Bold Predictions Week 6: Patriots and Chiefs score all the points

Every single one of them.

By Mark Abell Oct 11, 2018, 12:00pm EDT

Jacksonville Jaguars v Kansas City Chiefs

Prediction 1: Philadelphia Eagles win by 10 (Spread is Phi -3)

Justification: That loss to Minnesota HURT last week. Unfortunately NYG, fresh off a heartbreaking loss to Carolina, is going to be on the receiving end of an Eagles team who has been dragged through some rough media articles and I imagine, a lot of coaches yelling at them. Philadelphia is going to have a BIG week.

Prediction 2: Larry Fitzgerald gets his first TD of 2018 against Minnesota.

Justification: The Purple People Eaters don’t appear to be the dominant force they once were allowing 6 receiving TDs in the last 5 games. Additionally it looks like Fitzgerald is healthy from his hamstring injury and one of these games Rosen and Larry are going to fall into sync.

Prediction 3: New England vs. Kansas City – the over/under is 59, give me the over at 64.5

Justification: I will start with a disclaimer. I’m 0-2 on my over/under bold predictions this year. I’m convinced I’m fighting the grain too much, conventional wisdom tells me 59 is a lot of points but at the same time I think this could be a TD fest ala New Orleans vs. Atlanta in Week 3.

Prediction 4: Green Bay’s defense/special teams scores a TD

Justification: San Francisco is the worst team in the league in Giveaway/Takeaway (-10) CJ Beathard has thrown 2 picks in each of the last two games and Green Bay has a 24 yard Int return (Ha Ha Clinton-Dix) and a 27 yard one (Jaire Alexander). It could be special teams too as San Francisco allows the third most average yards off kickoffs.

Prediction 5: Jamaal Charles rushes for 50+ yards on Sunday

Justification: He comes in with fresh legs and nary the 5 games of repeated tackles that both the offense and defense have endured. Three teams had a rusher with 50+ yards against Dallas so far and LB Sean Lee has been nursing an injured hamstring

Week 5 Recap

Prediction 1: Buffalo wins their second game of the year, against a team that is 3-1.

Outcome: Ahem, let me clear my throat, YYYEEEEEEAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHH. If I get nothing else right this season, I will rest my laurels on this doozy. (Grade A)

Prediction 2: John Brown does NOT score a TD for just a second time this year.

Outcome: Ding Ding Ding, Cleveland stepped up and stopped Baltimore from scoring any touchdowns. (Grade A)

Prediction 3: Matthew Stafford scores more points than Aaron Rodgers does in the GB vs. Detroit matchup.

Outcome: Man on the surface I had the right idea, Detroit upset Green Bay 31-23 but Aaron had 442 yards and 3 TDs to Matthews 183 yards and 2 TDs. (Grade C)

Prediction 4: Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers over/under is 41. I’m taking the under even at 34.5.

Outcome: Worst prediction of the week, they not only exceeded the 34.5….and the 41, they also stood as the 8^th highest total score this week. The lowest two ended up being Browns vs. Ravens (21 total points) and Tennessee vs. Buffalo (25 total points). Grade (D)

Prediction 5: Case Keenum throws at least 2 more TD’s in picks this season. (Grade B)

Outcome: So here’s the thing, he didn’t score 2 more TDs than picks. He DID score 2 TDs, 1 Int and threw for 337 yards (third most in the league last week) which put him as a top 5-6 QB in most formats (plus he did throw more TD than INT for the first time this year) If you followed the prediction he probably served you well.

2018 Total Report card

A – 6
B – 5
C – 6
D – 8

Here is how I will be grading my Bold picks this year

A – The bold pick happened as I stated
B – The bold pick did NOT happened as stated but the idea behind it was there (example I predicted Jesse James would have 0 TDs and fewer than 20 yards in week 2, he had 27 yards, the general idea to avoid him in fantasy was present.
C – The bold pick did NOT happen and the overall feel for what occurred had you saying “meh”
D – The bold pick was nowhere near accurate