Welcome to your daily NBA DFS digest at FakeTeams, gents. Every day I’m here with a handful of pro-tips to roster a winning team just a few hours from now. On top of that, I’ll bring you some news, statistical trends from the past few days, some studs/duds from the last slate of games, and much more!
Hoop Land Times: News and notes from around the Association
- Welp. It was confirmed that Kyrie Irving will be out for the rest of the season after re-injuring his shoulder. It was never going to be a great season in Brooklyn, not without KD around, but it must sting to see the year go nowhere (even making the playoffs) after the huge splash made for Kyrie this past offseason.
- Another body lost for the year: Klay Thompson. Close that book, as he won’t be balling before before October.
- Believe it or not, Isaiah Thomas is in talks with a few teams, which you have to love. Joining the Celtics is a dream scenario, and I can only hope they make a deep playoff run with IT in the team.
- Perhaps not that important of a signing, but Golden State has signed Dragan Bender to a 10-day contract and we’ll see where this goes. The Warriors are throwing bodies against the wall to see which stick, and so far so good with some seemingly lost careers (Marquese Chriss, anyone?) getting it back on track. Keep an eye on the Bender.
Duds and Studs: Last night slate roundup
- I’m not going to get too deep into the whole Luka-Trae conversation, who won the trade, etc. But I’m going to tell you that if you’re one of those labeling Atlanta as losers without giving it a second thought you’re so wrong. Luka is unique, but Trae is a monster. The NBA came back from the AS break yesterday and Ice Young seemed to have not missed a beat. Young finished with a career-high 50 points, 2 rebounds, 8 dimes, 2 steals and a block against Miami. Slate-leading 71 DKFP for him.
- Bam Adebayo was the only other player to reach 70 DKFP yesterday. The line read a massive 28-19-7-3-1 stuffed north to south. The young guns are coming strong.
- Three more players inside the 60-to-70 DKFP clip: Joel Embiid (69.5 DKFP; 39-16-2-2-2 with a triple), Giannis (67.5; 33-16-4-3-1 shooting 56.5% from the floor), and James Harden (60.25; 29-3-10-3-2 with a horrific 37.5 fg% on 16 fga).
- Couple of ROI Kings yesterday sharing the title: De’Anthony Melton got to 41.5 DKFP while priced at $4K (24-6-3-1-1 with 4 triples in 23 minutes), and the new Warrior Juan Toscano-Anderson reached 30 DKFP at just $3K (10-6-5-2-1 in 24 minutes). Shouts to my Hispanic community out there grinding to make it to the Association!
- There were a bunch of duds around yesterday’s slate. The AS break left some fools asleep. The DOTS Award goes to... Devonte’ Graham, who only had 15 DKFP in 32 minutes while priced at $7.5K. Jonas Valanciunas (22.75; $7.1K) and Ja Morant (20.75; $7K) were bad as hell for the Grizzlies. Draymond Green (19; $6.5K) seems to be waiting for Curry to get back.
- Not the greatest of nights for dub-dubbers. We had eight double-doubles via points and rebounds (Brandon Clarke and JoVa both missed on it by two points), and just two with points and dimes (Jimmy B lacked one assist).
- Four steals for Young (Thaddeus, not Trae), and four blocks for RoCo playing for the small ball Rockets.
What’s cooking? Statistical trends from the past seven days
- Keep looking for value out there during the home stretch. Some names to keep an eye on: Malik Beasley (22-7-3-1 in 32 minutes), Jordan Clarkson (25-5-4 in 28), James Johnson (9-5-4-2-1 in 26), Dejounte Murray (19-8-7-2 in 28), and J.J. Redick (22-3-3-1 in 26).
- A little more expensive but still with massive ROI: Aaron Gordon (19-9-6-1-1 in 36), Jamal Murray (31-3-7-1 in 37), Chris Paul (22-5-8-2 in 33), and Markelle Fultz (17-3-7-3 in 32).
- Some very expensive players not doing enough to help their owners: Kelly Oubre Jr. (15-5-1 in 33 minutes), Paul George (15-6-3-1-1 in 24), De’Aaron Fox (18-9-7 in 30), and Kemba Walker (20-6-4 in 34).
- Cheap points (min. 3 games played in the past seven days): Jordan Clarkson (25.3 ppg in 28 mpg), J.J. Redick (22.3 in 26), and Malik Monk (21.5 in 29).
- Cheap threes: Malik Beasley (4.7 3pm in 32), Landry Shamet (3.3 in 34.5), and Bryn Forbes (3 in 25.3).
