Welcome to your daily NBA DFS digest at FakeTeams, gents. Every day I’m here with a handful of pro-tips to roster a winning team just a few hours from now. On top of that, I’ll bring you some news, statistical trends from the past few days, some studs/duds from the last slate of games, and much more!
Hoop Land Times: News and notes from around the Association
- Not that you will find him in your player pools, but Iso Joe Johnson will be playing basketball on Big3 courts again this summer, and we all love that. In case you’re not updated, he and the Triplets snatched the last Big3 chip last season, so he’s a returning defending champ trying to get the shinny home on back-to-back years.
- Stephen Curry is this close to returning. The Warriors are ramping up his practices and he is expected to hit the floor as soon as we flip the calendar page to March.
- Embiid missed a bunch of games earlier this season. It seems to be Ben Simmons turn now after leaving yesterday’s game against the Bucks with lower back pain. The Sixers are scared as hell, per Woj. We’ll know more later today.
Duds and Studs: Last night slate roundup
- No players in the 70s, but three in the 60s. John Collins led the slate with 67.75 DKFP yesterday getting to 35 points and 17 rebounds to go with 2 dimes, 2 blocks, and a steal. He even hit three triples! The other two in the group: Giannis (66.75; 31-17-8-0-1 shooting 70.6% from the floor) and Harden (62.25; 38-5-7-2-1 with 6 treys).
- Only two in the 50-to-60 DKFP clip, too sad. Deandre Ayton posted a monster 28-19 dub-dub (57.25 DKFP) and Kawhi (54) stuffed the line with a 31-8-5-2 performance against Sacto.
- Three players rewarded their bettors with some sweet 10+ ROIs: Garrett Temple was the ROI King the slate after getting to 38.25 DKFP while priced at $3.5K (15-11-3-1 in 26 minutes), and he was followed by Cedi Osman (40.25 at $3.9K; 19-7-7 in 38 minutes), and Kendrick Nunn (46 at $4.5K; 24-2-8-2-1 in 35 minutes).
- The worst of the worst plays, and thus the DOTS Award goes to... Ben Simmons! He could only stay under five minutes on the court before leaving injured, netting his owners 10.5 DKFP when they’ve paid all of $9.2K to roster him. Of those without troubling healthy issues, kudos go to Andre Drummond (15 DKFP at $8.5K; 6-6-1-1 in 25 minutes), Devonte’ Graham (15.25 at $7.1K; 6-1-2-2-1 in 27), and Tobias Harris (18.25 at $6.8; 11-5-1 in 30).
- Up to 11 double-doubles yesterday via points and boards (Zubac, Covington, and Dedmon missed on it by just two points; Middleton and Zeller by a rebound), and just a couple of dub-dubs with assists (Dinwiddie, Adebayo, and Sexton lacked one dime to pull it off). Props to Caris LeVert for leading the slate with 6 (!) steals.
What’s cooking? Statistical trends from the past seven days
- Is Cam Reddish getting things right for real? He’s going super cheap and is massively available out there for free, and in his last four he’s playing over 31 minutes per game while scoring 15.8 points, grabbing 4 boards, dishing out 1.8 assists, and stealing 1.8 balls to go with 0.5 blocks a game. Not bad.
- Tim Hardaway Jr. was impressive yesterday, and during his last four too. The line reads 25-4-4-1 in that span while playing 34.3 minutes. Malik Monk has improved his numbers a ton lately, with a 21-4-2-1-1 average line shooting 46.8% from the floor on a healthy 29.3% usage rate off the bench. Kent Bazemore is doing a lot in short playing time (15-5-1-2-1 in 23 minutes), same as Jae Crowder (16-5-1-2-1 in 26).
- A little more expensive but still with massive ROI: Bam Adebayo (16-11-7-3-1 in 30 minutes), Ricky Rubio (13-5-9-2 in 27), and Buddy Hield (16-3-4-2 in 26 minutes with 2.5 triples per game).
- Some very expensive players not doing enough to help their owners: De’Aaron Fox (20-4-7-1-1 in 32 minutes), Fred VanVleet (17-4-5-2 in 36), and Andrew Wiggins (22-3-3-1-2 in 32).
- Cheap points (min. 3 games played in the past seven days): Coby White (19.7 ppg in 32.3 mpg), Tristan Thompson (17.7 in 25.3), and J.J. Redick (17.7 in 23.7).
- Cheap threes: Duncan Robinson (4.3 3pm in 32.8), Malik Beasley (3.7 in 34.3), and Landry Shamet (3.3 in 39).
