Welcome to your daily NBA DFS digest at FakeTeams, gents. Every day I’m here with a handful of pro-tips to roster a winning team just a few hours from now. On top of that, I’ll bring you some news, statsitcal trends from the past few days, some studs/duds from the last slate of games, and much more!
Hoop Land Times: News and notes from around the Association
- Zion has legit arrived, and after just playing four games he’ll be part of the All-Star Weekend roster and take part in the Rising Stars game. Not that he deserves it, but we all knew it was going—and had—to happen.
- Also regarding Zion, he swapped jerseys with Ja yesterday and I can only dream about it happening for the next 20+ years. Let’s hope!
- Regarding rookies and Pelicans, well, let’s say Jaxon Hayes didn’t like the NBA decision (NSFW) of leaving him out of the rookie/sophomore field of players for the upcoming ASW...
- LeBron got some ink honoring the late Kobe Bryant. It is dope.
Duds and Studs: Last night slate roundup
- From time to time it is good to be reminded of how you should never want to step on a court where Lillard is playing, because oh lord. Dame went on a mission facing the Lakers and finished yesterday’s game at 40 ticks of the clock dropping 48 pops with 9 rebounds, 10 dimes, and a couple of steals. He hit 56.7 percent of the shots he took (30 of them!) from the floor and scored 7 triples. 82.75 DKFP for the best performer of the slate.
- Anthony Davis, at the other end of the floor, was the second-best player yesterday to the tune of 78.25 DKFP translated from a 37-15-6-11-5 (yes, five blocks!) line and another impressive shooting performance in which he had a 63.6% success rate from the floor. Crazy shooters around the L these days no matter their size, position, or whatever else.
- Three (three, folks!) other players broke for more than 70 DKFP yesterday making it five overall: Harden (75 DKFP with a 35-16-6-4 line), Giannis (71.5 DKFP with a 31-16-9-1-2 line), and Kyrie (71.25 DKFP with a 54-5-5-1 line). So ridiculous. Hassan finished with 64.75 DKFP (30-13-2-2-5 stuffed line) and as the only other player inside the 60+ DKFP club.
- Won’t believe this but Kyle Kuzma was the most valuable player yesterday with a 9.04 ROI as he logged 35 DKFP (17-15 dub-dub) while priced at just $3.9K. Pat Connaughton was the only other player to reach a 9.0 ROI getting to 27 DKFP (16-4-1-2) while priced at $3K.
- Moving onto duds, yesterday wasn’t the most horrific day ever. Perhaps the worst values were those of Derrick Rose (26 DKFP at $7.6K), Kyle Lowry (20 at $7.2K), and Ja Morant (21 at $6.9K).
- P.J. Tucker had the most P.J. Tucker-game ever playing 36 minutes and finishing with 6 points and a 1-1-1-1 in the rest of the cats. Beautiful in his uniqueness.
- Truth be told, it was a massive night for stat nerds like me as seemingly everybody was flying high. There were 11 double-doubles via points and rebounds, three via points and dimes, and up to 17 players that fell withing two points/rebounds/assists of getting themselves either a double-double or a triple-double. Superlative night all around the Association.
What’s cooking? Statistical trends from the past seven days
- Tomas Satoransky is this close to joining the club of pretty-neat-players-worth-looking-at after playing four games in the past seven days, averaging 33 DKFP, and posting a nightly 15-4-6-2 line on 60.2% (!) shooting from the floor. The price remains low and the availability in redraft leagues should be high.
- Give a look at Austin Rivers too as he’s playing a massive 32 minutes per while having averages of 15 points, 4 rebounds, 2 assists and a steal in his last four at a very cheap price.
- A few more low-key names thriving lately: Jordan Clarkson (18-2-2-1 in 26 mpg), De’Andre Hunter (18-4-3 in 32 mpg), and JJ Redick (16-3-2-1 in 22 mpg with 2.7 triples per).
- The flip of the coin and “watch out, trouble might be approaching so fast and the prices are not worth risking it” label goes to Jaren Jackson Jr. (13-2-1-0-3 in 27 mpg), Marcus Morris (20-5-0-1-1 in 31 mpg), and Ricky Rubio (6-4-6-2 in 28 mpg).
