What: Brickyard 400
When: July 23rd
Where: Indianapolis Motor Speedway
2016 Winner: Kyle Busch
Track: Indianapolis Motor Speedway. Opened in 1909 (yes you read that right), this asphalt/brick 2.5 mile oval track really allows the racers to open up a bit. It has 9 degree banking on it's turns and is good old open racing.
Kyle Busch. 2nd here in 2014, 1st here in 2015 and 1st here in 2016. So over a three year trend he is averaging a finish of 1.33. Easy choice.
Kyle Larson. I have four starts left of Kyle Larson and I'm using one here. He finished 5th last year and 9th in 2015, he had a strong race last week at New Hampshire where he was just shy of a win finishing 2nd behind Denny Hamlin. I maintain open racing benefits Kyle more than any other driver.
Clint Bowyer, he finished 21st here last year but was a 6th place finish in 2015. More importantly, his last 4 races: 7th at New Hampshire, 13th getting lucky at Kentucky, 2nd at Daytona and 2nd at Sonoma. The 38 year old is in the top 10 in the Monster Energy Cup series right now.
Step 1: find a three sided coin. Step 2, cash in big on the rarety that you found a three sided coin. Step 3. Select whoever you have a lot of starts left in Daniel Suarez, Erik Jones and Ty Dillon. It's essentially a toss-up but Two of them have finished in the top 20 in 2 of their last 3 races (Erik Jones and Ty Dillon) and Daniel Suarez has finished in the top 20 in all three of his last three (plus I still have 7 starts left for Daniel)
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. If I told you that Ricky Stenhouse Jr has more wins this year than Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Chase Elliott, Jamie McMuray and Matt Kenseth COMBINED, would you be surprised? He has three consecutive top 15 finishes, if you don't want to go with Kyle Larson, the 12th place finisher from last year might be a good option.
Year to date stats:
A Drivers: Avg Finish 14th (38th percentile)
B Drivers: Avg Finish 13th (37th percentile)
C Drivers: Avg Finish 16th (45th percentile)
Dark Horse Drivers: Avg Finish 20th (57th percentile)