Welcome to your daily NBA DFS digest at FakeTeams, gents. Every day I’m here with a handful of pro-tips to roster a winning team just a few hours from now. On top of that, I’ll bring you some news, statistical trends from the past few days, some studs/duds from the last slate of games, and much more!
Hoop Land Times: News and notes from around the Association
- Last Benny Simmons’ injury update: two weeks out, and then we’ll see. No joke when it comes to wrecked backs, and Simmons’ isn’t an exception. Two months mean a mid-March comeback at the earliest with the playoffs starting one month later on April 18. Plenty of time to get back in rhythm and all, and no reason to sound the alarms, but this is definitely something to monitor.
- We are this close to having Mr. Stephen Curry back. Curry is expected to return this Sunday facing the Wizards—not confirmed—which knowing how they’re playing makes us believe Steph might get on the court and all of a sudden drop a 50-burger. Not out of the equation.
- If you want to add Jeff Green to your roster, feel free to do it now. Green has signed a contract to remain a Pocket Rocket for the remainder of the season, making him a safe asset in fantasy leagues.
Duds and Studs: Last night slate roundup
- Kind of a bland slate that of yesterday. Only two players reached the 60-DKFP mark: Giannis got himself 61.25 points to the tune of a 19-19-8-0-3 line on just 23.9% usage in an almost-never seen 38 minutes of run for him, and LeBron finished at 60 DKFP with a 40-8-6-0-1 impressive performance against Zion’s Pelicans shooting 63% from the floor.
- At least we had seven players in the 50-to-60 DKFP clip, I guess... Anthony Davis (57.5; 21-14-3-1-6), CJ McCollum (55.5; 28-4-10-0-3); Domas (54.75; 21-15-9); Zach LaVine (54.25; 41-5-4-1); Jayson Tatum (50.75; 36-5-1-0-2), Brandon Ingram (50.75; 34-7-4-2), and Coby White (50.75; 35-7-3).
- Impossible game by Danny Green for the price he was tagged at yesterday, making him the ROI King. Green finished with 36.75 DKFP at just $3.3K for the Lakers getting a nice 17-5-4-2-1 stuffed line in 31 minutes. Close to Green was Jerami Grant getting 37 DKFP at the sweet price of just $3.7K, with a line reading 29-4-1 in just 29 minutes.
- Special mention to Coby, who has been on super-saiyan mode lately—is it the hairdo?—and yesterday reached more than 50 DKFP at just $5.6K. The price is obviously getting higher and higher but it’s reasonable considering how hot the kid’s been.
- Totally opposite those was our DOTS Award winner... Andrew Wiggins! Wigg finished with 16.5 DKFP at $7.8K in his 30 minutes of run. Other pretty solid duds were Kyle Lowry (24.5 at $8.1K), Gordon Hayward (19.25 at $7.4K), and Fred VanVleet (20 at $6.8K).
- Only seven double-doubles via points and rebounds (Myles Turner and Kent Bazemore lacked three and one points respectively, while three players missed on it by a rebound), and just one dub-dub via points and dimes (Jrue Holiday and CP3 lacked an assist). Sabonis didn’t sleep well after not getting his trip-dub just because of one single dime, same as Giannis who missed on it by just a couple of assists. Sucks.
- Kudos to Myles Turner for blocking a massive 8 shots yesterday. That’s tied for the third-most this season: Hassan blocked 10 in November, Brook Lopez 9 to kick February off, and AD & Myles are the ones with 8 blocks in a single game with Davis getting his back on Jan. 5.
What’s cooking? Statistical trends from the past seven days
- Danny Green’s great performance yesterday closed a three-game run in which he has sky-rocketed all the way up to the best value around the league in the past seven days other than Monty Harrell. Green is averaging an 8-3-2-2-1 low-yet-stuffed line in 26 minutes per game for the Lake Show.
- Josh Jackson is also providing tons of value at low prices/high availability rates. He’s at 15-4-2-0-1 and seems to have regained the mojo we all thought he had lost forever. Our boy and all-time favorite Juan Toscano-Anderson keeps putting up numbers for the Warriors with averages of 10-5-3-2-1 in just 24 minutes during the last three.
- Silly cheap values: Garrett Temple (13-6-3-1 in 28.3 mpg), Alex Caruso (8-2-3-1 in 16), and Chris Boucher (7-7-1-0-3 in 16.3).
- A little more expensive but still with massive ROI: Ricky Rubio (18-5-10-4 in 31.3 mpg), Coby White (28-4-3-1-1 in 32), and Bam Adebayo (22-12-8-2-2 in 33.7).
- Some very expensive players not doing enough to help their owners: Andre Drummond (10-8-1-1-1 in 22.7 minutes), Andrew Wiggins (15-4-2-1-1 in 30.7), Rudy Gobert (14-9-1-0-1 in 35.3), and Jamal Murray (19-4-6-1-1 in 35).
