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Weekly NHL Forecaster February 5th – February 11th

AVOID THE RANGERS

New York Rangers v Nashville Predators

Below is a breakdown of the seventh week of NHL games in the 2017-2018 season (can you believe we are about 25% into the season?!?) . The graph breaks down the schedule and the strength of the opponent in goals for, goals against, their power play and penalty kill and ranks it against the rest of the league on a scale from 1-31 (with 31 being the worst) So the higher the average ranks you see for an opponent the better schedule that team has. It factors in how well a team does at home vs. on the road as well.

*Stats are as of 1/26/2018

Favorable:

Offense:

Nashville goes up against NY Islanders (29th at home), Senators (31st at home) and Canadiens (22nd at home) with an average Toronto (18th at home) mixed in. Could be a good week for Calle Jarnkrok (5% owned), Mattias Ekholm (52% owned) and Craig Smith (22% owned).

Winnipeg gets defensively weak Arizona and NYR with a tougher match against St. Louis in the middle.

Goalies:

Islanders first three games this week are against bottom 11 teams in their home/away locations – Nashville (20th), Buffalo (31st) and Detroit (27th). The final game against the Flames will be their biggest challenge (10th).

Toronto has some weak offenses in the Ducks, Predators in Senators – a good week for Frederik Andersen.

Power Play:

The Hurricanes face some struggling PK units in Philadelphia, Vancouver, and Colorado. Not a bad week to pick up Elias Lindholm (12% owned) and Teuvo Teravainen (44% owned)

Washington gets some bad special teams against Columbus (twice) and Detroit.

Penalty Kill:

The Avalanche get some poor Power Play units late in the week Carolina (24th) and Buffalo (28th) with two average ones earlier San Jose (17th) and St. Louis (14th).

Washington will make a strong go of it against the Blue Jackets who are the worst PK unit and 2nd worst power play unit this year.

Unfavorable:

Offense:

Chicago has a gamut. First Calgary (3rd best offense on the road) then Dallas (15th best offense on the road) followed by Minnesota (best offense at home).

The Rangers have it rough – they are facing Dallas, Boston, Calgary and Winnipeg. The games are road/home mixed and it’s the perfect mix for each opponent to thrive. Add to this they are 3-7 over their last 10 games.

Goalies:

Buffalo had a good week last week, the honeymoon is over. Anaheim is weaker on offense but after that they get the Islanders (4th most goals on the road) and Boston (6th best offense at home) followed up by Colorado who is average.

Columbus – Goalie Bob gets the Capitals on a home and away as well as the Devils, that’s three games against two top 11 offenses in the NHL.

Petr Mrazek will face the Bruins and Islanders (both 3rd on offense in their respective home/away situations) as well as Washington.

Power Play:

The Oilers go up against the Ducks and Kings (both top 5 PK units) with two average PK units on the bookends in Tampa Bay and San Jose. Quite a bit of traveling involved.

Ottawa has top three 10 PK units against NJD, Nashville and Toronto.

Penalty Kill:

Chicago’s 3 games are all top 12 PP units in the NHL (Calgary, Dallas and Minnesota).

The Stars face three top 11 power play units – NYR (11th), Pittsburgh (1st) and Vancouver (2nd) with an average PP unit – Chicago (15th) mixed in half way through the week.

