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Bold Predictions Week 15: Derek Carr rejuvinated

Plus a great week for close games

NFL: Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

Recapping last week’s picks:

1. Tyrod Taylor is a top 10 Fantasy QB this week.

Outcome: (Grade: D): If top ten means, he did not play and even if he did both teams combined for

2. Alfred Morris rushes for 80 yards and 1 TD.

Outcome: (Grade: C) Insert my best Scooby Doo villain voice, Alfred Morris would have gotten away with this if it wasn’t for the meddling Rod Smith and his two TD’s vulturing from Alfred. Alfred ending in 62 yards and 23 receiving yards falling just a few fantasy points short of last weeks effort.

3. Denver snaps it’s 8 game losing streak against the Jets this week.

Outcome: (Grade: A). The Broncos laid out a ‘whoopin’ on the Jets 23-0 in a might Monty Python call of ‘we aren’t quite dead yet’ .

4. Kenny Golladay racks up 70+ receiving yards for the first time this year.

Outcome: (Grade: D). What Kenny DID do was have a rush for 9 yards, what he DIDN’T do was come anywhere near 70+yards.

5. Baltimore Ravens have a pick-6 against the Pittsburgh Steelers

Outcome: (Grade: D). What surprised me most here wasn’t that a pick-six didn’t happen but that Baltimore didn’t even get an interception and instead Pittsburgh created two turnovers. In a game with a combined 775+passing yards how were there so few picks?!?

Week 15 Bold Picks:

1. 4 games or less are decided by 10+ points this week (not including the Denver Indianapolis game).

Background: The last three weeks have had 6 games, 8 games and 7 games that were decided at least double digits. I think we see 4 games or fewer decided by double digits this week. Likeliest candidates are Houston at Jacksonville, Philadelphia at New York Giants and New York Jets at New Orleans Saints

Poll

Over / Under 4.5 Games decided by double dogits this week

This poll is closed

  • 69%
    Over
    (9 votes)
  • 30%
    Under
    (4 votes)
13 votes total Vote Now

2. Derek Carr has at least 2 TD’s and more TDs than Interceptions

Background: He’s only done this twice in the last 11 weeks but against Dallas and with his confidence boosting each week, I think he has a good week for Fantasy owners during the fantasy playoff push.

3. Kenyan Drake rushes for 100+yards for a third. Straight. Game.

Background: Week 13 he rushed for 120 yards and 1 TD; last week 114 yards and 0 TD’s and now he goes into frigid Buffalo where all you want to do is rush the ball. Add to this Buffalo is averaging 123 yards allowed in rushing (27th best) per game. He’s 83% owned so there is a chance he’s out there for your playoff push.

NFL: New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

4. Kai Forbath is a top 3 kicker this week.

Background: The 43% owned kicker could be a hidden gem for a fantasy team. He’s 43% owned, he’s currently the 7th best kicker and he’s going against the Bengals who have allowed 5th most fantasy points to kickers.

5. Dede Westbrook has 75+yards

Background: The 42% owned rookie has worked with Keelan Cole to be a powerful force for Blake Bortles offense. For deeper leagues this could be a viable option with a 40% chance of a TD.

NFL: Seattle Seahawks at Jacksonville Jaguars Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

2017 Report card:

A – 16

B – 10

C – 13

D – 26

Here is how I will be grading my Bold picks this year

A – The bold pick happened as I stated

B – The bold pick did NOT happened as stated but the idea behind it was there (example I predicted Jesse James would have 0 TDs and fewer than 20 yards in week 2, he had 27 yards, the general idea to avoid him in fantasy was present.

C – The bold pick did NOT happen and the overall feel for what occurred had you saying “meh”

D – The bold pick was nowhere near accurate