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Recapping last week’s picks:
1. New York Giants at San Francisco 49ers over under is 42.5 and I’m taking under at 38.5.
Outcome: (Grade: D) This one was ugly but hold tight it’s going to get worse as we go along. Both teams went off on this affair with a final of 52points on a 31-21 rousing.
2. Ryan Fitzpatrick throws for 3 TDs against the New York Jets.
Outcome: (Grade: D) Yup, clunker here, 1 TD and not even the yardage to help with some points there – he only had 187 yards in this very defensive matchup.
3. Patriots not only clear the 7.5 point spread against the Denver Broncos they win by 10.5 points.
Outcome: (Grade: A). The lone bright point among my week 10 picks. The Patriots won by 25 points.
4. Ryan Succop is a top 2 kicker this weekend.
Outcome: (Grade: D). He wasn’t in the top 2, nor was he in the top 3 or 4 or 5 and on and on and on until you get to 16th. One 40 yard field goal is all Ryan Succop delivered in week 10. Sorry all.
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5. Big Ben tops 320 yards in passing for the first time this season.
Outcome: (Grade: C). 236 yards and 2 TD’s respectable totals for him if you started him but well short of the expected proclamation.
Week 11 Bold Picks:
1. Green Bay beats Baltimore by 2.5+ points.
Background: Baltimore has the 2 points line and I can’t help but think it’s the wrong team. Green Bay is 3-2 at home, Baltimore is 2-3 on the road. Baltimore has lost 3 of their last 4 and despite Aaron Rodgers going down Brett Hundley has done his best to fill in against: Minnesota Vikings (7-2), New Orleans Saints (7-2) and Detroit Lions (5-4). That is not exactly easy.
2. New Orleans puts up 24.5 points or less against Washington Redskins
Background: They have scored at least 25 points in 4 of their last 5 games but on the tail end of the whooping they put on Buffalo they will have a low key week. Half of their home games have yielded under 25 points.
3. Doug Martin has not had a TD since October 15th, he will have 1 this weekend as well as 75 rushing yards against the Dolphins.
Background: Miami has allowed the 11th most rushing yards and 8th most rushing TD’s and Doug had a very insipid last two weeks totaling 57 yards and 0 TD’s across 28 carries. I think he’s in for a strong week at South Beach this Sunday.
4. 15th ranked Kansas City D/ST (81% owned) is a top 2 Defense in Fantasy this week.
Background: I’ll admit this is much less “bold” then other predictions but I wanted to really hammer in how bullish I am on the Chiefs against the Giants this weekend. The Giants actually put up 21 points and I think they put up less than 15 with no more than 1 touchdown.
5.Nathan Peterman (4% owned) in his first NFL start puts up 200 yards and 2TD’s against the LAC.
Background: It will be interesting how much Buffalo lets him air the ball out. He’s a 55% completion kind of guy but they might keep handing LeSean McCoy the ball. This one is reaching out there a bit as little is known about the Tennessee/Pittsburgh quarterback. I have a feeling he can come out strong with so little known about him for at least one game.
2017 Report card:
A – 11
B – 9
C – 9
D – 16
Here is how I will be grading my Bold picks this year
A – The bold pick happened as I stated
B – The bold pick did NOT happened as stated but the idea behind it was there (example I predicted Jesse James would have 0 TDs and fewer than 20 yards in week 2, he had 27 yards, the general idea to avoid him in fantasy was present.
C – The bold pick did NOT happen and the overall feel for what occurred had you saying “meh”
D – The bold pick was nowhere near accurate