clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Weekly NHL Forecaster January 22nd – January 28th

We’ve struck Oil this week.

Edmonton Oilers v Vegas Golden Knights Photo by Ethan Miller/Getty Images

Below is a breakdown of the seventh week of NHL games in the 2017-2018 season (can you believe we are about 25% into the season?!?) . The graph breaks down the schedule and the strength of the opponent in goals for, goals against, their power play and penalty kill and ranks it against the rest of the league on a scale from 1-31 (with 31 being the worst) So the higher the average ranks you see for an opponent the better schedule that team has. It factors in how well a team does at home vs. on the road as well.

*Stats are as of 1/3/2018

Favorable:

Offense:

The Sabres get the Flames and Oilers (the two worst teams at home) and then the Canucks (below average at home). Call this a favorable road trip for Buffalo.

Washington gets one game – the Panthers on the road (who are the 2nd worst offensive team at home).

Goalies:

Cam Talbot has an easier week with the Sabres and Flames. The Sabres are the 4th worst team on the road offensively and the Flames are 12th worst offensively on the road.

The Jets have two games and it’s against the Sharks and Ducks, both at home, both above average offenses, that is not a fun trip.

NHL: JAN 13 Jets at Wild

Power Play:

Arizona faces off against the Islanders and Blue Jackets, both are bottom third of the league in PK, the Islanders have the worst PK.

The Sabres road trip features 3 teams in the bottom 6 in PK this year.

As if the Vegas Golden Knights needed something else in their favor – they get two of the worst 12 PK units this week in Columbus and NYI.

Penalty Kill:

Calgary goes up against Buffalo (2nd worst PP unit) followed by LA and Edmonton (both bottom ten PP units).

The Oilers get the Sabres and Flames – both bottom 12 on the Power Play.

Vancouver gets two of the bottom 10 PP units in LAK and Buffalo

Unfavorable:

Offense:

The Stars have a rough goalie matchup with the Panthers and Maple Leafs (Reimer is sneaky, don’t underestimate him).

The Red Wings have Cory Schneider, Brian Elliott and Corey Crawford, the latter two teams are top 12 on defense.

Goalies:

Devan Dubnyk gets the Senators and Penguins who are both above average (Senators are on the road and Pittsburgh is at home).

Brian Elliott’s numbers are going down a bit and they face the Red Wings and Tampa Bay Lightning this week, both top half of the league in goals scored in their respective home/away situation.

Philadelphia Flyers v New York Rangers Photo by Bruce Bennett/Getty Images

Power Play:

The Canadiens have an rough matchup against Colorado (5th best PK unit) before considerably easier Hurricanes (24th best PK unit)

The New Jersey Devils need to stay at 5 vs. 5 their schedule against Detroit, Boston and Nashville features 3 teams who are above average on both PK AND the power play.

Penalty Kill:

The Hurricanes have a gauntlet to start with the Penguins (best PP unit) and it cools down a bit with Montreal (19th best PP unit).

The Blackhawks have 3 matchups and while they get better progressively – Lightning (2nd best unit), Maple Leafs (6th best PP unit) and finally the Red Wings (13th best unit) it doesn’t look like a fun week for their PK unit.

Nashville needs to stay out of the box – Tampa Bay and New Jersey are both top 5 in power play goals.

