Bold Predictions for Week 11: Doug Martin muscling his way into Miami

Recapping last week’s picks:

1. New York Giants at San Francisco 49ers over under is 42.5 and I’m taking under at 38.5.

Outcome: (Grade: D) This one was ugly but hold tight it’s going to get worse as we go along. Both teams went off on this affair with a final of 52points on a 31-21 rousing.

2. Ryan Fitzpatrick throws for 3 TDs against the New York Jets.

Outcome: (Grade: D) Yup, clunker here, 1 TD and not even the yardage to help with some points there – he only had 187 yards in this very defensive matchup.

3. Patriots not only clear the 7.5 point spread against the Denver Broncos they win by 10.5 points.

Outcome: (Grade: A). The lone bright point among my week 10 picks. The Patriots won by 25 points.

4. Ryan Succop is a top 2 kicker this weekend.

Outcome: (Grade: D). He wasn’t in the top 2, nor was he in the top 3 or 4 or 5 and on and on and on until you get to 16^th. One 40 yard field goal is all Ryan Succop delivered in week 10. Sorry all.

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5. Big Ben tops 320 yards in passing for the first time this season.

Outcome: (Grade: C). 236 yards and 2 TD’s respectable totals for him if you started him but well short of the expected proclamation.

Week 11 Bold Picks:

1. Green Bay beats Baltimore by 2.5+ points.

Background: Baltimore has the 2 points line and I can’t help but think it’s the wrong team. Green Bay is 3-2 at home, Baltimore is 2-3 on the road. Baltimore has lost 3 of their last 4 and despite Aaron Rodgers going down Brett Hundley has done his best to fill in against: Minnesota Vikings (7-2), New Orleans Saints (7-2) and Detroit Lions (5-4). That is not exactly easy.

2. New Orleans puts up 24.5 points or less against Washington Redskins

Background: They have scored at least 25 points in 4 of their last 5 games but on the tail end of the whooping they put on Buffalo they will have a low key week. Half of their home games have yielded under 25 points.

3. Doug Martin has not had a TD since October 15^th, he will have 1 this weekend as well as 75 rushing yards against the Dolphins.

Background: Miami has allowed the 11^th most rushing yards and 8^th most rushing TD’s and Doug had a very insipid last two weeks totaling 57 yards and 0 TD’s across 28 carries. I think he’s in for a strong week at South Beach this Sunday.

4. 15^th ranked Kansas City D/ST (81% owned) is a top 2 Defense in Fantasy this week.

Background: I’ll admit this is much less “bold” then other predictions but I wanted to really hammer in how bullish I am on the Chiefs against the Giants this weekend. The Giants actually put up 21 points and I think they put up less than 15 with no more than 1 touchdown.

5.Nathan Peterman (4% owned) in his first NFL start puts up 200 yards and 2TD’s against the LAC.

Background: It will be interesting how much Buffalo lets him air the ball out. He’s a 55% completion kind of guy but they might keep handing LeSean McCoy the ball. This one is reaching out there a bit as little is known about the Tennessee/Pittsburgh quarterback. I have a feeling he can come out strong with so little known about him for at least one game.

2017 Report card:

A – 11

B – 9

C – 9

D – 16

Here is how I will be grading my Bold picks this year

A – The bold pick happened as I stated

B – The bold pick did NOT happened as stated but the idea behind it was there (example I predicted Jesse James would have 0 TDs and fewer than 20 yards in week 2, he had 27 yards, the general idea to avoid him in fantasy was present.

C – The bold pick did NOT happen and the overall feel for what occurred had you saying “meh”

D – The bold pick was nowhere near accurate