NHL Forecaster 2/5 - 2/11

Weekly Avgs Mon, Feb 5, Tue, Feb 6, Wed, Feb 7, Thu, Feb 8, Fri, Feb 9, Sat, Feb 10 Sun, Feb 11
Weekly Avgs Mon, Feb 5, Tue, Feb 6, Wed, Feb 7, Thu, Feb 8, Fri, Feb 9, Sat, Feb 10 Sun, Feb 11
@ Toronto Maple Leafs @ Buffalo Sabres 0 0 vs. Edmonton Oilers 0 vs. San Jose Sharks
2
2
19 19 31 0 0 12 0 12
15 18 25 0 0 9 0 9
18 10 18 0 0 24 0 19
13 4 28 0 0 2 0 17
0 @ Winnipeg Jets 0 @ Minnesota Wild 0 vs. Philadelphia Flyers 0
1
2
8 0 1 0 12 0 10 0
5 0 5 0 1 0 8 0
10 0 16 0 11 0 4 0
21 0 15 0 26 0 22 0
0 @ Detroit Red Wings @ New York Rangers 0 0 vs. Buffalo Sabres @ New Jersey Devils
1
3
21 0 27 11 0 0 26 19
20 0 24 11 0 0 25 18
18 0 17 11 0 0 18 26
19 0 16 23 0 0 28 10
0 vs. Anaheim Ducks 0 vs. New York Islanders 0 @ Boston Bruins vs. Colorado Avalanche
3
1
12 0 20 0 4 0 9 16
17 0 6 0 30 0 7 24
17 0 5 0 21 0 9 31
17 0 5 0 30 0 6 25
0 vs. Philadelphia Flyers 0 0 vs. Vancouver Canucks vs. Colorado Avalanche 0
3
0
15 0 10 0 0 18 16 0
16 0 8 0 0 16 24 0
12 0 4 0 0 2 31 0
25 0 22 0 0 27 25 0
0 @ Chicago Blackhawks 0 @ New Jersey Devils @ New York Rangers 0 @ New York Islanders
0
4
12 0 15 0 19 11 0 3
18 0 12 0 18 11 0 29
18 0 15 0 26 11 0 21
19 0 12 0 10 23 0 30
0 vs. Calgary Flames 0 vs. Dallas Stars 0 @ Minnesota Wild 0
2
1
15 0 10 0 23 0 12 0
6 0 3 0 15 0 1 0
9 0 8 0 7 0 11 0
17 0 7 0 19 0 26 0
0 vs. Washington Capitals 0 0 @ Washington Capitals vs. New Jersey Devils 0
2
1
9 0 9 0 0 13 6 0
16 0 26 0 0 3 18 0
16 0 11 0 0 11 26 0
15 0 17 0 0 17 10 0
0 vs. San Jose Sharks 0 @ St. Louis Blues 0 @ Carolina Hurricanes @ Buffalo Sabres
1
3
21 0 12 0 17 0 23 31
16 0 9 0 8 0 23 25
22 0 19 0 29 0 20 18
21 0 17 0 14 0 24 28
vs. New York Rangers 0 0 @ Chicago Blackhawks vs. Pittsburgh Penguins 0 vs. Vancouver Canucks
3
1
19 16 0 0 15 25 0 18
20 27 0 0 12 23 0 16
7 11 0 0 15 1 0 2
17 23 0 0 12 7 0 27
0 vs. Boston Bruins 0 0 @ New York Islanders 0 @ Washington Capitals
1
2
6 0 3 0 0 3 0 13
12 0 4 0 0 29 0 3
14 0 9 0 0 21 0 11
18 0 6 0 0 30 0 17
vs. Tampa Bay Lightning 0 @ Los Angeles Kings 0 @ Anaheim Ducks @ San Jose Sharks 0
1
3
15 1 0 23 0 21 14 0
10 2 0 9 0 15 13 0
14 6 0 27 0 5 19 0
9 13 0 1 0 5 17 0
0 vs. Vancouver Canucks 0 0 vs. Los Angeles Kings 0 0
2
0
13 0 18 0 0 8 0 0
11 0 16 0 0 5 0 0
15 0 2 0 0 27 0 0
14 0 27 0 0 1 0 0
0 @ Pittsburgh Penguins 0 @ San Jose Sharks 0 0 vs. Philadelphia Flyers
1
2
10 0 7 0 14 0 0 10
12 0 14 0 13 0 0 8
8 0 1 0 19 0 0 4
15 0 7 0 17 0 0 22
0 0 vs. Edmonton Oilers 0 @ Florida Panthers @ Tampa Bay Lightning 0
1
2
8 0 0 12 0 10 3 0
18 0 0 9 0 28 16 0
17 0 0 24 0 22 6 0
12 0 0 2 0 20 13 0