NHL Forecaster 1/22 - 1/28

Weekly Avgs Mon, Jan 22 Tue, Jan 23 Wed, Jan 24 Thu, Jan 25 Fri, Jan 26 Sat, Jan 27 Sun, Jan 28
Weekly Avgs Mon, Jan 22 Tue, Jan 23 Wed, Jan 24 Thu, Jan 25 Fri, Jan 26 Sat, Jan 27 Sun, Jan 28
0 vs. New York Rangers 0 vs. Winnipeg Jets 0 0 0
2
0
12 0 4 0 20 0 0 0
20 0 27 0 12 0 0 0
11 0 17 0 4 0 0 0
11 0 5 0 16 0 0 0
vs. New York Islanders 0 0 vs. Columbus Blue Jackets 0 0 0
2
0
10 8 0 0 12 0 0 0
18 22 0 0 13 0 0 0
19 7 0 0 31 0 0 0
26 30 0 0 21 0 0 0
0 vs. New Jersey Devils 0 @ Ottawa Senators 0 0 0
1
1
12 0 2 0 21 0 0 0
21 0 13 0 28 0 0 0
15 0 5 0 25 0 0 0
17 0 7 0 27 0 0 0
@ Calgary Flames @ Edmonton Oilers 0 @ Vancouver Canucks 0 0 0
0
3
20 16 16 0 29 0 0 0
25 29 30 0 16 0 0 0
18 20 24 0 9 0 0 0
28 25 31 0 27 0 0 0
0 @ Pittsburgh Penguins 0 @ Montreal Canadiens 0 0 0
0
2
16 0 9 0 23 0 0 0
12 0 10 0 13 0 0 0
10 0 1 0 19 0 0 0
19 0 12 0 26 0 0 0
vs. Buffalo Sabres 0 vs. Los Angeles Kings @ Edmonton Oilers 0 0 0
2
1
16 27 0 5 16 0 0 0
20 29 0 1 30 0 0 0
25 30 0 21 24 0 0 0
16 15 0 1 31 0 0 0
vs. Tampa Bay Lightning 0 vs. Toronto Maple Leafs @ Detroit Red Wings 0 0 0
2
1
6 3 0 1 13 0 0 0
11 3 0 4 25 0 0 0
7 2 0 6 13 0 0 0
14 23 0 7 13 0 0 0
0 @ Vegas Golden Knights 0 @ Arizona Coyotes 0 0 0
0
2
17 0 4 0 30 0 0 0
18 0 9 0 27 0 0 0
21 0 18 0 23 0 0 0
20 0 20 0 19 0 0 0
@ Toronto Maple Leafs @ Montreal Canadiens 0 @ St. Louis Blues 0 0 0
0
3
15 13 23 0 10 0 0 0
15 25 13 0 7 0 0 0
18 6 19 0 28 0 0 0
14 7 26 0 10 0 0 0
0 vs. Florida Panthers 0 vs. Toronto Maple Leafs 0 0 0
2
0
16 0 31 0 1 0 0 0
9 0 13 0 4 0 0 0
16 0 25 0 6 0 0 0
10 0 13 0 7 0 0 0
@ New Jersey Devils vs. Philadelphia Flyers 0 vs. Chicago Blackhawks 0 0 0
2
1
20 28 8 0 25 0 0 0
12 18 8 0 11 0 0 0
15 5 12 0 28 0 0 0
17 7 29 0 16 0 0 0
0 vs. Buffalo Sabres 0 vs. Calgary Flames 0 0 0
2
0
23 0 27 0 19 0 0 0
20 0 29 0 10 0 0 0
25 0 30 0 20 0 0 0
20 0 15 0 25 0 0 0
0 @ Dallas Stars 0 vs. Washington Capitals 0 0 0
1
1
10 0 11 0 8 0 0 0
17 0 2 0 31 0 0 0
14 0 11 0 16 0 0 0
19 0 16 0 22 0 0 0
0 vs. Columbus Blue Jackets 0 vs. New York Islanders 0 0 0
2
0
10 0 12 0 8 0 0 0
18 0 13 0 22 0 0 0
19 0 31 0 7 0 0 0
26 0 21 0 30 0 0 0
0 @ Vancouver Canucks @ Calgary Flames 0 0 0 0
