Bold Predictions for Week 7: Alfred’s time to shine

Recapping last week’s picks:

1. No Giants RB will run for more than 40 yards this week.

Outcome: (Grade: D) Ugh, this was by far my worst pick of the week and I deeply apologize to anyone who sat a Giants RB. The Denver Broncos defense, OFF A BYE, who has been lights out with a rush defense let Orleans Darkwa off on a 47 yard run letting him collect 117 yards, by far the most by any RB that faced them this year.

2. Los Angeles Rams @ Jacksonville Jaguars. The over/under is 42.5, I’m taking the OVER at 47points.

Outcome: (Grade: C) Going into the 4^th quarter the score was 24-17 (so by my quick math 41 points) and I felt great, all I need is one more touchdown from either side and I’m home free. All they could muster collectively was one measly field goal to finish up 27-17. While the total score of 44 beat the Vegas line of 42.5, I’m very disappointed in what transpired in that last quarter between these two teams.

3. Antonio Brown has a season high 200 yards receiving.

Outcome: (Grade: B). 155 yards and 1 TD. This was good enough for his highest fantasy production year to date. He didn’t hit the 200 yard mark but made some great catches, got a TD and racked up some serious yards against the Chiefs.

4. Austin Hooper (Atlanta TE) gets at least 70 yards or 1 TD this week.

Outcome: (Grade: C). He had 48 yards and 0 TD which was good enough to match last week and got you points if you were in PPR with 7 receptions (a season high) but fell short of the yardage/ TD hope.

5. Adrian Peterson has not had more than 9 carries in any game this season, with Arizona on Sunday he has 15, more than any Cardinal RB has had in a game this year.

Outcome: (Grade: A) He received 26 carries, 11 more than my bold prediction! Ladies and gentleman do we have a slightly watered down version of David Johnson? It’s very early but it’s possible that AP’s in for a resurgent year if they give him the carries.

Week 7 Bold Picks:

1. Tennessee Titans at Cleveland Browns line is Ten -6; the Browns not only cover the spread by 6 but cover by 3.5.

Background: The Browns are bad and teams have clunker starts but usually there is some form of a regression to the mean. The last few times these teams played the Browns rallied back and won or made it close, I think this is a field goal or less game. DeShone Kizer is back at helm after a benching and I’m banking that his week off allowed him to sit back and learn a few things.

2. Jerick McKinnon rushes for 100 yards for the first time this year.

Background: the Ravens are allowing 141 rushing yards per game and 2 separate RB’s have rushed for 100 yards against them through the first 6 weeks. The magic number appears to be north of 20 carries and a player can get 100 yards, with Baltimore’s solid secondary Minnesota will look to utilize Latavius Murray and Jerick to ground and pound the ball.

3. The Cincinnati Bengals have more all-purpose yards than the Steelers on Sunday

Background: I’m more bullish of Bengals players than Steelers this weekend as they meet. The Bengals defense has allowed 1,314 yards (2^nd in the NFL) to the Steelers 1,632 (7^th in the NFL). Under new offensive coordinator Bill Lazor they have been revitalized and it should be exciting to see how AJ Green, Joe Mixon, Jeremy Hill and Andy Dalton do on Sunday against a very strong Steelers defense.

4. The Giants win AGAIN this weekend.

Background: Proof has been found that the Giants are better when Odell is minimized on offense. This team puts too much in that basket and is quality without him. They face a Seattle Seahawks team who struggles away (especially cross country) and has not scored a combined 52 points across 3 road games (averaging out to 17 points per game). The Giants are ALSO averaging 16 points per game at home but have the edge of being the home team.

5. Alfred Morris steps into the vacated RB1 spot (as Ezekiel takes a 6 week break) and proceeds to rush for 90 yards or at least 1TD against the San Francisco 49ers (I’m picking him up where I can)

Background: The 49ers have allowed the 3^rd most points to opposing RBs including a 100 yard game to Todd Gurley, a 93 yard game to Chris Carson, and a 91 yard game to Marlon Mack on the TD side they have allowed Touchdowns from: Todd Gurley and Marlon Mack. If they give Alfred at least 15 carries, he will find his way to 90 yards or a touchdown.

2017 Report card:

A – 5

B – 8

C – 5

D – 7

Here is how I will be grading my Bold picks this year

A – The bold pick happened as I stated

B – The bold pick did NOT happened as stated but the idea behind it was there (example I predicted Jesse James would have 0 TDs and fewer than 20 yards in week 2, he had 27 yards, the general idea to avoid him in fantasy was present.

C – The bold pick did NOT happen and the overall feel for what occurred had you saying “meh”

D – The bold pick was nowhere near accurate