- Cheap points (min. 3 games played in the past seven days): Daniel Theis (15.8 ppg in 26.3 mpg), Jerami Grant (15.7 in 22.7), and Cam Reddish (15.3 in 32.3).
- Cheap threes: Duncan Robinson (3.7 in 34), Ben McLemore (3.7 in 20.3), and Jae Crowder (3 in 29).
- Cheap boards: Derrick Favors (8.8 in 23), Harry Giles (8 in 26.3), and Jarrett Allen (8 in 20.7).
- Cheap dimes: Ish Smith (6 in 27), Darius Garland (5.3 in 36), and Joe Ingles (5 in 29.7).
- Cheap steals: Shabazz Napier (2.3 in 23.3), Monte Morris (2.3 in 25.7), and Gary Trent Jr. (2.3 in 33).
- Cheap blocks: Chris Boucher (3 in 16.3), James Johnson (2 in 23.7), and Andre Iguodala (2 in 19).
- Cheap shooting: Maxi Kleber (53.8 fg% on 10.7 fga), Harrison Barnes (59.9% on 13.0), and Tristan Thompson (59.3% on 9.7).
Gotta Win The Day: Best/Worst DraftKings plays for tonight’s slate
- Love: (PF) Aaron Gordon, ORL ($7800, at ATL): Our pal Aaron might have lost his second Slam Dunk Contest, but I’m starting to think that only makes him good on the court when actual, real, meaningful games are being played. AG entered the break pumped and hyped for the contest (he had a couple of 45 and 55 DKFP games on Feb. 10 and Feb. 12) and now he’s played two matches after the ASW and he’s gone for 42 and 53 DKFP. That’s your new, steady, game-to-game Aaron Gordon, folks. In fact, other than a stinker against the Bucks, every game Gordon has played in February has been good-to-great and has the forward ranked inside the top-20 players of the month. Gordon is averaging a delicious 22-10-6-1-1 line in his last four sandwiching the break and he’s logged a couple of dub-dubs after it. The price hasn’t caught up to the returns yet, so take advantage of the situation.
- Hate: (PG) Ja Morant, MEM ($7100, at HOU): Hear me out, Silver Man: Zion for ROY! Ha! Joking, joking, no way Zion gets there given Morant’s season and Zion’s own low-volume and playing time even if he doesn’t miss a single game ROS. Even with that, though, Ja’s slump is starting to become more than worrying. The Grizz had sustained an impossible efficiency and set of results but they’re starting to show weaknesses and deflating entering the final stretch of the season. Morant’s last month has been one to forget. In his last nine games going back to Jan. 31 he’s averaging 29 DKFP and performing out of the top-60 players around the league. Wasn’t it for a couple of 62- and 41-DKFP performances just before the break he’d be at just 22 DKFP per game, which is basically bad-reserve level of play. Mo is struggling to get to 20 points and the rest of the cats look very depressive at around 2 rebounds and 4 boards on good nights. It hasn’t been the easiest of schedules for Memphis lately, but Houston doesn’t profile as a cupcake to make things right either.
- Love: (PG/SG) Spencer Dinwiddie, BKN ($8000, at WAS): If you’ve been living under a rock you might not know Kyrie is out for the year. Not that it matters a lot, though, as Kyrie has basically sucked ass and lost Brooklyn more games than he won the team... So it’s all about Spicy D, who seems to be the real rim-rocker around Flatbush & Atlantic. Din was demoted to the bench for a short spell of four games back in January but he’s started the last eight to great success. Just in his last six, going back to Feb. 8, Spence is averaging 19 pops, 5 boards, 9 dimes, and even got himself a couple of sweet 21-11 mirroring dub-dubs in back-to-back nights prior to the ASW-break. In the other four he couldn’t reach the double digits in two cats at the same time but he logged 9, 8, 9, and 8 assists, falling this short of accomplishing the feat in almost six games in a row! That’s nuts and shows you the upside Mr. D carries along with him. Oh, and if you didn’t notice it’s the lowly Wiz in front of the Nets tonight.
- Hate: (C) Deandre Ayton, PHO ($8100, vs LAC): I can’t say it with 100% confidence, but Ayton must be the most fantasy-bouncy big man of the league. Just check his last six games and you’ll see what I mean (DKFP points): 55, 28, 62, 34, 57, 25. What the hell is that!? We’re talking about someone that finds equally easy to drop a 30-20 line one night and having his best game of the season against Denver—and Nikola Jokic by extension—as he can leave you in the cold with a stupid 12-6 against the Pocket Rockets to log his barely-worst game of the year. Ayton has turned into the ultimate boom/bust DFS basketball play, and for the price he carries I’m not entirely sure he’s worth the gamble. Sure, he’s a dope asset to roster in season-long leagues because in the long run he’s going to give you monster numbers, but for one-off contests I’d rather stay off him.
If you have any comment or question about the daily column, tonight’s games, players involved in them, or even season-long fantasy NBA topics, just drop it below or reach out to me on Twitter at @chapulana and I’ll get back to you as soon as I grab a keyboard!