0
2
23 0 29 16 0 0 0 0
23 0 16 29 0 0 0 0
15 0 9 20 0 0 0 0
26 0 27 25 0 0 0 0
vs. Ottawa Senators 0 0 @ Pittsburgh Penguins 0 0 0
1
1
12 14 0 0 9 0 0 0
15 20 0 0 10 0 0 0
13 25 0 0 1 0 0 0
20 27 0 0 12 0 0 0
0 vs. Colorado Avalanche 0 vs. Carolina Hurricanes 0 0 0
2
0
22 0 28 0 15 0 0 0
21 0 28 0 13 0 0 0
20 0 14 0 25 0 0 0
15 0 5 0 24 0 0 0
vs. Detroit Red Wings @ Boston Bruins 0 vs. Nashville Predators 0 0 0
2
1
23 30 16 0 23 0 0 0
14 19 17 0 5 0 0 0
8 13 9 0 3 0 0 0
9 13 3 0 11 0 0 0
0 vs. Tampa Bay Lightning 0 @ New Jersey Devils 0 0 0
1
1
16 0 3 0 28 0 0 0
11 0 3 0 18 0 0 0
4 0 2 0 5 0 0 0
15 0 23 0 7 0 0 0
@ Arizona Coyotes 0 0 @ Vegas Golden Knights 0 0 0
0
2
17 30 0 0 4 0 0 0
18 27 0 0 9 0 0 0
21 23 0 0 18 0 0 0
20 19 0 0 20 0 0 0
0 @ Anaheim Ducks 0 @ San Jose Sharks 0 0 0
0
2
26 0 25 0 26 0 0 0
10 0 14 0 6 0 0 0
14 0 21 0 7 0 0 0
6 0 9 0 2 0 0 0
@ Minnesota Wild @ St. Louis Blues 0 vs. Boston Bruins 0 0 0
1
2
15 16 10 0 18 0 0 0
7 5 7 0 9 0 0 0
17 15 28 0 9 0 0 0
6 4 10 0 3 0 0 0
0 @ Detroit Red Wings 0 vs. Tampa Bay Lightning 0 0 0
1
1
8 0 13 0 3 0 0 0
14 0 25 0 3 0 0 0
8 0 13 0 2 0 0 0
18 0 13 0 23 0 0 0
0 vs. Carolina Hurricanes 0 vs. Minnesota Wild 0 0 0
2
0
14 0 15 0 13 0 0 0
18 0 13 0 23 0 0 0
20 0 25 0 15 0 0 0
14 0 24 0 4 0 0 0
0 vs. Winnipeg Jets 0 vs. New York Rangers 0 0 0
2
0
12 0 20 0 4 0 0 0
20 0 12 0 27 0 0 0
11 0 4 0 17 0 0 0
11 0 16 0 5 0 0 0
0 vs. Ottawa Senators 0 vs. Colorado Avalanche 0 0 0
2
0
21 0 14 0 28 0 0 0
24 0 20 0 28 0 0 0
20 0 25 0 14 0 0 0
16 0 27 0 5 0 0 0
@ Chicago Blackhawks @ Nashville Predators 0 @ Philadelphia Flyers 0 0 0
0
3
12 8 5 0 24 0 0 0
18 12 20 0 22 0 0 0
14 28 3 0 12 0 0 0
19 16 11 0 29 0 0 0
vs. Colorado Avalanche 0 @ Chicago Blackhawks @ Dallas Stars 0 0 0
1
2
16 28 0 8 11 0 0 0
14 28 0 12 2 0 0 0
18 14 0 28 11 0 0 0
12 5 0 16 16 0 0 0
0 vs. Los Angeles Kings 0 vs. Buffalo Sabres 0 0 0
2
0
16 0 5 0 27 0 0 0
15 0 1 0 29 0 0 0
26 0 21 0 30 0 0 0
8 0 1 0 15 0 0 0
0 0 0 @ Florida Panthers 0 0 0
0
1
6 0 0 0 6 0 0 0
30 0 0 0 30 0 0 0
25 0 0 0 25 0 0 0
13 0 0 0 13 0 0 0
0 @ San Jose Sharks 0 @ Anaheim Ducks 0 0 0
0
2
26 0 26 0 25 0 0 0
10 0 6 0 14 0 0 0
14 0 7 0 21 0 0 0
6 0 2 0 9 0 0 0