- Cheap boards: Dwight Howard (11.3 in 21.7), Derrick Favors (9 in 21.7), and Cody Zeller (8.7 in 22.7).
- Cheap dimes: Joe Ingles (8 in 31.3), Jordan McLaughlin (6.0 in 21.7), and Ish Smith (5.7 in 28).
- Cheap steals: Troy Brown Jr. (3 in 20), Trevor Ariza (2.7 in 33.7), and Cameron Johnson (2 in 20.3).
- Cheap blocks: Dewayne Dedmon (2.5 in 24), Mitchell Robinson (2.3 in 24), and Myles Turner (2.3 in 29.3).
- Cheap shooting: Jordan Clarkson (62.9 fg% on 16 fga), Jae Crowder (54.5% on 9.3), and Malik Monk (53.8% on 14)
Gotta Win The Day: Best/Worst DraftKings plays for tonight’s slate
- Love: (PG/SG) Jrue Holiday, NO ($7300, at POR): Considering what Jrue was doing before going on his particular All-Star break Holidays (wink, wink), there is no reason to not wanting him today. Portland is a cupcake of a matchup allowing the fifth-most fantasy points to the opposition on the season. On top of that, and if you’ve been living under a rock for the past month, Zion is now part of the active bodies playing basketball for the Pelicans. Jrue logged three consecutive dub-dubs before the break (61, 45, and 38.5 DKFP in those three games) and grabbed 4+ boards in his last three. This guy might be the best player in the team other than Ingram and is playing to an average of 40 DKFP on the year with upside for more and is easily a top-25 player on the season.
- Hate: (PG) D’Angelo Russell, MIN ($8600, vs BOS): We have seen two games of Wolf-DLo and he couldn’t have had more diverging performances. First game: 22 points, no rebounds, 5 assists, and a steal for 30 DKFP. Second game: 26 points, 6 rebounds, 11 assits, 2 steals, and a block for 58 DKFP. I’m not saying we should expect DLo to fall down to an average of 30 DKFP in Minny, the same as I’m not saying we should expect him to reach 60 DKFP every night (he’s had just one other game over 55 fantasy points this season... against Minnesota back in November LOL). DLo’s price is nuts these days and while he’s a top-30 player on the year and averages 40 DKFP per game I’d still give him some time to see how it all works in his new environment rather than paying big bucks for him now. On top of that, that first game in which he dudded a bit was against Toronto and let me tell you Boston doesn’t look like a much easier proposition. He had the good one against Charlotte, which... Charlotte.
- Love: (PG/SG) Donovan Mitchell, UTA ($6900, vs SA): The price is tooooooo crazy low to pass on DoMi. We’re talking about a virtual 40-DKFP performer here. Mitchell’s averages on the season read 24-4-4-1, he’s shooting 45.7 percent from the floor and 36.3 percent on 6.7 3pa per game with a strong 86.1% from the charity stripe. Gobert is catching some spotlight, but DoMi is the real deal in Salt Lake City. Although his fantasy tallies have been a bit down in February (35 DKFP on average) that doesn’t mean he hasn’t kept up his monster lines—he entered the break averaging 25-4-4-1 in his last six and shooting 61.5% from the floor in his last couple of matches. The minutes can’t get higher and although the scores have been a little down it has been mostly due to the massive turnovers he’s committing lately, which should get down in no time. Steal of the slate.
- Hate: (PG) Ja Morant, MEM ($7000, at LAL): This pick scares me because it’s the Lakers and it’s Hollywood and it’s Ja and it’s the ROY-to-be and... Ugh. But the thing is Morant has been way down lately. Gotta love Ja because his game is so wonderful, but he’s still not the guy in fantasy circles, that’s the truth. More than that, he’s also averaging just 31 DKFP in his last seven games going back to Jan. 31 and that number is highly inflated but a couple of games reaching 40 and 62 DKFP: remove those two and in the other five he’d be at a putrid 24 DKFP per game average... The points are always going to be in his gamelog stat lines, but his rebounds and assists are super bouncy (he’s grabbed from 1 to 10 rebounds in his last seven, and dished out from 2 to 10 assists in that same span), so that makes Mo a quite risky play. The Lakers are stout on D, too, and they should have a fully available roster tonight. Not liking this one.
If you have any comment or question about the daily column, tonight’s games, players involved in them, or even season-long fantasy NBA topics, just drop it below or reach out to me on Twitter at @chapulana and I’ll get back to you as soon as I grab a keyboard!