Week 4 bold predictions: Dan Bailey is my favorite kicker

Prediction 1: We see 2 games or fewer where the underdog wins

Justification: The NFL can see upwards of 6-7 per week but after a few crazy upsets last week, teams will be on high alert not to sleep on opponents, expect chalk to work.

Photo by Stephen Maturen/Getty Images

Prediction 2: Dan Bailey is a top 5 kicking option this week (Projected outside top 25)

Justification: After nary a point to be had from Dan last week he will be the beneficiary of a ‘woke’ Vikings offense. Minnesota will be going hard against the Los Angeles Rams who have an equally strong defense and thus, the kicking game comes into effect.

Prediction 3: Oakland Raiders win by 10

Justification: The Baker Mayfield train is hyped but little attention is given to a Raiders team who has been leading each game and running some good teams up to the brink before choking every time.

Prediction 4: A RB outside the top 12 (listed below) will finish in the top 2 AND a player in the top 12 will get hurt and be out at least 5 games

The generic nature will not help fantasy but this is going to happen.

Current top twelve: Alvin Kamara, Todd Gurley II, Melvin Gordon III, Saquon Barkley, James Conner, Christian McCaffrey, Adrian Peterson, Ezekiel Elliott, Carlos Hyde, Chris Thompson, Isaiah Crowell and Matt Breida

Justification: Four weeks in we are getting into the injuries getting more serious territory. Add to that temperatures getting colder and it’s about the time when the injury bug strikes RBs.

Prediction 5: TE Ricky Seals-Jones scores a TD for a 2^nd straight week

Justification: I heard a recommendation to look into Ricky from our trust RB1 podcast and the more I dig in the more I like it. He’s out for 90%+ of their snaps and he scored last week with some promising showcase of skills. Can the Cardinals built or will they flop after a jump start last week in their offense?

Photo by Norm Hall/Getty Images

Week 3 Recap

Prediction 1: New England rushes for two more TDs this week then in weeks 1 and 2 combined.

Outcome: Wow did this game surprise a lot of people…no rush TDs and only one throwing TD. Grade (D)

Prediction 2: The AFC North doubles their collective conference win total this weekend.

Outcome: Browns, Ravens and Steelers! Grade (A)

Prediction 3: Arizona Cardinals score twice as many TDs as they scored in weeks 1 and 2 combined.

Outcome: Correct! Grade (A)

Prediction 4: Patrick Mahomes throws 2 or fewer TDs this week.

Outcome: He threw for 3 TDs and 314 yards, given the yard total he was a solid fantasy option, not an accurate bold prediction. Grade (C ).

Prediction 5: Current over/under is 53 points in Atlanta vs. New Orleans. I take the UNDER at 49.5.

Outcome: My gut said go with over 60 but when I looked at the stats and history it said otherwise, I really should have gone with my gut on this, the total over after OT ended up at 80! Grade (D)

2018 Total Report card
A – 3
B – 2
C – 3
D – 7

Here is how I will be grading my Bold picks this year

A – The bold pick happened as I stated
B – The bold pick did NOT happened as stated but the idea behind it was there (example I predicted Jesse James would have 0 TDs and fewer than 20 yards in week 2, he had 27 yards, the general idea to avoid him in fantasy was present.
C – The bold pick did NOT happen and the overall feel for what occurred had you saying “meh”
D – The bold pick was nowhere near accurate