Recapping last week’s picks:
1. Over/Under for the LA Chargers game at MetLife Stadium vs. the New York Giants is 44.5. I’m taking the under even at 40.5
Outcome: (Grade: D) At the end of the first half the score was 10-9 and I was feeling mighty proud. One half and 30 points later, not so much. It topped by finishing at 49 which surprised me a little more than the fact that the Chargers found a way to WIN a game down the stretch, although much like the Bengals vs. Browns matchup, someone had to win (well, didn’t HAVE to win, but was likely to win).
2. For a second time this year, no WR on Oakland has more than 50 yards receiving.
Outcome: (Grade: C) I gave myself a C on this, Michael Crabtree ended up with 84 yards and a TD. The remainder of the group was under 35 receiving yards. The reason I gave it a C is that it was the second lowest receiving yards and TDs from the Raiders this season so the general concept that it would be a clunker was up there.
3. No Giants RB has more than 70 yards rushing on the SEASON, a Giants RB has 100 yards rushing on Sunday.
Outcome: (Grade: B). Orleans Darkwa ended with 69 yards +1TD and Wayne Gallman ended with 57 yards both doubled their SEASON rushing yards in this game. In addition I provide bonus points for highlighting Orleans over Paul Perkins in the matchup. It was a short lived bold backing of the Giants rushers as you will see in this weeks prediction
4. The San Francisco 49ers score a D/ST TD on Sunday
Outcome: (Grade: D). They had 1 interception in OVERTIME that was returned for 29 yards, outside of that, they allowed 26 points and had 4 kick returns for 59 yards (one was 28 yards). Nothing really came close enough to justify this pick as valid in any format or justify the 49ers defense as a solid pick on the week.
5. Jameis Winston throws for a season high 350 yards and 3 TDs this weekend.
Outcome: (Grade: C) I will give myself a C on this, he threw for 334 yards (pretty close to 350 yards) but threw for just 1 TD. I’ll be honest, on the surface, given the trends of the Buccaneers and Patriots defensive units I was expecting this score to be 45-40 and instead neither team eclipsed 20 points.
Week 6 Bold Picks:
1. No Giants RB will run for more than 40 yards this week.
Background: The Giants had the Chargers defensive unit last week which was nice. Now they get a rested Broncos rush defense who is next level elite allowing just 200 yards TOTAL this season to RBs not allowing more than 55 rushing yards to any RB.
2. Los Angeles Rams @ Jacksonville Jaguars. The over/under is 42.5, I’m taking the OVER at 47points.
Jaguars at home, just ONE team has averaged at LEAST 37 points each game. LAR on the road just ONE team has averaged at LEAST 35 points (in both scenarios the lowest total score was 52pts). I think despite some reverence for these defenses, this will be a high scoring affair at Jacksonville.
3. Antonio Brown has a season high 200 yards receiving.
Background: Kansas City for all of their strengths is generous to opposing WR’s allowing 7 different WR’s to have either a TD or 90+ yards. Pittsburgh is looking to bounce back from an embarassing loss to the Jaguars not to mention I think this “beef” between Ben Roethlisberger and Antonio Brown is squashed with a monsterous combined effort on Sunday. I am picturing Mike Tomlin in a dark room scheming up some crazy plays to get Antonio the ball and show to the world that there is no drama going on between the two of them.
4. Austin Hooper (Atlanta TE) gets at least 70 yards or 1 TD this week.
Background: Week one he had 128 yards and 1 TD, since then he has had a total of 67 yards and 0 TDs. This week he faces Miami who is allowing the 5th most points to TE’s and Atlanta is fresh off a loss to Buffalo which stung a bit. They have been planning during their bye week and Matty Ice is going to air the ball out to Austin a fair amount on Sunday.
5. Adrian Peterson has not had more than 9 carries in any game this season, with Arizona on Sunday he has 15, more than any Cardinal RB has had in a game this year.
Background: He clearly didn’t fit into New Orleans system, perhaps they thought he could add a new facet to their offense but later realized that they would continue to let Drew Brees air the ball out day and night, who knows. What I DO know is that Arizona wants to use him with Chris Johnson AND David Johnson now gone. I’m not kidding when I say they might give him the ball 20 times.
2017 Report card:
A – 4
B – 7
C – 3
D – 6
Here is how I will be grading my Bold picks this year
A – The bold pick happened as I stated
B – The bold pick did NOT happened as stated but the idea behind it was there (example I predicted Jesse James would have 0 TDs and fewer than 20 yards in week 2, he had 27 yards, the general idea to avoid him in fantasy was present.
C – The bold pick did NOT happen and the overall feel for what occurred had you saying “meh”
D – The bold pick was nowhere near accurate