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Weekly NHL Forecaster February 26th – March 4th

Stay away from the Stars this week.

Minnesota Wild v New York Rangers Photo by Abbie Parr/Getty Images

Below is a breakdown of the seventh week of NHL games in the 2017-2018 season. The graph breaks down the schedule and the strength of the opponent in goals for, goals against, their power play and penalty kill and ranks it against the rest of the league on a scale from 1-31 (with 31 being the worst) So the higher the average ranks you see for an opponent the better schedule that team has. It factors in how well a team does at home vs. on the road as well.

*Stats are as of 2/23/2018

Favorable:

Offense:

-Arizona. Minnesota is horrible defensively on the road (2nd to worst) and Ottawa isn’t a whole lot better (7th worst).

-New Jersey. Another consecutive good week for the Devils. Pittsburgh, Florida and Carolina all on the road (all sub average defensively at home).

-NYI. Montreal home and away is a good start for any team this year but Pittsburgh isn’t doing the best at home either.

New York Islanders v New Jersey Devils Photo by Adam Hunger/Getty Images
New York Islanders v New Jersey Devils Photo by Adam Hunger/Getty Images

Goalies:

-Boston. A good week for Tuuka Rask. All four of the aforementioned teams above are also among the bottom 12 in scoring goals at home.

-Carolina. Pick your goalie be it Cam Ward or Scott Darling, they face Pittsburgh at home and Red Wings on the road, both bottom 5 in goals scored in their respective locations.

-Colorado. The above mentioned 3 teams are also bad on offense at home.

Power Play:

-Montreal. Flyers, Islanders (x2) and Bruins this week. The first three games are bottom 4 PK units.

-NYR. Play the Rangers this week, play ALL the Rangers this week for everything.

New York Rangers v Montreal Canadiens Photo by Minas Panagiotakis/Getty Images
New York Rangers v Montreal Canadiens Photo by Minas Panagiotakis/Getty Images

Penalty Kill:

-Anaheim. They have two games and it’s 2 of the worst 3 power play units in the league (Chicago and Columbus)

-Vegas. Home and away with LAK, Ottawa and NJD (all sub average PP units)

-San Jose. They face the three worst PP units this week.

Unfavorable:

Offense:

-Chicago. Not looking good for them as they go up against San Jose, LA and Anaheim on the road, that’s Jonathan Quick, Martin Jones and John Gibson

-Calgary has some tough goalies this week with Ben Bishop, Semyon Varlamov and King Lundqvist (who might be the easiest of the three this year).

-Dallas. Dallas is the one team to avoid this week, it’s not looking good for them.

Goalies:

-Buffalo. Robin Lehnar gets a gauntlet with Tampa Bay and Florida this week.

-Dallas. Calgary, Tampa Bay and St. Louis will be coming in strong against the Stars.

Power Play:

-Calgary. They face Dallas, Colorado on the road (both top ten PK units) and NYR at home (6th best PK unit)

- Chicago. They are already terrible on the PP and now they face San Jose, LAK and Anaheim (all top 11 PK units)

-Columbus. Also terrible, also facing 3 top 11 pk units this week.

Penalty Kill:

-Edmonton. San Jose, Nashville and NYR (all top 12 PP units)

-Colorado and Florida – Ditto to above on the Power Play.

-Montreal – not that I’m picking them much in general but this will be a tough week with the Flyers, Rangers and Lightning (all top 12 Power Play units).

