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Bold Predictions Week 5: A second win for the Bills

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Josh Allen bounces back against the Titans.

Buffalo Bills v Minnesota Vikings Photo by Hannah Foslien/Getty Images

Prediction 1: Buffalo wins their second game of the year, against a team that is 3-1.

Justification: Josh Allen is likely going to have ebbs and flows as he figures out the pros. He had a great week 3 and a low week four, I think Tennessee will test him but he is an unconventional Big Ben type of QB who might be able to exploit areas of the Titans defense.

Prediction 2: John Brown does NOT score a TD for just a second time this year.

Justification: Cleveland is home and the biggest issue typically comes from a TD running a slant route. They were all over Antonio Brown for most of the Steelers match earlier this year. Add to that Denzel Ward likely covering him, I’m not optimistic on Brown this week.

Prediction 3: Matthew Stafford scores more points than Aaron Rodgers does in the GB vs. Detroit matchup.

Justification: I see Rodgers being projected as top QB this week and Stafford the 13th. Green Bay has injuries to Josh Jones, Kevin King and Nick Perry (not to mention Aaron Rodgers). Matt has had average starts against New England and Dallas (250-300 yards, 2 Touchdowns) and I think he is in for a big game against Green Bay AT home.

Detroit Lions v Dallas Cowboys Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images

Prediction 4: Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers over/under is 41. I’m taking the under even at 34.5.

Justification: This one is quite bold in my opinion just 12 total games would qualify for this this season. Here is my justification – Arizona has scored 0 points in road games so far this year (ok so it’s just one game against LAR but still). San Francisco (who did score 30 points at home vs. Detroit in week 2) is now out Jimmy Garapollo, Matt Breida, Marquise Goodwin and Alfred Morris. I think this ends up being a defensive matchup.

Prediction 5: Case Keenum throws at least 2 more TD’s in picks this season.

Justification: He has yet to outpace TDs from INT’s this season (Week 1: 3 TD, 3 INT; Weeks 2-4; 0 TD; 1INT each). He faced NYJ this week who are a decent defense but they allowed 2 TDs from Ryan Tannehill and Blake Bortles and I think we see it again this week against Denver. I am still standing tall on my “Case is a good QB” soapbox and this week he proves it.


Week 4 Recap

Prediction 1: We see 2 games or fewer where the underdog wins

Outcome: Yes! Depending on where you were pulling from just 2 upsets Grade (A)

Prediction 2: Dan Bailey is a top 5 kicking option this week (Projected outside top 25)

Outcome: He was top 10 not five, but still a valuable selection for someone projected outside the top 25! (B)

Prediction 3: Oakland Raiders win by 10

Outcome: This roller coaster of a game saw them up by 7, down by 14 and ultimately the winners of the matchup by 3 points.

Cleveland Browns v Oakland Raiders Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

Prediction 4: A RB outside the top 12 (listed below) will finish in the top 2 AND a player in the top 12 will get hurt and be out at least 5 games

Outcome: Notable injuries this week to Adrian Peterson, Matt Breida, Ezekiel Elliott, Leonard Fournette but also to Tyler Eifert, OJ Howard, Geronimo Allison, Will Vuller V and Rob Gronkowski. James White finished 3rd behind Alvin Kamara and Ezekiel Elliott, ultimately I’m giving this a Grade (B)

Prediction 5: TE Ricky Seals-Jones scores a TD for a 2nd straight week

Outcome: He had two receptions for 52 yards, but no TD. Grade (C )


2018 Total Report card

A – 4

B – 4

C – 5

D – 7

Here is how I will be grading my Bold picks this year

A – The bold pick happened as I stated

B – The bold pick did NOT happened as stated but the idea behind it was there (example I predicted Jesse James would have 0 TDs and fewer than 20 yards in week 2, he had 27 yards, the general idea to avoid him in fantasy was present.

C – The bold pick did NOT happen and the overall feel for what occurred had you saying “meh”

D – The bold pick was nowhere near accurate