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Beat the Spread Challenge: Week 4

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Some massive swings last week

NFL: Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings Brace Hemmelgarn-USA TODAY Sports

How to play:

Here is the way this game works. I will supply the Sunday and Monday matchups. With each matchup will be the line as of the last 24 hours. What you need to do is:

Step 1. Pick 3 teams who are NOT the favorites that you think will cover the spread
Step 2. Well…that’s it.

What you are trying to do, is select the three teams most likely to beat the spread. You will get the points POSITIVE OR NEGATIVE that each team earns vs. the Spread. Have I lost you yet? See the example below

Week 3

It’s a traaaap: Bengals, Broncos and Bucs. At least two of us picked each of these three games and the cities of Cincinnati, Denver and Tampa Bay all let us down. Meanwhile the Lions and Bills with epic wins that no one…ahem only Feslen could see coming.

Week 3 notable Stats:

  • 7 games netted positive amounts (vs. 9 in Week 2)
  • 7 games netted negative amounts (vs. 6 in Week 2)
  • Biggest variances: Buffalo with a +37.5; Dallas with a -9.5 (vs. week 2 Indianapolis Colts with +18; Arizona Cardinals with -21.5)

Beat the Spread Challenge: Week 3

Week 3 Favorite Underdog Outcome Feslen Pete Mark Salti Paddi Sixtus
Week 3 Favorite Underdog Outcome Feslen Pete Mark Salti Paddi Sixtus
NE -7 New England Patriots Detroit Lions 23 23
Atl -3 Atlanta Falcons New Orleans Saints 9
KC -6.5 Kansas City Chiefs San Francisco 49ers -4.5 -4.5
MIA -3 Miami Dolphins Oakland Raiders -5 -5
Min -16.5 Minnesota Vikings Buffalo Bills 37.5 37.5
PHI -6 Philadelphia Eagles Indianapolis Colts 2 2
GB -3 Green Bay Packers Washington Redskins 17
CAR -3 Carolina Panthers Cincinnati Bengals -7 -7 -7
BALT -5.5 Baltimore Ravens Denver Broncos -7.5 -7.5 -7.5
HOU -6 Houston Texans New York Giants 11 11
LAR -7 Los Angeles Rams Los Angeles Chargers -5
CHI -5.5 Chicago Bears Arizona Cardinals 3.5
SEA -1.5 Seattle Seahawks Dallas Cowboys -9.5
PIT -1.5 Pittsburgh Steelers Tampa Bay Bucaneers -1.5 -1.5 -1.5 -1.5
Total Week 3 53.5 -7 1.5 -1.5 0 -16

Current Totals

So even factoring in the Week 2 downturn, Feslen leads the group with 33 points (Unbelievable 53 points in Week 3, I’ll keep Week 2 in there given you still lead even with it)

Paddi: 21 (omitted picks in Week 3 – beginning to wonder if there should be a 5 point penalty for missing a week. Make everyone walk the plank even during rough weeks)

Pete: 5 (sitting in third with a respectable positive points

Salti: 1 (even with a last ditch Bucs pick on Monday)

Mark: -6 (What does it say when I get +1.5 and I’m happy about that?)

Sixtus: -19 (Broncos were the biggest deficit this week)

I’ll reiterate each week, each week could be a BIG change in total values, Feslen just had a 53.5 point swing.

Week 4

Beat the Streak Week 4

Week 4 Favorite Underdog
Week 4 Favorite Underdog
NE -7 New England Patriots Miami Dolphins
ATL -5.5 Atlanta Falcons Cincinnati Bengals
CHI -3 Chicago Bears Tampa Bay Bucaneers
DAL-3 Dallas Cowboys Detroit Lions
GB -9.5 Green Bay Packers Buffalo Bills
PHI -4 Philadelphia Eagles Tennessee Titans
IND -1 Indianapolis Colts Houston Texans
JAX -7.5 Jacksonville Jaguars New York Jets
Oak -2.5 Oakland Raiders Cleveland Browns
SEA -3 Seattle Seahawks Arizona Cardinals
NO -3.5 New Orleans Saints New York Giants
LAC -10 Los Angeles Chargers San Francisco 49ers
PIT -3 Pittsburgh Steelers Baltimore Ravens
KC -4.5 Kansas City Chiefs Denver Broncos
Total Week 4

Idiom of the week

Getting your goat: Make you annoyed or angry

History: this refers to an old English (Welsh?) belief that keeping a goat in the barn would have a calming effect on the cows, hence producing more milk. When one wanted to antagonize/terrorize one’s enemy, you would abscond with their goat rendering their milk cows less- to non-productive.

Ex: Did it get your goat watching Jimmy Garoppolo get hurt and the 49ers game turn downward?