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30 fantasy baseball thoughts from Week 22 of MLB action

I like Jon Berti’s versatility...but only on home field

Getty Images/Pete Rogers Illustrations

AL East

Baltimore Orioles: Jonathan Villar has the EXACT same batting average home vs. away and his OBP is only .003 apart! In general he’s getting more power at home and more steals on the road.

Boston Red Sox: Andrew Benintendi has not stolen a base since the All-Star break but his batting average is up around 10%.

New York Yankees: Michael Tauchman’s BABIP dropped from mid .350’s to .167 the last week.

Tampa Bay Rays: Tommy Pham had a horrible July at .236 but he has rebounded nicely in August batting up a full .05 from there.

Toronto Blue Jays: This is the first month since April that Randal Grichuk is hitting above .250

AL Central

Chicago White Sox: James McCann is rocking 60% more RBI’s, 3x as many steals and 20% high batting average on the road vs. at home.

Cleveland Indians: Oscar Mercado has 3x as many steals on the road as he has at home.

Detroit Tigers: Harold Castro is batting .250 at home and .350 on the road!

Kansas City Royals: Ryan O’Hearn has a .181 batting average thus far this year; however, in the last week he’s sported an impressive .318 including three home runs!

Minnesota Twins: Jonathan Schoop needs to bat early—he’s .281 batting leadoff and .178 with batters in scoring position. He will be getting more runs than RBIs with that mentality.

AL West

Houston Astros: Yordan Alvarez has yet to bat under .300 in a month.

Los Angeles Angels: Brian Goodwin is up 10% in batting average basically at .300 pre All-Star vs. Post and has almost reached his HR level pre-All star break with 40% fewer ABs.

Oakland Athletics: Stephen Piscotty has more Home Runs in August than July, June and May despite playing in fewer games this month than any of those months. He also has a much higher batting average and fewer strikeouts.

Seattle Mariners: Dee Gordon has stolen 3.5x as many bases at night as during day, try to mess with the catchers sight much?

Texas Rangers: Willie Calhoun has respectable numbers when he plays this season, but at home despite having a batting average that is 25% higher, he has more strikeouts, fewer doubles, home runs and RBIs than on the road. .

NL East

Atlanta Braves: Rafael Ortega’s short stint starting has been promising, .270 AVG, a hit in his last five games which includes two runs and two RBIs.

Miami Marlins: Jon Berti is 30% owned, he’s 2B, SS, 3B and OF eligible. He’s batting .274/.354/.439 and .793 OPS. His home vs. away is a big difference though:

  • AVG: .301 home; .243 away
  • OBP: .408 home; .288 away
  • SLG: .410 home; .473 away
  • OPS: .818 home; .760 away

New York Mets: Amed Rosario has the 26th most steals in MLB. Among those 15 steals, 4x as many happen on the road as at home.

Philadelphia Phillies: Corey Dickerson (32% owned) has five home runs, 23 RBI and a .280 AVG since all-star break, these are all 3rd best among Phillies.

Washington Nationals: I imagine opposing teams are afraid of Anthony Rendon for this reason: batting this season in the 1st inning (2 HR, 270 AVG); 2nd inning (0 HR, .143 AVG) vs. late in the game the eighth inning (4 HR, .306 AVG) and ninth inning (3 HR, .481 AVG).

NL Central

Chicago Cubs: In the 25 games since he’s joined Chicago Cubs, Nicholas Castellanos leads the Cubs in batting average this range is 20% higher than batting average he has had in any month this season. I don’t think the park change is a big change so I'm inclined to think this is short lived.

Cincinnati Reds: Aristides Aquino has now played the exact same number of home games as away (13) given a smooth sample size. The hits are similar (15 vs. 14) but he’s driving more power from home with 60% more home runs, 30% higher OPS and Slugging percentages.

Milwaukee Brewers: Trent Grisham has been leading off for Milwaukee lately. 13 of his 16 hits have come as a leadoff hitter, when they move him somewhere else in the line up he has three hits across 23 at bats.

Pittsburgh Pirates: Starling Marte has as many SB as the next 4 players combined after him on the Pirates. Almost half of his steals (10/24) have come in August.

St. Louis Cardinals: Jose Martinez has the same number of Home Runs vs. Left and Right handed pitching. He has just 64AB vs. LHP with 5 home runs (1 HR every 15AB) and he has 248 AB vs. RHP with 5 home runs (1 HR every 50AB).

NL West

Arizona Diamondbacks: Nick Ahmed is a different player home vs. away. He is hitting more RBI’s on the road with a better AVG by .26 and almost twice the RBI’s, this makes sense as Chase is generally pitcher friendly vs. stadiums on the road. What is interesting is at home he is a more patient batter with a better OBP driven by higher walk rate.

Colorado Rockies: Raimel Tapia not only plays better during day vs. night games but his batting average has gone up each of the last three months.

Los Angeles Dodgers: Alex Verdugo is hurt right now but an interesting factoid, when batting 4th in the lineup his AVG is 0; 5th his AVG is .263; 6th .258; 7th .360; 8th .368 and 9th .385. He gets better the deeper he goes

San Diego Padres: Eric Hosmer bats .270 when no-one is on base...not too shabby. With a runner in scoring position? .360. With bases loaded? .429!

San Francisco Giants: Evan Longoria has played in fewer games in July and August vs. June and yet has hit more RBIs by a meaningful amount. He’s played in just four more games across July and August TOTAL vs. June and yet he has hit almost 4x as many RBIs