I’m ignoring Roth’s weather tweets about Philly today. I’m just rolling with the stack. We shall see. For today, I wanted to type out the squad I created in a few minutes, to see if there are any glaring holes. If you’re playing one of these, maybe it helps a tad. If not, maybe you glean something that helps you out! Or maybe you tell me your favorite plays. I’m open.
Walker Buehler against the Mets and Noah Syndergaard. Hopefully Thor’s presence lessens Buehler’s ownership a tad. I LOVE Buehler in this spot. The Mets are projected to send out EIGHT right-handed hitters, and Buehler has a 1.93 FIP against that handedness. To righty bats he has a 26.4% K-rate, a minuscule 2.7% walk rate, and only one homer allowed all year. He’s not bad against lefties—four homers, 20.7% K%, 7.2% BB%. But he’s the man against righties. Buehler is my dude tonight, unless I’m missing something. Tell me if I’m missing something.
I went with Andrew McCutchen, Jean Segura, Bryce Harper, Rhys Hoskins, and Cesar Hernandez from Philly. That’s 1-2-3-4-6, with me skipping J.T. Realmuto.
The Cheap Catcher
My cheap catcher (always a cheap catcher!) is John Hicks in Baltimore against the lefty John Means. Six of Means’ seven homers allowed have been to righty bats, and righty hitters have a 1.46 HR/9 (compared to 0.77 HR/9 by lefties). Righty bats hit a lot of fly balls (42.1%) and pull a lot (45.3%) against Means, which is right up Hicks’ alley. Hicks has a 33.3% line drive rate, 44.4% fly ball rate, and a 40% pull rate against lefties. I like Means so far in 2019, but this is a nice spot for a cheap catcher ($3,300) in this park.
In the outfield I like taking a chance on Keon Broxton ($3,900). He’s in the six-hole, but that should help suppress his ownership a bit. Broxton has a 40.3% strikeout rate this year, but he’s less terrible against lefties with a career 15.3% walk rate and a mere 36.0% strikeout rate. Okay, so that’s insanely high. But he has a career 108 wRC+ in this split, as well as a .338 wOBA. It’s a nice home park against a lefty reliever. Ryan Carpenter may not be in this game for long, but I’M JUST SAYING, THERE’S A CHANCE, OKAY?
Houston’s Cleanup Hitter
If you add all these up, that leaves me with $3,400, which is enough to fit in Houston’s current cleanup hitter, Yuli Gurriel. Over the past two games, Gurriel is 4-for-8 with a pair of doubles and zero strikeouts. I’ll take a shot against Hendricks.
And that’s a wrap! In summation, I’m a little concerned about my Broxton choice. What say you all? Where did I go wrong?
Also, below is the most recent Philly weather tweet from Roth...that’s right, lower that risk, homie!
⚾️☔️ Play BAL, play COL.— Kevin Roth (@KevinRothWx) May 29, 2019
Going to lower risk back to to ORNG in PHI.
It’s more likely to play than PPD, so I think it’s a great GPP play, but it’s not a “safe” cash play.
Jumping on CrunchTime with the latest updates, see you there.