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How To Predict R and RBI For Fantasy Baseball

MLB: Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds David Kohl-USA TODAY Sports

R+RBI Equation

BB IBB HBP 1B 2B 3B HR SB CS
BB IBB HBP 1B 2B 3B HR SB CS
0.25 0.25 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 2.50 0.20 -0.15

Now as fantasy players a lot of us probably do not predict how many runs or runs batted in a player will have but why not? I have been spending some time recently trying to come up with the most realistic way to play fantasy baseball, and accidentally found a way to predict the amount of RBI’s and R’s a player will have. Basically the equation is based on how many runs are produced per event. The only exception are home runs. Since home runs count for the player driving in himself and scoring we had to add 1.0 extra point to that section of the equation. Now this equation put R and RBI into the same category and doesn’t separate them, and to give an example of this equation I will use Joe Votto’s stats from 2017.

Joey Votto’s Projected R+RBI

Name PA BB IBB HBP 1B 2B 3B HR SB CS Projected R+RBI
Name PA BB IBB HBP 1B 2B 3B HR SB CS Projected R+RBI
Joey Votto 707 134 20 8 108 34 1 36 5 1 212

And this is Joey Votto’s real R+RBI...

Joey Votto’s Real R+RBI

Name PA BB IBB HBP 1B 2B 3B HR SB CS Real R+RBI
Name PA BB IBB HBP 1B 2B 3B HR SB CS Real R+RBI
Joey Votto 707 134 20 8 108 34 1 36 5 1 206