- Cheap boards: Daniel Theis (10 in 26.7), Derrick Favors (9.3 in 22), and Brandon Clarke (9 in 26).
- Cheap dimes: Joe Ingles (7 in 30.5), Tomas Satoransky (5.7 in 28.3), and Darius Garland (5.3 in 33.3).
- Cheap steals: Troy Brown Jr. (3 in 18.3), Trevor Ariza (2.3 in 32), and Terrence Ross (2.3 in 31).
- Cheap blocks: James Johnson (2.3 in 26.7), O.G. Anunoby (2 in 35), and Maxi Kleber (2 in 23).
- Cheap shooting: Tristan Thompson (67.1 fg% on 11.3 fga), Daniel Theis (60% on 9.3), and Joe Harris (50% on 10.5).
Gotta Win The Day: Best/Worst DraftKings plays for tonight’s slate
- Love: (SF/PF) Brandon Ingram, NO ($6900, at GSW): Know what you’re doing by playing Ingram, folks. BI entered the break after suffering an injury, barely played in the AS game, and featured for the Pels two days ago logging the fifth-fewest minutes of his season with just 27. To play that time in his first game starting going back to Feb. 6 isn’t a bad sign, though, and I expect Brandon Bones to go over 30 easily tonight, though it’s Golden State and if the game turns into a blowout then who knows. Anyways, the price is so low that the risk/reward level is delicious and the potential ROI very sweet. Ingram is a top-20 player on the season, he’s in the 40s-DKFP range of outcomes more often than not, and he can do it all from scoring to boarding to dishing out dimes, all of it with great shooting percentages and good long-range traits. These Pelicans are fighting for a playoff spot so no jokes from now on, and the rotation is in full force with Zion fully fit and the rest of the crew available too. Bank on BI.
- Hate: (PF) Thaddeus Young, CHI ($6500, vs WAS): In keeping with my now-famous philosophy, ride the hot streak, not the hot game. This is Thadd Young before the break (from Jan. 1 on): 11-5-1-2. This is Thadd Young after it (two games): 18-8-1-4-1. So we’re talking about a guy averaging 23 DKFP in 2020 that all of a sudden logged a double-double, stole four rocks in back-to-back games, put up 48- and 35-DKFP games, and we’re believe the last couple of games are his true self? Come on, folks. The minutes have gone up as hell, same as his presence in the starting lineup, and that is helping him. Maybe that’s reason enough to at least consider playing him, sure, but he’s needed of all that run to do not much better than he was doing already on half the minutes, so there’s that. I’m not trusting Thadd and I’d rather leave him out of my lineups for a while until he settles on this new 30+ DKFP level before I believe it’s for real real.
- Love: (C) Steven Adams, OKC ($6800, vs SA): Stevie has had so many highs and lows through the year that it is very hard to know who the real Kiwi is. No matter what, though, he seems to have regained his mojo lately. In the last five games he’s played he’s scored 10+ points in four of them while getting 10+ boards also in four. All in all, that has helped him get three dub-dubs going back to Feb. 7 while missing on the feat two times by small margins (two rebounds in one game, six points in the other). On top of that Adams is dishing more than 2 dimes per game while stealing an average of 1.8 balls in his last five. The blocks are always there (he’s blocked one or more shot in that five-game span, topping at 3 two games ago and logging 2 this past Friday). He even hit his first career three-pointer against the Pelicans just before the AS break with a mid-court heave that you need to watch because he couldn’t have cared less about it.
- Hate: (C) Marquese Chriss, GSW ($6200, vs NO): I’m one of the few Marquese lovers still to be found around the world, but I just can’t give him a spot tonight. See, Chriss was a beast leading up to the AS break and I really think he’s found his place in the NBA once for all thanks to the situation in Golden State. He will keep getting minutes for the remainder of the season, and that’s great. MaCh had three terrific games before the break with scores of 45, 33, and 43 DKFP which included a dub-dub of 18-12 in his last game against Phoenix, in which he also played 31 minutes for the second time on the year (second-highest mark of the season for him). He left early against Houston three days ago and played just 17 minutes, but even if he plays tonight and going at a rather cheap price I’m not liking him battling with New Orleans’ big men inside. Chriss settles in the paint and doesn’t bring any outside threat to the equation, so he might be completely shut down by Okafor/Zion/Hayes. Let Chriss grow before plugging him in.
If you have any comment or question about the daily column, tonight’s games, players involved in them, or even season-long fantasy NBA topics, just drop it below or reach out to me on Twitter at @chapulana and I’ll get back to you as soon as I grab a keyboard!