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Today's game is loaded with good hitting options. The Rockies are back in Coors Field to take on the Padres and Andrew Cashner. Mike Pelfrey and his 4.76 ERA/5.47 FIP pitches in Yankee Stadium. Paul Goldschmidt faces a below average lefty at home in Chase Field. Nelson Cruz faces a below average lefty. The Reds start a below average pitcher at home in Great American Ballpark against the A's.
In particular, Cashner is pitching to a 4.78 ERA and 4.75 FIP in PetCo, so Coors Field looks to be a good bet to treat him poorly. Carlos Gonzalez ($4,300) has a 133 wRC+ and .238 ISO vs RHP this year. Nolan Arenado ($4,300) has a 123 wRC+ and .279 ISO vs RHP this year.
Goldschmidt has hit LHP to an OPS over 1.000 since the start of last year and faces a below average, very hittable lefty at home in hitter friendly Chase Field. Justin Nicolino has a 4.37 ERA, 4.47 FIP and 9% strikeout rate.
I want to start a lot of these hitters, so I will probably avoid pricey pitching like Clayton Kershaw ($13,100) and Stephen Strasburg ($12,000) and instead take somewhat of a risk on a mid tier priced pitcher.
Matt Harvey ($8,700) has looked objectively awful for most of the season for reasons that baffle me, but the Mets claim that they worked out a mechanical issue he had, and he's pitched much better his last 2 starts. It isn't just randomness, because his fastball and slider velocities are back up these last 2 starts to about what you'd expect from him, and he's holding them later in games. Harvey faces a Brewers offense that has a ton of swing and miss in their lineup. The Brewers strike out 26.3% of the time vs RHP, most in baseball, giving the possibility of a high strikeout total from Harvey in this game. The Brewers also have a bottom third offense vs RHP by wRC+. Harvey is a pretty good high upside play that is affordable, and he should be in position to get the win against a weak team. The risk with him is that he reverts to how he's pitched prior to his last 2 starts, which was very poor, but that is the trade off that comes with a lower salary.