College Football Picks: Week 6

2018 YTD: 19 right / 30 games (63% Right )

Georgia Tech at Louisville

Analysis: Tech was trounced by Clemson (who I’m convinced is not the powerhouse they used to be) and lost to Pittsburgh and USF while beating Bowling Green and ALCN. Louisville lost to FSU, UVA and Alabama beating Western Kentucky and INST. This isn’t an amazing matchup but I side with the home team (who I indecently think is a smidge better) who will likely have the edge on their shoulder as opposed to Georgia Tech who might be feeling comfortable.

at BYU vs. Utah St.

Analysis: BYU is coming off a rough loss to Washington and will come out amped to beat Utah St. Utah St. lost to Michigan State but has since beat New Mexico, Tennessee Tech and Air Force. SQUALLY CANADA with the win!!

at #7 Oklahoma vs. #19 Texas

Analysis: The biggest factor to me is Oklahoma is home for this matchup. If Texas was home I think they could pull the upset here. The Longhorns rebounded well from the Maryland loss with four wins and are on an upward trajectory. Kyler Murray will be able to propel the Sooners to a win this week. His 17 TDs is third in the country

at South Carolina vs. Missouri

Analysis: There is a common denominator between these two, Missouri lost to Georgia 43-29 while USC lost 41-17. When comparing these two teams, Missouri offense is better than the Gamecocks defense and I think Drew Lock carries Missouri to a win on the road.

Syracuse at Pittsburgh

Analysis: Syracuse is good. They will be ranked by the end of this season, their one loss is to Clemson. Pittsburgh has an advantage being at home but the loses are piling up on them (UCF, UNC and PSU). Syracuse and Eric Dungey win on the road.

at #23 N.C. State vs. Boston College

Analysis: BC is 13-4 against the spread this season and -4 isn’t that much to overcome. Boston has surprised a number of teams before falling to Purdue two weeks ago. NC State has a stellar defense but I think the Eagles surprise on the road.

Iowa at Minnesota

Analysis: Iowa’s sole loss is to a Wisconsin team that was surely hungry to get back into good graces with the committee. Minnesota is a respectable 3-1 but they haven’t played anyone of note yet. As long as Nate Stanley can avoid the turnovers, he should be able to guide the Hawkeyes to win.

#5 LSU at #22 Florida

Analysis: I think LSU is really good and keeps getting better. Joe Burrows and OC Steve Ensminger seem to be a great team. Feleipe Franks and Florida have some big wins recently with Mississippi St. and Tennessee but it stops this week against the Tigers.

Navy at Air Force

Analysis: Neither team has faced a ranked team yet so gauging this is tough. Navy lost to Hawaii and Southern Methodist while Air Force lost to Nevada, Florida Atlantic and Utah State. Nevada’s style of play and, in step, Malcolm Perry’s 6 touchdowns and 530 yards rushing, prevail here.

at #21 Colorado vs. Arizona St.

Analysis: The Steven Montez - Laviska Shenault connection has gone well for Colorado so far and I think it continues vs. Arizona State who will come in hungry fresh off back to back loses vs. San Diego State and Washington. This should be a fun game to watch.

at Texas A&M vs. #13 Kentucky

Analysis: It seems everyone in the country is going with Jimbo Fisher at home with the Aggies. Not. Me. Snell is going the distance YET AGAIN as the Kentucky continues to defy the odds and goes 6-0. I really like what Stoops has done with this team and think that if Terry Wilson can give a modicum of good play than the Wildcats sail on this one.

#8 Auburn at Mississippi St.

Analysis: on the surface I thought this screamed upset, Auburn with its first test since it’s one point loss to LSU faces the Bulldogs who just lost to Kentucky and Florida and will assuredly be amped to get back into the win column again. With that said, Auburn is through and through the better team and faced a very good LSU team down to the end while Mississippi St. hasn’t beaten a team even remotely good this season.

#6 Notre Dame at #24 Virginia Tech

Analysis: Notre Dame. I’ll keep picking them, I think they are a top 3 team until I see otherwise.

California at Arizona

Analysis: California has the better defense and to me has been tested more with Oregon and BYU as opposed to Arizona who played USC (and lost). Herm Edwards started off great but the Bears take this one behind Chase Garbers and Patrick Laird (who has impressed me thus far).

at #14 Stanford vs. Utah

Analysis: I reeeeeally want to pick Utah here, they are notorious for upsetting teams in this situation. With that said, Stanford is coming off a heartbreaking loss to Notre Dame and will be eager to get a win under their belt and more importantly, they are home in this game. Stanford wins.