last three he hasn’t dropped from a great 41 fantasy points by logging 57, 41, and 42 in that order. He’s been so great that he’s gotten five dub-dubs in his last six games and in the last one against Chicago just two nights back he fell just one board short of another one to make it six in six. This is the Kiwi we like to see. The points are always on the 15+ and the rebounds have gone up lately too to around 12+ per game. Not a lot of dimes, but you can’t have everything. What Adams is providing on a nightly basis though are tons of steals (2.6 per game in his last five) and blocks (at least one in six of his last seven averaging 1.6 per in that seven-game span). Sweet price and great run during the last couple of weeks.
- Hate: (SF/PF) Tobias Harris, PHI ($7500, vs NYK): While Tobi should be the go-to guy of the “No-Benny, No-JoJo” Sixers, I still think his price is quite high for what he will ultimately achieve. Pretty similar reasoning to that I followed with the pick against Randle. Harris has played four games after the break but the results have been a bouncy thing. He reached 50 DKFP against Brooklyn in 46 minutes, then flopped with an 18-DKFP performance versus Milwaukee, came back booming to 44.5 DKFP against the Hawks, and had a middling 28-DKFP outing yesterday against Cleveland playing 36 minutes. He’s scoring 20+ and all of a sudden he’s getting capped at 10. He’s grabbing 12 boards, then he can’t even reach 5 of them. He’s dishing 6 assists out, then he barely hands one. You can’t trust Tobi and much less risk that pretty heavy price you’d be paying for a walking what if.
If you have any comment or question about the daily column, tonight’s games, players involved in them, or even season-long fantasy NBA topics, just drop it below or reach out to me on Twitter at @chapulana and I’ll get back to you as soon as I grab a keyboard!