Recapping last week’s picks:
1. New York Giants at San Francisco 49ers over under is 42.5 and I’m taking under at 38.5.
Outcome: (Grade: D) This one was ugly but hold tight it’s going to get worse as we go along. Both teams went off on this affair with a final of 52points on a 31-21 rousing.
2. Ryan Fitzpatrick throws for 3 TDs against the New York Jets.
Outcome: (Grade: D) Yup, clunker here, 1 TD and not even the yardage to help with some points there – he only had 187 yards in this very defensive matchup.
3. Patriots not only clear the 7.5 point spread against the Denver Broncos they win by 10.5 points.
Outcome: (Grade: A). The lone bright point among my week 10 picks. The Patriots won by 25 points.
4. Ryan Succop is a top 2 kicker this weekend.
Outcome: (Grade: D). He wasn’t in the top 2, nor was he in the top 3 or 4 or 5 and on and on and on until you get to 16th. One 40 yard field goal is all Ryan Succop delivered in week 10. Sorry all.
5. Big Ben tops 320 yards in passing for the first time this season.
Outcome: (Grade: C). 236 yards and 2 TD’s respectable totals for him if you started him but well short of the expected proclamation.
Week 11 Bold Picks:
1. Green Bay beats Baltimore by 2.5+ points.
Background: Baltimore has the 2 points line and I can’t help but think it’s the wrong team. Green Bay is 3-2 at home, Baltimore is 2-3 on the road. Baltimore has lost 3 of their last 4 and despite Aaron Rodgers going down Brett Hundley has done his best to fill in against: Minnesota Vikings (7-2), New Orleans Saints (7-2) and Detroit Lions (5-4). That is not exactly easy.
2. New Orleans puts up 24.5 points or less against Washington Redskins
Background: They have scored at least 25 points in 4 of their last 5 games but on the tail end of the whooping they put on Buffalo they will have a low key week. Half of their home games have yielded under 25 points.
3. Doug Martin has not had a TD since October 15th, he will have 1 this weekend as well as 75 rushing yards against the Dolphins.
Background: Miami has allowed the 11th most rushing yards and 8th most rushing TD’s and Doug had a very insipid last two weeks totaling 57 yards and 0 TD’s across 28 carries. I think he’s in for a strong week at South Beach this Sunday.
4. 15th ranked Kansas City D/ST (81% owned) is a top 2 Defense in Fantasy this week.
Background: I’ll admit this is much less “bold” then other predictions but I wanted to really hammer in how bullish I am on the Chiefs against the Giants this weekend. The Giants actually put up 21 points and I think they put up less than 15 with no more than 1 touchdown.
5.Nathan Peterman (4% owned) in his first NFL start puts up 200 yards and 2TD’s against the LAC.
Background: It will be interesting how much Buffalo lets him air the ball out. He’s a 55% completion kind of guy but they might keep handing LeSean McCoy the ball. This one is reaching out there a bit as little is known about the Tennessee/Pittsburgh quarterback. I have a feeling he can come out strong with so little known about him for at least one game.
2017 Report card:
A – 11
B – 9
C – 9
D – 16
Here is how I will be grading my Bold picks this year
A – The bold pick happened as I stated
B – The bold pick did NOT happened as stated but the idea behind it was there (example I predicted Jesse James would have 0 TDs and fewer than 20 yards in week 2, he had 27 yards, the general idea to avoid him in fantasy was present.
C – The bold pick did NOT happen and the overall feel for what occurred had you saying “meh”
D – The bold pick was nowhere near accurate