Forecaster 2/26 - 3/4

Weekly Avgs Mon, Feb 26 Tue, Feb 27 Wed, Feb 28 Thu, Mar 1, Fri, Mar 2, Sat, Mar 3, Sun, Mar 4,
Weekly Avgs Mon, Feb 26 Tue, Feb 27 Wed, Feb 28 Thu, Mar 1, Fri, Mar 2, Sat, Mar 3, Sun, Mar 4,
0 0 0 0 vs. Columbus Blue Jackets 0 vs. Chicago Blackhawks
2
0
18 0 0 0 0 21 0 15
17 0 0 0 0 16 0 17
30 0 0 0 0 31 0 29
17 0 0 0 0 27 0 7
0 0 0 vs. Minnesota Wild 0 vs. Ottawa Senators 0
2
0
21 0 0 0 11 0 30 0
27 0 0 0 30 0 24 0
21 0 0 0 13 0 28 0
22 0 0 0 15 0 29 0
0 vs. Carolina Hurricanes 0 vs. Pittsburgh Penguins 0 vs. Montreal Canadiens 0
3
0
22 0 12 0 23 0 30 0
22 0 22 0 17 0 27 0
11 0 21 0 1 0 11 0
17 0 19 0 8 0 25 0
0 0 @ Tampa Bay Lightning 0 @ Florida Panthers 0 0
0
2
9 0 0 3 0 14 0 0
21 0 0 16 0 26 0 0
10 0 0 2 0 17 0 0
22 0 0 23 0 21 0 0
0 @ Boston Bruins 0 @ Philadelphia Flyers vs. New Jersey Devils 0 vs. Winnipeg Jets
2
2
11 0 8 0 17 6 0 14
14 0 5 0 20 20 0 12
11 0 14 0 6 20 0 3
13 0 1 0 28 11 0 11
0 @ Dallas Stars @ Colorado Avalanche 0 vs. New York Rangers 0 0
1
2
14 0 9 5 0 28 0 0
12 0 4 8 0 24 0 0
15 0 19 15 0 11 0 0
6 0 10 3 0 6 0 0
0 0 0 @ San Jose Sharks 0 @ Los Angeles Kings @ Anaheim Ducks
0
3
19 0 0 0 11 0 23 24
9 0 0 0 14 0 3 11
15 0 0 0 5 0 16 24
6 0 0 0 2 0 5 11
vs. Washington Capitals 0 0 @ Los Angeles Kings @ Anaheim Ducks 0 @ San Jose Sharks
1
3
17 9 0 0 23 24 0 11
14 29 0 0 3 11 0 14
13 8 0 0 16 24 0 5
9 17 0 0 5 11 0 2
vs. Vancouver Canucks 0 vs. Calgary Flames 0 vs. Minnesota Wild 0 vs. Nashville Predators
4
0
14 23 0 8 0 11 0 12
13 14 0 6 0 30 0 1
13 10 0 23 0 13 0 4
17 26 0 17 0 15 0 8
0 vs. Calgary Flames 0 vs. Tampa Bay Lightning 0 vs. St. Louis Blues 0
3
0
9 0 8 0 1 0 17 0
5 0 6 0 4 0 4 0
17 0 23 0 2 0 27 0
17 0 17 0 23 0 11 0
0 0 @ St. Louis Blues 0 @ Winnipeg Jets 0 @ Minnesota Wild
0
3
12 0 0 19 0 1 0 15
6 0 0 10 0 6 0 1
14 0 0 27 0 3 0 13
12 0 0 11 0 11 0 15
0 @ San Jose Sharks 0 vs. Nashville Predators 0 vs. New York Rangers 0
2
1
17 0 11 0 12 0 28 0
13 0 14 0 1 0 24 0
7 0 5 0 4 0 11 0
5 0 2 0 8 0 6 0
0 vs. Toronto Maple Leafs 0 vs. New Jersey Devils vs. Buffalo Sabres 0 vs. Philadelphia Flyers
4
0
11 0 3 0 6 27 0 7
16 0 11 0 20 23 0 8
17 0 18 0 20 25 0 6
16 0 4 0 11 21 0 28
@ Los Angeles Kings vs. Los Angeles Kings 0 0 vs. Ottawa Senators 0 @ New Jersey Devils
2
2
21 23 10 0 0 30 0 21
13 3 3 0 0 24 0 21
20 16 16 0 0 28 0 20
13 5 5 0 0 29 0 11
vs. Vegas Golden Knights @ Vegas Golden Knights 0 vs. Columbus Blue Jackets 0 vs. Chicago Blackhawks 0
3
1
11 2 4 0 21 0 15 0
13 17 2 0 16 0 17 0
19 7 7 0 31 0 29 0
16 15 15 0 27 0 7 0
