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2019 NFL Draft fantasy profiles: QB Drew Lock

Which teams can un‘lock’ Drew’s fantasy potential?

AutoZone Liberty Bowl - Missouri v Oklahoma State Photo by Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images

Missouri’s Drew Lock is currently projected as one of a potential four first round quarterbacks in this year’s draft, and with some refinement, he has the tools to become a starter in the NFL and a viable fantasy quarterback in the future.

Lock enters the draft ticking all the major boxes you would want from an NFL quarterback. At 6’3” and 228 lbs he has good size, and his tape demonstrates more than enough arm strength to make all the big boy throws required and has plenty of athleticism to make him a multi dimensional player at the next level.

Lock started for three and a half years Mizzou and has shown an upward trajectory as a quarterback, improving his all round game every year, even if his 2018 totals don’t jump off the page as much as his 2017 campaign do. Lock broke the SEC record for touchdown passes in 2017 with 43 and led Mizzou to back to back Bowl games in his final two seasons. Lock’s accuracy and touchdown to interception ratio increased every year in college, and he progressed as runner with his yards per carry and touchdown numbers peaking in his final year.

There are a couple of concerns about Lock heading into the draft. He displays that typical arm arrogance of young quarterbacks and has a tendency to throw off his back foot which leads to overthrows and in the NFL, that will lead to interceptions. He also is skittish in the pocket and whether he is trying to emulate Aaron Rodgers’ light, dancing feet in the pocket, with Lock it comes across as a bit frantic and can lead him to not set his feet properly, which can cause accuracy issues. However he throws well deep and is not afraid to challenge tight windows, plus he’s shown the ability to make plays with his feet so fits the bill of the modern NFL quarterback.

Lock’s College Stats

Year G Cmp Att Pct Yds Y/A TD Int Rate
Year G Cmp Att Pct Yds Y/A TD Int Rate
2015 12 129 263 49 1332 5.1 4 8 90.5
2016 12 237 434 54.6 3399 7.8 23 10 133.3
2017 13 242 419 57.8 3964 9.5 44 13 165.7
2018 13 275 437 62.9 3498 8 28 8 147.7
Career 50 883 1553 56.9 12193 7.9 99 39

Best Fantasy Fits

  • Oakland Raiders: Because why not? Unless the Raiders plan on making a splash in the draft to move up for Kyler Murray, Lock could be on their radar that they could trade up for in the middle of the first round with all their draft capital. We know Jon Gruden loves quarterbacks and Lock could well turn his head with his pretty deep ball, so I wouldn’t be counting Derek Carr’s roster spot as safe at this point. Talent wise, the Raiders have built some depth at receiver, and having the likes of Antonio Brown and Tyrell Williams, plus a variety of serviceable pass catching backs, so Lock would be in a favorable situation to put up some good fantasy numbers as a rookie.
  • New York Giants: I would say the 6th pick would be a bit rich for the Giants to select Lock at, but with the number 17 pick also in the Giants’ pocket, Lock would be a definite option if he fell this far. The Giants have been this offseason’s whipping boys, but if you squint real hard, you could convince yourself that an improving O-line, a generational talent in the backfield and some decent, if not elite, weapons in the passing game that could give a rookie quarterback a chance to put up some numbers if he made the field in year one.
  • New England Patriots: This one is super intriguing and would be a clear sign that the Patriots are preparing for a life without Tom Brady. The likelihood of Lock making it to pick 32 is pretty low given the QB needy teams ahead of them, but a trade up is not out of the question. Who better to learn under than the man who made TB12 the man he is? Weapons wise, the Patriots are most definitely in transition, and no Rob Gronkowski certainly hurts any quarterback’s ability to put up numbers. However, who could bet against Bill Belichick and Josh McDaniels seamlessly creating the next phase of the Patriots dynasty.