Welcome to your daily NBA DFS digest at FakeTeams, gents. Every day I’m here with a handful of pro-tips to roster a winning team just a few hours from now. On top of that, I’ll bring you some news, statistical trends from the past few days, some studs/duds from the last slate of games, and much more!
Hoop Land Times: News and notes from around the Association
- News surrounding the All-Star Weekend. Tyler Herro won’t make it to the Rising Stars game and he will be replaced by Cavs guard Collin Sexton. Pencil him in for like 30 shot attempts at the very least.
- The Sixers benched Al Horford—remember, their huge FA signing this past summer—yesterday in favor of Furkan Korkmaz. The Türk invasion is on, folks.
- For some reason, the Lakers and Clippers are interested in Tyler Johnson. He was cut by the Suns hours ago and well, I guess they have seen something in him no other single soul knows exists.
Duds and Studs: Last night slate roundup
- No one truly separated himself from the pack yesterday, but Harden led the slate with his 67 DKFP. Jameson finished with a 42-8-7-1-1 line against the Celtics and dropped 7 treys on Boston. Not bad for the Beard. The other two guys in the 60s: Zach LaVine (63.75 DKFP; 41-9-4-2 with 8 triples and shooting 71.4% from the floor) and Ben Simmons (61 DKFP; 26-12-10-1 on just 26.4% usage rate).
- Four other players between 50 and 60 DKFP: Russ (59.5), Kawhi (55), Aldridge (51.5), and... ZION (50.75) !!! Finally. Zion has finally arrived, my men. Williamson completed a masterpiece in under 28 minutes (!!!) by scoring 31 points, grabbing 9 boards, and dishing out 5 dimes to go with a sweet steal. The efficiency-levels this guy reaches are just nuts.
- Yesterday wasn’t a good day for hustlers looking for extra value in their lineups. The ROI King was Coby White but he wasn’t that great. Coby had 39.25 DKFP but entered the slate at $4.2K already. Derrick White was close with 37 DKFP priced at $4K.
- Other interesting value-returners: Josh Richardson (33.75 DKFP at $3.8K), Dejounte Murray (42.75 at $5.2K), and Rui Hachimura (36.5 at $4.8K).
- And the DOTS Award goes to... Damian Lillard! Dame played just 29 minutes, could only rack up 33.75 DKFP and he did so while entering the slate with a massive price tag of $10.3K!!!
- Other crappy plays: Kemba Walker (26 DKFP at $7.7), Paul George (36.5 at $8K), and Dennis Schroder (18 at $6.5K).
- Only six double-doubles via points and rebounds (although an infinite list of eight players missed on it by just one board), and none helped by assists (Ish Smith and Kawhi missed on it by one dime, Lonzo by one point). Kudos go to Ben Simmons for getting the lone triple-double of the day at 26-12-10.
What’s cooking? Statistical trends from the past seven days
- I have checked Furkan Korkmaz ownership rate in Yahoo leagues just out of curiosity. It is at 16%. Sixteen percent! WTF! Go grab this guy ASAP! Four games in the last seven days with averages of 19.3 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 1.8 apg, 1 spg, and 0.3 bpg. Shooting 45.1 percent from the floor and hitting 3.8 triples a night. The usage is at a reasonable 20.7%, and he’s starting over Al Horford already. Oh lawd, what a steal you have in him!
- J.J. Redick is a well-known asset and he’s stepped up lately with a line reading 20-2-4 in his last three playing just 23 minutes. Not bad. Another couple of good values out there: Jordan Poole (16-3-3-1 in 26 minutes) and Wayne Ellington (15-2-1-1 in 24.7).
- Kemba Walker is on a serious slump but his price has remained solidly high, which we don’t like around here. He’s averaging a 19-5-4 line lately but his $7.6K tag is way too much for that production.
- Valanciunas is another one dropping his numbers (10-13-0-0-2) and not returning value for his price. More fools in the same vein: De’Aaron Fox (15-4-8), Donovan Mitchell (20-6-4), and Lonzo Ball (11-5-9-2).
- Cheap points (min. 3 games played in the past seven days): Harrison Barnes (19 ppg in 33.7 mpg), Terrence Ross (17.3 in 30.5), and Rui Hachimura (16.3 in 27.7).
- Cheap threes: Duncan Robinson (5 3pm in 37.3), Seth Curry (4 in 29.7), and Wayne Ellington (4 in 24.7).