0 vs. St. Louis Blues 0 @ Arizona Coyotes @ Colorado Avalanche 0 vs. Detroit Red Wings
2
2
17 0 17 0 29 5 0 15
13 0 4 0 24 8 0 15
23 0 27 0 26 15 0 22
15 0 11 0 20 3 0 24
vs. Philadelphia Flyers 0 vs. New York Islanders 0 @ New York Islanders @ Boston Bruins 0
2
2
7 7 0 5 0 6 8 0
19 8 0 31 0 31 5 0
10 6 0 9 0 9 14 0
22 28 0 30 0 30 1 0
0 @ Pittsburgh Penguins 0 @ Florida Panthers @ Carolina Hurricanes 0 vs. Vegas Golden Knights
1
3
11 0 2 0 14 27 0 2
20 0 18 0 26 17 0 17
12 0 1 0 17 21 0 7
16 0 8 0 21 19 0 15
0 @ Winnipeg Jets 0 @ Edmonton Oilers @ Vancouver Canucks 0 @ Colorado Avalanche
0
4
13 0 1 0 22 25 0 5
18 0 6 0 30 28 0 8
15 0 3 0 30 10 0 15
18 0 11 0 31 26 0 3
0 0 @ Montreal Canadiens 0 vs. Montreal Canadiens @ Pittsburgh Penguins 0
1
2
17 0 0 20 0 30 2 0
21 0 0 18 0 27 18 0
8 0 0 11 0 11 1 0
19 0 0 25 0 25 8 0
0 0 @ Vancouver Canucks 0 @ Calgary Flames @ Edmonton Oilers 0
0
3
24 0 0 25 0 26 22 0
27 0 0 28 0 24 30 0
21 0 0 10 0 23 30 0
25 0 0 26 0 17 31 0
0 @ Washington Capitals 0 0 @ Vegas Golden Knights @ Arizona Coyotes 0
0
3
15 0 12 0 0 4 29 0
12 0 9 0 0 2 24 0
14 0 8 0 0 7 26 0
17 0 17 0 0 15 20 0
@ Montreal Canadiens 0 0 vs. Carolina Hurricanes 0 @ Tampa Bay Lightning @ Florida Panthers
1
3
12 20 0 0 12 0 3 14
21 18 0 0 22 0 16 26
13 11 0 0 21 0 2 17
22 25 0 0 19 0 23 21
0 vs. New Jersey Devils 0 @ Boston Bruins 0 vs. New York Islanders 0
2
1
6 0 6 0 8 0 5 0
19 0 20 0 5 0 31 0
14 0 20 0 14 0 9 0
14 0 11 0 1 0 30 0
0 vs. Edmonton Oilers 0 vs. Chicago Blackhawks 0 0 vs. Columbus Blue Jackets
3
0
18 0 19 0 15 0 0 21
15 0 13 0 17 0 0 16
30 0 30 0 29 0 0 31
22 0 31 0 7 0 0 27
0 @ Minnesota Wild vs. Detroit Red Wings 0 0 @ Dallas Stars 0
1
2
13 0 15 15 0 0 9 0
7 0 1 15 0 0 4 0
18 0 13 22 0 0 19 0
16 0 15 24 0 0 10 0
vs. Toronto Maple Leafs 0 vs. Buffalo Sabres @ Dallas Stars 0 vs. Philadelphia Flyers 0
3
1
12 3 0 27 9 0 7 0
12 11 0 23 4 0 8 0
17 18 0 25 19 0 6 0
16 4 0 21 10 0 28 0
@ Tampa Bay Lightning @ Florida Panthers 0 0 0 @ Washington Capitals 0
0
3
10 3 14 0 0 0 12 0
17 16 26 0 0 0 9 0
9 2 17 0 0 0 8 0
20 23 21 0 0 0 17 0
@ Colorado Avalanche 0 vs. New York Rangers 0 vs. Nashville Predators 0 0
2
1
15 5 0 28 0 12 0 0
11 8 0 24 0 1 0 0
10 15 0 11 0 4 0 0
6 3 0 6 0 8 0 0
@ Columbus Blue Jackets vs. Ottawa Senators 0 0 0 vs. Toronto Maple Leafs 0
2
1
21 29 30 0 0 0 3 0
14 7 24 0 0 0 11 0
26 31 28 0 0 0 18 0
20 27 29 0 0 0 4 0
0 vs. Nashville Predators 0 0 vs. Detroit Red Wings 0 @ Carolina Hurricanes
2
1
18 0 12 0 0 15 0 27
11 0 1 0 0 15 0 17
16 0 4 0 0 22 0 21
17 0 8 0 0 24 0 19