0 @ St. Louis Blues 0 vs. Arizona Coyotes 0 vs. Chicago Blackhawks 0
2
1
17 0 17 0 28 0 7 0
17 0 8 0 29 0 13 0
16 0 29 0 3 0 15 0
12 0 14 0 9 0 12 0
0 0 0 @ Philadelphia Flyers 0 vs. Nashville Predators 0
1
1
19 0 0 0 18 0 20 0
11 0 0 0 20 0 1 0
14 0 0 0 4 0 23 0
13 0 0 0 22 0 3 0
0 @ Ottawa Senators 0 vs. Calgary Flames 0 @ Columbus Blue Jackets vs. Boston Bruins
2
2
14 0 15 0 10 0 29 3
11 0 31 0 3 0 5 4
19 0 28 0 8 0 30 9
14 0 10 0 7 0 31 6
@ New York Islanders 0 @ Toronto Maple Leafs @ Ottawa Senators 0 @ Montreal Canadiens 0
0
4
15 3 0 19 15 0 22 0
25 29 0 18 31 0 22 0
18 21 0 10 28 0 11 0
18 30 0 4 10 0 29 0
vs. Nashville Predators 0 0 @ Buffalo Sabres vs. Detroit Red Wings 0 vs. Calgary Flames
3
1
22 20 0 0 31 27 0 10
11 1 0 0 25 14 0 3
17 23 0 0 18 17 0 8
14 3 0 0 28 16 0 7
@ Dallas Stars 0 vs. Boston Bruins 0 vs. Calgary Flames 0 @ Winnipeg Jets
2
2
5 6 0 3 0 10 0 1
4 4 0 4 0 3 0 5
10 7 0 9 0 8 0 16
12 19 0 6 0 7 0 15
0 vs. New Jersey Devils 0 vs. Nashville Predators 0 @ Toronto Maple Leafs 0
2
1
15 0 6 0 20 0 19 0
12 0 18 0 1 0 18 0
20 0 26 0 23 0 10 0
6 0 10 0 3 0 4 0
0 @ Carolina Hurricanes 0 vs. Montreal Canadiens 0 @ Arizona Coyotes @ Vegas Golden Knights
1
3
22 0 23 0 29 0 30 5
20 0 23 0 27 0 26 2
15 0 20 0 11 0 3 25
21 0 24 0 29 0 9 20
0 vs. Vegas Golden Knights 0 0 @ Dallas Stars 0 @ St. Louis Blues
1
2
9 0 5 0 0 6 0 17
10 0 17 0 0 4 0 8
20 0 25 0 0 7 0 29
18 0 20 0 0 19 0 14
0 @ Colorado Avalanche 0 vs. Vegas Golden Knights 0 vs. Edmonton Oilers @ Anaheim Ducks
2
2
10 0 2 0 5 0 12 21
13 0 10 0 17 0 9 15
21 0 31 0 25 0 24 5
13 0 25 0 20 0 2 5
0 vs. Minnesota Wild 0 vs. Colorado Avalanche @ Winnipeg Jets 0 vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
3
1
17 0 24 0 16 1 0 25
21 0 30 0 24 5 0 23
15 0 11 0 31 16 0 1
18 0 26 0 25 15 0 7
@ Edmonton Oilers 0 0 vs. Vancouver Canucks 0 vs. Los Angeles Kings 0
2
1
17 26 0 0 18 0 8 0
17 29 0 0 16 0 5 0
18 24 0 0 2 0 27 0
10 2 0 0 27 0 1 0
vs. Anaheim Ducks 0 vs. Nashville Predators 0 0 vs. Ottawa Senators 0
3
0
24 20 0 20 0 0 31 0
9 6 0 1 0 0 21 0
19 5 0 23 0 0 28 0
6 5 0 3 0 0 10 0
0 @ Florida Panthers 0 @ Tampa Bay Lightning @ Carolina Hurricanes 0 @ Dallas Stars
0
4
11 0 10 0 3 23 0 6
18 0 28 0 16 23 0 4
14 0 22 0 6 20 0 7
19 0 20 0 13 24 0 19
0 @ Columbus Blue Jackets 0 0 vs. Columbus Blue Jackets 0 vs. Detroit Red Wings
2
1
26 0 29 0 0 22 0 27
12 0 5 0 0 18 0 14
26 0 30 0 0 30 0 17
26 0 31 0 0 31 0 16
0 vs. Arizona Coyotes 0 0 vs. St. Louis Blues 0 vs. New York Rangers
3
0
19 0 28 0 0 12 0 16
21 0 29 0 0 6 0 27
14 0 3 0 0 29 0 11
15 0 9 0 0 14 0 23