- Patty Mills is hitting threes like a madman while staying on the court just 23.7 mpg. He’s at 3.7 triples per game during his last three games and only priced at around $3.7K. I don’t know how Mills is not in the rumor mill for a contending team in need of a microwave shooter to play off the bench...
- Another man heating up is Deandre Ayton. He has played three games in the past seven days and in those he’s keeping up a great 21-10-1-2-2 stuffed line. The other (De)Andre, Drummond, keeps dropping nightly 17-16 lines (to go with 3 dimes, 2 steals, and 2 blocks) like I toss paper balls to my trash can.
- Second-year man Mitchell Robinson was snubbed big time from the ASW yesterday, and that might help you get him on the cheapity cheap. The sophomore is averaging a 9-8-1-1-4 line in his last three yet only playing 24 minutes... These Knicks never learn.
Gotta Win The Day: Best/Worst DraftKings plays for tonight’s slate
- Love: (PG) Kyrie Irving, BKN ($9100, at WAS): We all know the chances of having back-to-back 50-burger games are low. I know, you know it, everybody knows it. But Kyrie is mental and this Mamba Mentally thing surely seems to have locked him into some Illuminati power-up stuff. Kyrie only has three games this season in which he’s reached the 45-point mark, sure, but he’s missed a lot of time due to injury and he seems to be back in full force these days. He’s always providing some 5+ dimes and 5+ boards, and those extra goodies are always buenos. Washington allows the second-most fantasy points and with Beal pissed off and going for a monster game you should expect Kyrie to fight him back and finish with like 30 shots and another 40-point night at the very least.
- Hate: (PF/C) Julius Randle, NYK ($8300, at IND): Not a bad late span of games that of the Randlewus being on a 20-11-3 line during the past week, that’s for sure. But hey, he’s faced Brooklyn, Charlotte, and Memphis, which I don’t truly trust as great level-provers. You know the deal with JR: sometimes is a dub-dub, sometimes is a dud, sometimes he falls so close,... You never know, actually. He’s been good lately but that also has to do with the massive minutes he’s logging these days, up to 35 mpg in his last five. Indiana is a biggie-man monster in the paint with both Domas and Myles roving it, so I’m not convinced Randle could do a lot plus he lacks the long-range so he won’t be able to stretch their runs and tire them. Fadity fade at his high price.
- Love: (SF) Kevin Love, CLE ($6900, vs GSW): Totally unexpected play this one, but the price is soooo sweet for the potential return. This matchup is great with Golden State giving up the third-most fantasy goodies per game to the opposition, so there’s that. Love is someone to Love averaging 1.17 DKFP per minute on the court while playing 31.2 mpg on the season, and his numbers are so close to the dub-dub with averages of 17.5 ppg and 9.7 rpg that could easily be on the dub-dub club by the end of tonight’s slate if he drops one of them sweeties. It hasn’t been too pretty for Love lately, but he’s still a 20-point scorer who averaged 19.5 ppg in January to go with 8 rpg, and some good 2.8 apg to round his thing. If he wants to gets his butt moved before the deadline next Thursday and convince some team to bite on him, he better showcase himself in games like tonight’s.
- Hate: (PG/SG) Terry Rozier, CHA ($7300, at SAS): Gotta appreciate the hustle from my man Scary Terry, ha! In the last couple of games—in which Golden Graham has played while being ill—TR made the most of his chances and got himself a pair of good DKFP tallies of 46 and 38 fantasy points. The problem is he needed a much more prominent role and that his usage rate went from his average 20ish all the way up to 27% in the last two games. Reasonable to see him drop 30 and 21 pops finishing as many possessions and playing 34+ minutes. Anyways, Rozier hasn’t been bad in January. He’s performed like a top-40 player in the last month, sure, but his opportunities are not as high as to consider him a great play even less given his bouncy ways. Will give you his 20 pops almost assuredly, but other than that the rest of the cats are completely impossible to predict.
If you have any comment or question about the daily column, tonight’s games, players involved in them, or even season-long fantasy NBA topics, just drop it below or reach out to me on Twitter at @chapulana and I’ll get back to you as soon as I grab a keyboard!