Fanduel Picks: Dell Technologies Championship

Dell Technologies Championship
TPC Boston
September 1^st – 4th

The format:

Three Premium Priced picks ($8,000+)
Two Mid-tier Priced picks ($6,000- $8,000)
Three Bargain Basement picks ($6,000-)

Pricey Picks ($8,000+):

Hideki Matsuyama ($9,200)
Justin Thomas ($9,300)
Rory McIlroy ($9,500)
Hideki missed one cut, it’s not happening again in back to back tournaments. He’s 8^th on the tour in eagles, 3^rd in birdies, 10^th in total strokes gained. I think Hideki is a top 5 lock. Justin followed up his PGA Championship with a 6^th place finish at the Northern Trust, I’m banking on one more top 10 finish before possible regression. Prior to his 34^th place finish at the Northern Trust (very respectable) he was 22^nd, 5^th, 4^th, 17^th, Missed Cut, 35^th, 7^th, 30^th, 4^th and 7^th. That is 5 top ten finishes and 7 top 25 finishes. Add to that he’s 34^th on the tour in eagles and 28^th in birdies

Mid-Tier Pick ($6,000-$8,000):

Kevin Chappell ($6,700)
Charley Hoffman ($7,000)
Kevin’s last 4 tournament finishes: 8^th, 13^th, 33^rd and 6^th. He is 15^th on the tour in Eagle Average (and I could see him getting 1-2 this weekend). 21^st in strokes gained tee to green he is going to either get points through 1-2 eagles or through a top 20 finish on Monday. Charley now has 4 top 20 finishes in his last 5 tournaments, how is he still so cheap?!? 23^rd in eagles, 12^th in birdie average, 1st in total birdies and 3^rd in total eagles with a strong likelihood of a top 20 finish!

Bargain Picks ($6,000-):

Chad Campbell ($5,500)
Bud Cauley ($5,600)
Jamie Lovemark ($5,700)
Chad is 22^nd in stokes gained approaching the green and 13^th in greens in regulation which is something he should do easily here. If he can putt with any success he will be in the top 20 1-2 days (likely Friday and Sunday where he averages 12^th and 9^th in scoring). Bud has been bouncing back strong after missed cuts this year (12^th, 35^th, 9^th, MC and 3^rd over his last 5). He’s 31^st on the tour in stokes gained tee to green and 11^th in approaching the green. He might sneak into the top 20 on Satuday or Sunday but usually falters a bit on the last day. Jamie had made the cut in 9 consecutive tournaments prior to missing the cut at the Northern Trust, during that 9 tournament stint he had 5 top 25 finishes, I’ll take the gamble for $5,700.

Average Stats

(I can't go based on scores, each tournament is different contingent on how many birdies occur so I will go on finishing position which is mostly close to how well they did.)
Pricey Picks: 45th (31st percentile)
Mid-Tier Picks: 46th (32nd percentile)
Bargain Picks: 57th (40th percentile)