Full disclosure: I am filling in for our guy Tim Finnegan today, and I am currently in the midst of potty training boot camp with one of my toddlers. It is almost as gory as the Red Wedding. So I’ll be cutting out some fluff today.
The Main Slate on FanDuel is 12 games large and begins at 7:05pm ET. Let’s hop to it.
If you read any of my weekend MLB DFS efforts, you know I predominantly talk about GPP options. Today, I am looking at Jake Odorizzi ($8,700) against the Kansas City Royals. Since the All-Star Break, Odorizzi has started three games and amassed a 0.87 ERA, 17 Ks, 1 BB, and a 2.26 FIP. For the season Odorizzi has a 3.96 SIERA, a 21.8% K-rate, and a solid 6.7% walk rate. Those numbers aren’t spectacular, but they are pretty good. This pick is more of an indictment of the Royals offense, who have a miniscule .128 ISO against RHP this season. That would be the second-worst mark in the league, ahead of only the Atlanta Braves (.120 ISO). The Royals strikeout 20.1% of the time (pretty neutral number, honestly) but have an 86 wRC+ (23rd) against RHP this season. In the cavernous confines of Tropicana Field, I like Odorizzi to hurl a strong start today.
There is a game in Coors Field today, so I’ll trust that you will pick your spots in that game. No extra analysis needed.
Outside of Coors, I like the Cleveland Indians. Your big choice on FanDuel is who to roster of the Cleveland first baseman. Both Carlos Santana ($3,800) and Mike Napoli ($3,900) homered yesterday, and both have 21 dingers against RHP so far this season. Their other numbers against RHP are nearly identical, as Santana has a .287 ISO and .387 wOBA while Napoli has a .266 ISO and .351 wOBA. Tyler Duffey has been far worse against RHH this season, though, as 12 of his 16 home runs allowed have gone to right-handed bats. And while lefty hitters have a solid matchup against him (.323 wOBA) it is righty bats who have the stronger matchup (.411 wOBA). Duffey strikes out LHH 19.7% of the time and has a 3.27 FIP against them, but his K-rate against RHH is a paltry 15.2% and the FIP is an ugly 6.33. He also allows far more hard contact to RHH at 36.4% (only 28.3% hard to LHH). So all of the numbers point to Mike Napoli, who is red-hot anyway. Get him in there.
Good luck today, and my apologies for the brevity. Back to potty training.