- Cheap boards: Enes Kanter (8.5 in 19.5), Harry Giles (8 in 18.3), and Torrey Craig (7.3 in 32.7).
- Cheap dimes: Ish Smith (6.7 in 28.3), Coby White (6.3 in 30.3), and Jeff Teague (5.8 in 21.8).
- Cheap steals: Troy Brown Jr. (2.7 in 22.3), De’Andre Hunter (2 in 35.8), and Kyle Kuzma (1.7 in 22.7).
- Cheap blocks: Mitchell Robinson (2.3 in 24), Myles Turner (2 in 26.5), and Justin Holiday (1.3 in 26.8).
- Cheap shooting: Seth Curry (58.7 fg% on 13 fga), Harrison Barnes (58.4% on 11.7), and Gary Trent Jr. (57.4% on 9.8)
Gotta Win The Day: Best/Worst DraftKings plays for tonight’s slate
- Love: (C) Andre Drummond, CLE ($9400, at ATL): Can’t lie here. Doc comes expensive as hell, but he’s well worth paying for. See, Atlanta is still waiting for Capela as he’s injured, and they have a freaking hole the size of Mars in the paint. Collins is kinda-kinda-something, I guess, but not enough to stop this Drum. Dre has played just one game for the Cavs but so far so good—and against the Clips. You know no matter what Drummond is going to get you the dub-dub any night (he’s only missed on it six times in 50 games, and in half of those his minutes were cut down under 30) as he’s averaging 18-16 on the season and 24-17 in his last four. The dimes are often in the 3-to-4 clip and he’s a stealing machine. Biggies never fail, Drummond even less.
- Hate: (PG) Elfrid Payton, NYK ($7500, vs WAS): Obviously, it was a matter of time for Payton to get back from Elfreaking to Elfrigid. The dub-dub-to-trip-dub two-game run he had last week was certainly good, but it wasn’t more than a mirage. Even with that, his price has kept sky-rocketing while his numbers have gone down, which you have to hate. In his last two Payton has barely reached the double-digit scoring numbers (10 and 12 points), let alone getting dimes or boards on the 10s. This was about to happen, seriously, and you’ll be smart to fade Elf as much as you can. No matter if it is Washington, the 1973 Sixers, or the Harlem Globetrotters he’s facing. Unsustainable, volatile player that just happened to have a couple of lucky bounces going his way.
- Love: (PG) Ricky Rubio, PHO ($5900, vs GSW): Rubio has been bad. Since Fred VanVleet had a son he went bananas, won a ring, and improved his numbers all across the board. Not the same luck for Papa Ricky, though. Since Jan. 22 Double-R has only averaged 22 DKFP per game, but the good news is that these days his price tag is so low that he’s virtually a value-lock. I mean, for $5.9K tonight you won’t find many players getting you around 30 DKFP while having a potential explosion inside of them—remember, Ricky was a top-35 player during the first two months of the seasons averaging almost 40 DKFP, so he can get there. Rubio has scored 15 and 13 in his last two and his usage rate has gone up to cross the 20 percent mark, which was nice to see. The assists seem to be back too along with the boards, so it’s reasonable to expect a little bounceback soon. Golden State stinks big time so it could be a get-right game for him tonight.
- Hate: (PG) Eric Bledsoe, MIL ($7700, at IND): What can a monster game do to your price? Wonders, that is. Bledsoe’s average price tag from Feb. 2 to Feb. 10: $6.7K. Bledsoe’s price tag for tonight’s game after getting 52.5 DKFP the other day: $7.7K! That’s a $1K bump because Eric-B had a good game... against the Kangz. LOL. Don’t fall for it, folks. Bledsoe was on a five-game streak in which he had fallen under 37 DKFP each and every day. Sure, he dropped 28 points to go with 8&8 rebounds and dimes against Sacto, but he hadn’t scored more than 18 points in that aforementioned span of games nor topped 8 rebounds or assists in that time. The other day Bledsoe just reached his ceiling, and as it happened back in January when he had another great game—against Washington, that was...—he is probably going to come crashing down for a few games now. It’s like those power-ups in Super Mario Kart. They are good for 10 seconds, then they vanished. EB just consumed his a couple of days ago. Bad times ahead.
If you have any comment or question about the daily column, tonight’s games, players involved in them, or even season-long fantasy NBA topics, just drop it below or reach out to me on Twitter at @chapulana and I’ll get back to you as soon as I grab a keyboard!