Fanduel Picks: BMW Championship

BMW Championship
Conway Farms Golf Club
September 7^th -€” 10th

The format:
Four Premium Priced picks ($8,000+)
Two Mid-tier Priced picks ($6,000- $8,000)
Two Bargain Basement picks ($6,000-)

Pricey Picks ($8,000+):
Rickie Fowler ($9,200)
Jason Day ($9,100)
Paul Casey ($9,000)
Matt Kuchar ($8,200)
Rickie is 2^nd on the tour in strokes gained, he has 7 consecutive top 25 finishes, he will likely have one clunker at some point but two years ago when it was at Conway Farms Golf Club he finished 4^th. Jason has 5 consecutive top 30 finishes, he's 6^th in birdie averages and 13^th in eagle averages and he finished..1^st here two years ago. I've covered Paul a bit lately, he's been the most dominant golfer over the last month and a half, much like Rickie he will eventually fall off but I think he has a strong outing at the BMW Championship. Matt had an uncharacteristic 56^th place finish last week at the Dell Technologies Championship. I think he bounces back to what he did over the previous 9 tournaments (with one exception) and finishes in the top 15. Matt is 23^rd in total strokes gained on the tour and sits at 18^th in the FedEx Cup ranking.

Mid-Tier Pick ($6,000-$8,000):
Bill Haas ($6,300)
Zac Johnson ($6,400)
Bill is not accurate but he's lethal around the green (4^th on the tour in strokes gained). He's 16^th in scoring average, he won't get the birdie, eagle push but he has a good shot at a top 25 finish at least 1-2 days. Zach is one of the more accurate golfers in the game, he was 13^th here two years ago, he's 40^th in strokes gained approaching the green, 33^rd in strokes gained putting and 43^rd in scoring average.

Bargain Picks ($6,000-):
Chez Reavie ($5,900)
Keegan Bradley ($5,800)
Chez is off .He's 5^th on the tour in driving accuracy, at a location where that's more important than distance (he's 157^th in distance) I think he could play into his 57^th ranking in average birdies. He's 47^th in strokes gained approaching the green and 37^th in strokes gained putting. Keegan is 24^th in driving accuracy, 29^th in average number of eagles, 46^th in birdies and 35^th in strokes gained tee to green. He has the best opportunity at a top 20 finish on Friday. He has made 10 consecutive cuts with 4 top 15 finishes over that time.

Average Stats
(I can't go based on scores, each tournament is different contingent on how many birdies occur so I will go on finishing position which is mostly close to how well they did.)
Pricey Picks: 40th (28th percentile)
Mid-Tier Picks: 44th (30th percentile)
Bargain Picks: 56th (39th percentile)