Prediction 1: Philadelphia Eagles win by 10 (Spread is Phi -3)
Justification: That loss to Minnesota HURT last week. Unfortunately NYG, fresh off a heartbreaking loss to Carolina, is going to be on the receiving end of an Eagles team who has been dragged through some rough media articles and I imagine, a lot of coaches yelling at them. Philadelphia is going to have a BIG week.
Prediction 2: Larry Fitzgerald gets his first TD of 2018 against Minnesota.
Justification: The Purple People Eaters don’t appear to be the dominant force they once were allowing 6 receiving TDs in the last 5 games. Additionally it looks like Fitzgerald is healthy from his hamstring injury and one of these games Rosen and Larry are going to fall into sync.
Prediction 3: New England vs. Kansas City – the over/under is 59, give me the over at 64.5
Justification: I will start with a disclaimer. I’m 0-2 on my over/under bold predictions this year. I’m convinced I’m fighting the grain too much, conventional wisdom tells me 59 is a lot of points but at the same time I think this could be a TD fest ala New Orleans vs. Atlanta in Week 3.
Prediction 4: Green Bay’s defense/special teams scores a TD
Justification: San Francisco is the worst team in the league in Giveaway/Takeaway (-10) CJ Beathard has thrown 2 picks in each of the last two games and Green Bay has a 24 yard Int return (Ha Ha Clinton-Dix) and a 27 yard one (Jaire Alexander). It could be special teams too as San Francisco allows the third most average yards off kickoffs.
Prediction 5: Jamaal Charles rushes for 50+ yards on Sunday
Justification: He comes in with fresh legs and nary the 5 games of repeated tackles that both the offense and defense have endured. Three teams had a rusher with 50+ yards against Dallas so far and LB Sean Lee has been nursing an injured hamstring
Week 5 Recap
Prediction 1: Buffalo wins their second game of the year, against a team that is 3-1.
Outcome: Ahem, let me clear my throat, YYYEEEEEEAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHH. If I get nothing else right this season, I will rest my laurels on this doozy. (Grade A)
Prediction 2: John Brown does NOT score a TD for just a second time this year.
Outcome: Ding Ding Ding, Cleveland stepped up and stopped Baltimore from scoring any touchdowns. (Grade A)
Prediction 3: Matthew Stafford scores more points than Aaron Rodgers does in the GB vs. Detroit matchup.
Outcome: Man on the surface I had the right idea, Detroit upset Green Bay 31-23 but Aaron had 442 yards and 3 TDs to Matthews 183 yards and 2 TDs. (Grade C)
Prediction 4: Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers over/under is 41. I’m taking the under even at 34.5.
Outcome: Worst prediction of the week, they not only exceeded the 34.5….and the 41, they also stood as the 8th highest total score this week. The lowest two ended up being Browns vs. Ravens (21 total points) and Tennessee vs. Buffalo (25 total points). Grade (D)
Prediction 5: Case Keenum throws at least 2 more TD’s in picks this season. (Grade B)
Outcome: So here’s the thing, he didn’t score 2 more TDs than picks. He DID score 2 TDs, 1 Int and threw for 337 yards (third most in the league last week) which put him as a top 5-6 QB in most formats (plus he did throw more TD than INT for the first time this year) If you followed the prediction he probably served you well.
2018 Total Report card
A – 6
B – 5
C – 6
D – 8
Here is how I will be grading my Bold picks this year
A – The bold pick happened as I stated
B – The bold pick did NOT happened as stated but the idea behind it was there (example I predicted Jesse James would have 0 TDs and fewer than 20 yards in week 2, he had 27 yards, the general idea to avoid him in fantasy was present.
C – The bold pick did NOT happen and the overall feel for what occurred had you saying “meh”
D – The bold pick was nowhere near accurate