There are a lot of tomato cans to take advantage of today, and some of them are in very good run scoring parks. Two that stand out are in Milwaukee and Cincinnati.
FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball (DFS) picks for Tuesday, September 6
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Wily Peralta and his 5.5 ERA and 5 FIP pitches in hitter friendly Miller Park against a top 5 Cubs offense. Peralta is allowing a .307/.387/.529 line to lefties this year with a 5.19 FIP and a .318/.377/.529 line to righties with a 5.08 FIP. He is one of the least effective pitchers in baseball, and Cubs hitters will be in position to hit for extra bases and score runs.
In very hitter friendly Cincinnati, the Reds face the erratic Rafael Montero. Montero is known for nibbling and does not have a good put away pitch. Montero has a 20% walk rate in 3 appearances for the Mets this year and was demoted from AAA to AA because of ineffectiveness earlier this year. Billy Hamilton is unfortunately sidelined for the next few days, otherwise this would be a good matchup for him to get on base and use his speed. Joey Votto ($4,100) is a good bet to get on base multiple times today. Votto has hit RHP to a 165 wRC+ and .245 ISO, and it comes with a ridiculous .451 on base percentage. Votto has also been one of the best hitters in baseball after a bad April.
On the Mets side of the game, lefty killer Wilmer Flores ($3,000) is affordable and faces below average Brandon Finnegan, who has allowed an OPS just under .800 to righties with a very poor 5.71 FIP. Flores has hit LHP to an elite 189 wRC+ and .351 ISO this year.
Fittng in some of these hitters will be expensive, so a salary relief pitcher is needed. Jason Hammel ($8,700) is a choice I like. He's opposed by the aforementioned Wily Peralta, so run support should be plentiful. The Brewers are the highest strikeout team in baseball vs RHP with a strikeout rate nearing 26%, and they are a bottom third offense by wRC+. Hammel has a 3.14 ERA, 4.26 FIP and 20.5% strikeout rate. He looks good to be in position to get the win, prevent runs at an above average level and generate strikeouts at an above average level.