Prediction 1: Allen Robinson II is not a top 25 WR this week
Justification: Fresh off back-to-back touchdown & 80+ receiving yards games, Allen faces Dallas on a shortened week. Dallas has the 5th toughest matchups for opposing WRs and I think they will work hard to control and manage Robinson.
Prediction 2: Cleveland at Cincinnati over/under is 40.5, give me the over at 45.5pts
Justification: Cleveland at home has scored at least 21 points in three of their last four, even with the change at QB, Cincinnati scored 22 points and while they have scored under 18 points in nine games this season, Baker actually does well in the cold weather. Last year in December home games, he put up 26 points and a win both times and games against the Bengals last year netted over 55 points in one game and over 44.5 points in the other. Start your Browns and Bengals guys this week, it’s gonna be a shootout.
Prediction 3: Phillip Rivers finishes as a top 10 QB with no interceptions this week
Justification: Jacksonville has created turnovers from Andy Dalton, Sam Darnold, Joe Flacco and Jacoby Brissett while going without a turnover against Ryan Tannehill, Jameis Winston, Kyle Allen, Teddy Bridgewater, Marcus Mariota among others. Furthermore, they have allowed at least 250 passing yards each of the last two weeks including 20+ rushing yards. I think Rivers bounces back big after a frustrating loss last week.
Prediction 4: Seattle D/ST is a top 10 play this week vs. the Rams
Justification: Seattle’s last three games on the road has averaged big rewards against Philadelphia, San Francisco and Atlanta. The Rams have looked REAL bad on offense this year and despite a low outing in week 5, something about the Seahawks on the road is coming up big.
Prediction 5: Alvin Kamara finishes outside the top 20 this week vs. the 49ers
Justification: The 49ers defensive line might be one of the best in the NFL. They have allowed just two RBs this season over 100 yards rushing – Christian McCaffrey and Kenyan Drake while keeping Chris Carson, Adrian Peterson, Nick Chubb, Mark Ingram and James Conner under 90 yards rushing. Only Carson, McCaffrey and Drake have had serious fantasy stats against this defense and equally as important Alvin has struggled mightily this season!
Recapping Week 13
Prediction 1: Tennessee Titans will be a top 10 D/ST this week
Recap: Wow what a great start – 3 sacks, 2 interceptions, 1 fumble recovery, a defensive touchdown and two blocked kicks! (Grade: A)
Prediction 2: New England at Houston over/under is 44.5pts. Give me over at 50.5pts
Recap: 50pts. So so so close. Unlike the last few weeks, the fourth quarter was good to this game with 20 of the 50 points coming late in the game. (Grade: B)
Prediction 3: Patrick Mahomes throws a season high 2 interceptions vs. Oakland
Recap: I was tempted to put him outside the top 10 QBs instead I went with turnovers, I should have stuck with my original gut on this game. Mahomes does not simply turnover the ball. 175 passing yards, 1 touchdown and no turnovers. (Grade: D)
Prediction 4: Nick Chubb does not land in the top 15 RBs this week
Recap: A lackluster game for Chubb who was the 35th best RB with 58 rushing yards and 21 receiving yards.
Prediction 5: Amari Cooper is a top 5 WR this week
Recap: He was far from it finishing 25th with 8 catches for 85 yards (Grade: C)
2019 YTD Grades:
Grade A: 17
Grade B: 12
Grade C: 8
Grade D: 27