clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball (DFS) picks for Friday, September 30

I list some thoughts on a few pitchers for the last Friday game of the 2016 regular season.

If you buy something from an SB Nation link, Vox Media may earn a commission. See our ethics statement.

Neville E. Guard-USA TODAY Sports

Reminder: Always double check the lineup card before rosters lock to make sure that a player you've chosen to roster is playing that day, and check the weather to make sure your players won't get rained out of their game.

FanDuel has made some tweaks to their scoring criteria for 2016. Check that out here. FanDuel is also only available to play for money in specific states. See their website for more details to see if FanDuel is playable for cash in your home state.

Top tier

Yu Darvish ($10,900) faces a high strikeout Rays offense that has the 4th highest K% in the 2nd half at 24.3% to combine with a full season K% of 24.2% vs RHP, the third highest in baseball. Darvish and his 30% strikeout rate will be a threat to rack up a huge strikeout total against an offense that strikes out a lot. The Rays offense has been productive in the second half, though, ranking in the top 10 by wRC+ to push their full season wRC+ vs RHP to above average.

Madison Bumgarner ($10,700) faces a Dodgers offense that has struggled vs lefties all year. Their 74 wRC+ vs LHP ranks last in baseball and it comes with a below average 22.6% K% vs lefties. Bumgarner is a good bet to prevent runs, but is opposed by ace Rich Hill, and the Giants bottom third offense doesn't look good for giving Bumgarner run support.

Of the two, Darvish represents the higher upside play for me because of his strikeout potential, with Bumgarner the safer bet because of how impotent the Dodgers have largely been against lefties.

Salary relief

For a fantasy owner who wants to avoid aces and leave salary room for hitters, I have spoken highly of Robert Gsellman ($6,900) a few times on this website. He's increased his K% to an above average 22% to go along with a 2.83 FIP and 2.56 ERA through 6 starts, and features an above average sinker to go along with a plus slider and good curve. He looks like a solid #3 starter. Gsellman faces the Phillies, who have been one of the least productive offenses all year. Their 2nd half wRC+ of 82 ranks 4th lowest and their full season wRC+ of 83 vs RHP ranks 3rd lowest. They also have the 5th highest K% vs RHP at 23%. Gsellman will be a decent bet to generate some strikeouts, prevent runs and be in position for the win.